Miami Marlins vs San Francisco Giants Betting Pick & Prediction 8/30/24
From Oracle Park in San Francisco, we have the Marlins and Giants facing off in an NL matchup. This one gets started at 10:15 PM ET and MLBN is carrying it on TV. The Marlins are 5th in the NL East with a record of 49-85, while the Giants, who have lost two straight, are 4th in the NL West at 67-68.
Friday’s money line odds have the Giants at -262, while the Marlins are the +217 underdog. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and tonight’s pitching matchup features Adam Oller for the Marlins and Blake Snell for the Giants.
MIAMI MARLINS VS SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Miami Marlins Moneyline +217
This game will be played at Oracle Park at 10:15 ET on Friday, August 30th.
HOW TO BET THE MARLINS VS GIANTS:
- We have the Marlins winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Marlins to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Marlins Records & Stats
Miami is coming off a big 12-8 win over the Rockies to close out their series. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +116 on the money line. It was a five-run 4th inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Rockies could only score three runs in the 4th to cut into the Marlins lead.
Valente Bellozo got the start for the Marlins, going four innings and giving up six earned runs on seven hits. Miami’s offense picked him up, scoring 12 runs on jsonly 18 hits. Derek Hill and Kyle Stowers each had three hits and went deep, with Hill scoring three runs and going 3/6.
Miami heads into today’s road matchup vs. the Giants with an overall record of 49-85, which puts them 5th in the NL East. So far, they are 30.0 games behind the Phillies for the division lead and are 13-26 against other teams in the NL East. The Marlins split their most recent series vs. the Rockies and have gone just 3-7 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Marlins are just 25-44 this year compared to 24-41 on the road. As the underdog, Miami is 45-72 this year and are just 4-13 when favored. The Marlins’ overall series record is 10-26-7, and they have dropped four straight series at home.
When betting the run line on the Miami Marlins, it’s been better to take them on the road this season. The Marlins are 33-32 against the run line on the road, compared to 29-40 at home. They have an average run differential of -1.1 on the road and -1.7 at home. They are 2-15 against the run line as the favorite and 60-57 as the underdog.
Today’s game between the Miami Marlins and San Francisco Giants has an over/under line of 7.5 runs, which is lower than the Marlins’ average over/under line of 8 runs per game this season. Miami’s games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 74-56. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs this season, the over has hit in 19 of their 26 games, and 74.6% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.
Adam Oller will be on the mound for the Marlins as they take on the Giants in San Francisco. Oller has made two starts this season and is coming off a win in his last outing, where he went 5 2/3 innings and struck out 6 Cubs hitters.
As a team, the Marlins are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. This is a trend for the Marlins, as they are also 25th in home runs and have the league’s worst team on-base percentage. Miami’s collective batting average of .241 is 14th in the league, and they are 15th in strikeouts per game.
Jake Burger has been the Marlins’ top power threat this season, as his 25 home runs is 12th in the league. He also leads the team with 59 RBIs. Burger is batting .249 for the season and is currently on a five-game hitting streak. Jesús Sánchez is also near the top of the Marlins’ home run leaderboard, with 17 homers this season.
Giants Records & Stats
The Giants will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Brewers with a 6-0 loss. San Francisco was the +108 underdog on the money line going into this matchup. Things really got away from the Giants in the 4th inning, as the Brewers scored three runs in the inning. San Francisco’s offense scored their only two runs in the 2nd.
Hayden Birdsong got the start for the Giants and took the loss. He only lasted 3 2/3 innings, giving up five earned runs. Offensively, the Giants had only two fewer hits than the Brewers but scored zero runs. Both of their runs came in the 2nd inning.
San Francisco is 67-68 overall and trail the Padres by 5.0 games for 3rd place in the NL West. The Giants are 13.5 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. They have an overall division record of 21-19 this year. San Francisco is hoping to snap a two-game losing streak today, and they dropped the final two games of their series vs. the Brewers.
At home, the Giants are 38-28 this year compared to a 29-40 mark on the road. So far, they have been good as the favorite, going 42-30, and they are 30-19 when favored at home. Heading into today’s game, the Giants’ series record is 21-18-4, and they have lost two straight series.
When it comes to run line betting, the Giants have been a better bet on the road than at home. They are 38-31 against the run line away from San Francisco, compared to 29-37 at home. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 37-26 against the run line, compared to 30-42 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.1, while it is -3.4 in losing games.
When the San Francisco Giants play at home, the over/under line is typically set at 8 runs, but today’s line is 7.5 runs. The Giants have played 26 games this season with an over/under line of 7.5 runs, and the over has hit in 22 of those games. Overall, the Giants’ games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 68-61.
Blake Snell gets the start for the Giants today and will be looking to improve his record, which is currently 2-3. He has made 15 starts this year and has a batting average allowed of .171. Snell’s ERA for the season is 3.76, along with a WHIP of 1.11. One of his complete games this year was a shutout. Snell’s last outing came on August 24th, and he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in three innings of work. He has not taken the loss in any of his last three outings.
Heliot Ramos and Matt Chapman have been the Giants’ top power threats this season, with Ramos hitting 20 homers and Chapman right behind him with 21. Chapman is also 2nd on the team with 64 RBIs, while Ramos is 1st with 65 RBIs. Chapman is batting .244 for the season, and Ramos is hitting .281. Over his last seven games, Ramos has gone 8/28 with two homers and five RBIs.
As a team, the Giants are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. Their team batting average of .241 is 14th in the MLB, and they are also one of the league’s top home run hitting teams. However, their team OPS of .703 is only 18th in the league.