Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Pick & Prediction 7/28/24
From American Family Field in Milwaukee, we have the Marlins and Brewers facing off in an NL matchup. This one gets started at 2:10 PM ET, and BSFL is carrying it on TV. Miami is 39-66, and they have won two straight, putting them 5th in the NL East. The Brewers are leading the NL Central with a record of 59-45.
Milwaukee is the heavy favorite today, with their money line odds sitting at -208 compared to the Marlins at +173. Sunday’s starting pitching matchup features Kyle Tyler for the Marlins and Tobias Myers for the Brewers.
MIAMI MARLINS VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Miami Marlins Moneyline +173
This game will be played at American Family Field at 2:10 ET on Sunday, July 28th.
HOW TO BET THE MARLINS VS BREWERS:
- We have the Marlins winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Marlins to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Miami cruised to a 7-3 win over the Brewers in the most recent game of this series. The Marlins had a huge 7th inning, scoring five of their seven runs. As for the Brewers, they scored all three of their runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Marlins were at +144 on the money line.
Max Meyer only went four innings for the Marlins but gave up just three hits and three earned runs. Bryan Hoeing got the win out of the bullpen. Aaron Civale went 5 1/3 innings for the Brewers, giving up two earned runs on seven hits.
Miami’s offense was led by Josh Bell and Jesus Sanchez, as they were the only two Marlins hitters to have more than one hit. Bell, Jake Burger, and Nick Fortes each had two RBIs for Miami.
Marlins Records & Stats
Miami has won two straight games, and they are 39-66 overall, putting them 5th in the NL East. Currently, they trail the Phillies by 26.5 games in the division. So far, they have gone just 9-21 in divisional games.
The Marlins have taken a 2-0 series lead over the Brewers heading into today’s game. At home, the Marlins are 22-34 this year, and they are 17-32 on the road. As the underdog, the Marlins are 35-53 this year, and they are 4-13 when favored. Miami’s overall series record is 9-21-3.
When it comes to the run line, the Marlins have been a solid bet on the road this season, going 25-24 against the run line. They have covered the run line in three straight games and are 48-40 as the underdog this season. Miami’s average run differential in winning games is +2.7, while it is -3.7 in losses.
The Miami Marlins are on the road today against the Milwaukee Brewers. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly below their combined run average of 8.6. The Marlins have hit the over in 58 of their 103 games this season, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 18-16. Miami has hit the over in six straight games.
Kyle Tyler and the Marlins are on the road to take on the Brewers today. Tyler has started 4 games this season and has yet to pick up a win. He has gone 4 2/3 innings in each of his last two starts, giving up 3 earned runs in each outing. He has struck out 9 batters in 13 1/3 innings of work.
For the season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.6 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .237, which is 14th in the league, but their on-base percentage of .290 is just 21st in the MLB.
Josh Bell has been on a tear of late, going 10/21 in his last five games with four homers and seven RBIs. Bell is 2nd on the team with 14 homers this season. Bryan De La Cruz and Jazz Chisholm Jr. are the Marlins’ top two home run hitters, with 18 and 13 homers, respectively. De La Cruz and Chisholm Jr. are also the Marlins’ top two hitters in terms of RBIs.
Brewers Records & Stats
Milwaukee is hosting the Marlins today, and they are looking to avoid dropping the series, as they are currently down 0-2 in the series. Overall, the Brewers lead the NL Central at 59-45, putting them six games ahead of the Cardinals. So far, they have gone 23-13 against the rest of the NL Central.
The Brewers have dropped two straight games, and they are just 5-5 over their last 10 games. At home, Milwaukee is 29-19 this year and 30-26 on the road. As the favorite, the Brewers are 33-24 this year, and they are 26-21 when they are the underdog.
When it comes to betting the run line, the Brewers have been a better play on the road this season, where they are 31-25 compared to 23-25 at home. Milwaukee’s average run margin is +0.7 runs per game, and they have a run line record of 54-50 overall. The Brewers have been a better bet as the underdog, going 32-15 against the run line in those games.
Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs is slightly higher than the Milwaukee Brewers’ season average of 8.7 runs per game. The Brewers have played 23 over games and 17 under games when the line was set at 8.5 runs. Overall, 56 of their games have gone over the total this season, and their current over streak is at two games.
Tobias Myers will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Cubs, as he gets the start for the Brewers today. In that July 22nd start, he took the loss, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up three runs on six hits. Myers finished with two earned runs, six strikeouts, and one homer allowed in the outing. Before that start, he had pitched well, going 8 innings vs. the Pirates and not giving up a run. Myers’ record for the season is 6-4, and his ERA is 3.14. Out of his 14 starts, he has five quality starts and is averaging 7.91 strikeouts per nine innings.
So far this season, the Brewers are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have been even better at home, putting up 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .254, which is the 4th best mark in the MLB. Milwaukee’s offense has been good at avoiding strikeouts and is 3rd in the league in walks.
Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins have been the Brewers’ top power threats this season, with Adames having 16 homers and Hoskins at 17. However, Hoskins is batting just .215, and Adames isn’t much better at .247. William Contreras is hitting .288 and has 11 homers. Over his last six games, Hoskins has gone deep three times, and he is also on a three-game hitting streak.