Miami Marlins vs Houston Astros Betting Pick & Prediction 7/9/24
At 8:10 PM ET, the Marlins and Astros will square off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Minute Maid Park in Houston, and the Astros are the heavy favorite on the money line at -236. The Marlins are +194, and they will be looking to keep their two-game winning streak alive. Miami is 32-58, while the Astros are 46-44 and are 2nd in the AL West. Houston will be sending Ronel Blanco to the mound vs. a Marlins club that has Trevor Rogers starting.
The over/under line for Tuesday’s game is currently at 8.5 runs, and the matchup can be seen on BSFL. Blanco is facing a Marlins team that has won two straight, while Rogers and the Marlins are 5th in the NL East.
MIAMI MARLINS VS HOUSTON ASTROS BETTING PICK
The Pick: OVER 8.5 Runs
This game will be played at Minute Maid Park at 8:10 ET on Tuesday, July 9th.
HOW TO BET THE MARLINS VS ASTROS:
- We have the Astros winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Marlins to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Marlins Records & Stats
Jake Burger had only one hit in the Marlins’ 7-4 win over the White Sox, but it was a big one. He hit a three-run homer in the 4th inning to give the Marlins the lead. Miami scored another run in the 4th to go up 4-2. The Marlins added three more runs in the 7th to put things out of reach. Going into the game, the Marlins were the heavy favorite at -149 at home.
Edward Cabrera got the start for the Marlins but only lasted 3 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs. He also issued three walks and took the loss. JT Chargois got the win out of the bullpen and the Marlins scored three runs in the 7th to pick up the win.
Miami is 32-58 overall, putting them 5th in the NL East, 26 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they have really struggled against other NL East teams, going 7-19. The Marlins have won two straight games, and they took their series vs. the White Sox 2-1.
At home, the Marlins are just 18-31 this year compared to a 14-27 mark on the road. As the underdog, the Marlins are 28-45 this year, compared to 4-13 as the favorite. Miami’s overall series record is 8-19-2 this year.
When the Marlins are on the road, they have covered the run line in 21 of 41 games. They are 2-15 against the run line as the favorite, but 38-35 as the underdog. Their average run differential is -1.5 runs per game, and they have covered the run line in two straight games and two straight as the underdog.
When the Miami Marlins are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs per game. The Marlins have played 88 games this season, and 47 of them have gone over the total. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, Miami has a record of 15-14 in those games. This season, only 14.4% of their games have had a higher over/under line than 8.5 runs.
Trevor Rogers will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Red Sox, as he gets the start for the Marlins today. Against the Red Sox, he took the loss, going just 3 innings and giving up 2 earned runs. Looking at his overall numbers, Rogers is 1-9 with a 4.91 ERA and 1.60 WHIP. Out of his 17 starts, he has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 7.47 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, Rogers has allowed 10 homers and is averaging 4.16 walks per nine innings. On the road, he is 1-4 with a 6.85 ERA.
Heading into today’s game, the Marlins are the worst home run hitting team in the league and are also near the bottom of the league in terms of team OPS and on-base percentage. Overall, they are averaging just 3.5 runs per game (29th) and have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3 runs per contest. One positive for the Marlins is that they are batting a combined .231, which is 17th in the league.
Bryan De La Cruz has been the Marlins’ top power threat this season, as his 15 home runs is 12th in the league and leads the team. However, he is batting just .237. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is batting .255 for the season and is 2nd on the team with 10 homers. Jake Burger and Jesus Sanchez both have two homers in their last seven games, with Burger hitting just .207 in that stretch and Sanchez going 7/22.
Astros Records & Stats
Houston closed out their series vs. the Twins with a 3-2 loss. Heading into the game, the Astros were the +125 underdog on the money line. Things started off well for the Astros, as they got on the board with two runs in the 2nd inning but couldn’t hold the lead. The Twins scored a run in the 4th and added another in the 9th to pick up the win.
Spencer Arrighetti got the start for the Astros and took the loss. He only lasted five innings, giving up two earned runs on seven hits. Offensively, the Astros only had five hits but scored their only two runs on a json Hader triple in the 2nd.
The Astros are two games behind the Mariners in the AL West as they are 46-44 overall this season. Houston will host the Marlins today, having dropped two straight games, losing the final two games of their series vs. the Twins. So far, they are 15-12 in AL West play.
At home, the Astros are 24-19 this season and have gone 22-25 on the road. As the favorite, the Astros are 34-32 this season and 12-12 as the underdog. Houston has won eight straight games as the favorite. Their overall series record is 16-12-1 this year.
When it comes to the run line, the Astros have been a solid bet at home, going 22-21 on the run line in Houston. Overall, they are 46-44 on the run line, and their average run margin this season is +0.4 runs per game. They have covered the run line in six straight home games and are 8-2 on the run line in their last 10 games overall. As the favorite, they are just 31-35 on the run line, while as the underdog, they are 15-9 on the run line.
The Houston Astros are playing at home today against the Miami Marlins. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Astros games this season is 9.1 runs per game. Overall, the Astros have gone over the total in 35 of their 86 games this season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the Astros have gone over the total in 10 of those 26 games.
Ronel Blanco gets the start for the Astros today and has been pitching well this season, coming in with a record of 8-3 and an ERA of 2.53. Blanco’s WHIP for the season is 1.01, and he has one complete game shutout to his credit. Blanco has made 16 starts this year and has turned in nine quality starts. In his last outing, Blanco finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Blanco has been much better on the road, going 5-1 with a 2.51 ERA compared to 3-2 with a 2.86 ERA at home.
Heading into today’s game, the Astros are the top-hitting team in the league, batting a collective .264. They are also near the top of the league in home runs and have the best slugging percentage in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. At home, they have been even better, averaging 5.1 runs per contest.
Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Tucker have been a great 1-2 punch for the Astros this season, as they are both in the top 10 in home runs and have batting averages of .298 and .266, respectively. Alvarez is currently on a three-game hitting streak and has three homers in his last eight games, while Tucker has gone deep in three straight games. Jose Altuve is also swinging a hot bat, as he has gone 13/40 in his last nine games.