Miami Hurricanes vs California Golden Bears Betting Pick & Prediction 10/5/24

ESPN is handling the television broadcast as the Miami Hurricanes and California Golden Bears face off in a week six matchup. The game is set for 10:30 ET from California Memorial Stadium in Berkeley. Miami is undefeated at 5-0 this season, while California enters the game with a 3-1 record. The over/under is at 54.5 points, and Miami is the -10-point favorite on the road.
MIAMI HURRICANES VS CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS BETTING PICK
The Pick: California Golden Bears +10
This game will be played at California Memorial Stadium at 10:30 ET on Saturday, October 5th.
WHY BET THE CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS:
- We have the California Golden Bears winning this one by a score of 29 to 19
- Not only do we have the California Golden Bears winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +10
- We see this game finishing below the line of 54.5 points
Will The Miami Hurricanes Win As Road Favorites?
Miami enters Week 6 with a perfect 5-0 record, and they are projected to be bowl-eligible. They have a 35.3% chance of winning the Atlantic Coast and hold the 6th best odds to make the CFB playoff at 60.7%. The Hurricanes are 2-0 on the road and ranked 10th in our power rankings heading into their matchup against California.
Miami has been favored in four of their five games and holds a 3-1 record against the spread. They’ve covered both road games and have an average scoring margin of +34.4 points per game.
The over/under line for this week is 54.5 points. Miami’s games have averaged 64.4 points, and their over/under record is 3-0-1, with an average line of 57.5 points.
Miami’s offense has been one of the best in college football, ranking 2nd in points scored, with 49.4 per game, and 4th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 6. They lead the nation in passing yards, averaging 392.6 yards per game, and are 6th in completions, with 26 per game. Their third-down conversion rate is the best in the country at 64.9%, and they are 6th in completion percentage, completing 71.8% of their passes.
Cam Ward has thrown for 1,782 yards, with a passer rating of 133, and has completed 70.2% of his passes. He has 18 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. Damien Martinez leads the rushing attack with 250 yards and 4 touchdowns, averaging 4 yards per carry. Xavier Restrepo has 422 receiving yards on 25 catches, with 5 touchdowns.
Miami’s defense has been strong this season, ranking 21st nationally by allowing just 15 points per game. They’ve given up 94.6 rushing yards per game (24th) and 172 passing yards per game. Opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of 52.8 against Miami, the 8th-lowest in the country.
In their last game, Miami allowed 34 points but still managed to secure a win. Virginia Tech gained 394 total yards, including 206 rushing yards on 32 attempts. Miami’s defense also forced one interception in the game.
Are The California Golden Bears Going Win In At Upset At California Memorial Stadium
California enters Week 6 with a 3-1 record, hosting Miami. They rank 50th in our power rankings and have a 90.1% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. At home, the Golden Bears are 1-0, and they’ve been favored in just one game this season.
Cal’s ATS record stands at 2-1, and they’ve outscored opponents by an average of 10.2 points per game. They are 1-0 against the spread at home and have covered as the favorite in their only game in that role.
This week’s over/under line is 54.5, higher than any of Cal’s previous games. Their over/under record is 0-3, with an average line of 48.5 points and games averaging 35.8 points.
Heading into week 6, California’s offense is averaging 23 points per game, placing them 72nd in the nation. They rank 84th in our offensive power rankings. Their rushing game is producing 146.8 yards per game, and they are 44th in rushing attempts. Jaivian Thomas leads the team with 267 rushing yards, averaging 7 yards per carry, but has only one touchdown.
Quarterback Fernando Mendoza has thrown for 892 yards and has a passer rating of 95. California ranks 52nd in passing attempts and 39th in completions, averaging 228.2 passing yards per game. Mendoza has five touchdowns and two interceptions, and the team is 23rd in completion percentage at 66.7%. Nyziah Hunter leads the receivers with 182 yards and four touchdowns.
California’s defense has been a strong point this season, ranking 8th nationally by allowing just 12.8 points per game. In their recent game against Florida State, the defense gave up only 14 points, allowing 13 first downs and 295 total yards. They held Florida State to 73 rushing yards on 25 attempts and forced three interceptions.
Opponents are averaging 111.8 rushing yards per game on 31.5 attempts against California, while quarterbacks have posted a passer rating of just 50.9, the 6th-lowest in the country. The defense has allowed 182.2 passing yards per game, with a completion rate of 52%.