Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings Betting Pick & Prediction 1/6/25
The Miami Heat are 3.5-point underdogs against the Sacramento Kings tonight. The over/under line is set at 224 points.
Tip-off for this non-conference matchup is scheduled for 10:00 ET at the Golden 1 Center. NBCS will have the television coverage.
MIAMI HEAT VS SACRAMENTO KINGS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Miami Heat +3.5
This game will be played at Golden 1 Center at 10:00 ET on Monday, January 6th.
WHY BET THE MIAMI HEAT:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 118-109 in favor of the Heat.
- Our projections have Tyler Herro finishing with 22 points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists.
- From the field, we have the Heat finishing with a field goal percentage of 45.4% and knocking down 15 threes.
Does Miami Have What it Takes on the Road?
The Heat fell to 17-16 on the season after a 136-100 loss to the Jazz on Saturday. Miami, who were -8.5 point favorites, not only lost but failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game hit 236, surpassing the O/U line of 224 by 12 points.
After a 22-22 tie in the 1st quarter, the Jazz took control, outscoring Miami 40-19 in the 2nd quarter. Heading into the 4th with a 98-66 lead, Utah went on a 10-0 run, stretching the score from 104-69 to 104-79, before closing out the game.
In their 136-100 loss to the Jazz, the Heat struggled offensively, shooting just 43.8% from the field and making only 9 threes at a 25.7% clip. Nikola Jovic led the way with 17 points, hitting 3 threes at 60% efficiency, while Duncan Robinson added 16 points, also connecting on 3 triples, though at 33.3%.
Tyler Herro contributed 15 points despite shooting 33.3% from the field. Jaime Jaquez and Kel’el Ware both scored 9 points in the 4th quarter, finishing with 13 and 12 points, respectively.
Despite a strong defensive effort in the 1st quarter, the Heat struggled in the 2nd, giving up 40 points to the Jazz. Things didn’t improve in the 3rd and 4th quarters, where they allowed 36 and 38 points, respectively, leading to a 136-100 loss. Overall, Miami allowed Utah to shoot 52% from the field.
The Heat also had trouble defending the three, as the Jazz hit 19 threes at a 41% clip. Miami sent Utah to the line 16 times, where they made 13 free throws. The Heat gave up 16 offensive rebounds but managed to record 9 steals and 7 blocks.
Can the Kings Grab a Win at Home?
The Kings improved to 17-19 on the season with a dominant 129-99 win over the Warriors on Sunday. Sacramento, who entered the game as +3.5 point underdogs, not only won but covered the spread with a 30-point victory. The total points for the game reached 228, just over the 225-point line.
Sacramento took control early, leading 36-21 after the 1st quarter and 39-30 in the 2nd. The Warriors made an 11-0 run to close the gap to 40-39, but the Kings responded and built a 105-75 lead by the end of the 3rd quarter. The teams played evenly in the 4th, each scoring 24 points.
Malik Monk’s 26 points and 12 assists powered the Kings to a 129-99 win over the Warriors, with Monk hitting 5 threes at a 62.5% rate. Domantas Sabonis added 22 points and 13 rebounds, shooting 76.9% from the field.
As a team, Sacramento connected on 19 threes, shooting 44.2% from deep and 51.7% overall. Kevin Huerter chipped in 16 points, hitting 4 threes at 66.7% efficiency.
The Kings’ defense was solid on Sunday, holding the Warriors to 99 points in a 129-99 win. Sacramento gave up 21 points in the 1st quarter and 30 in the 2nd but tightened up in the 2nd half, allowing just 24 points in both the 3rd and 4th quarters.
From beyond the arc, the Kings limited the Warriors to 12 made threes on 34% shooting. Golden State also went 13/18 from the free-throw line. Sacramento recorded 33 defensive rebounds, gave up 9 offensive boards, and added 15 steals.