Miami Heat vs Portland Trail Blazers Betting Pick & Prediction 1/11/25

At 10:00 ET, the Miami Heat (-168) will travel to take on the Portland Trail Blazers (+142) in a non-conference matchup. The Heat are currently favored by 4 points and have won two straight games. On the other side, the Trail Blazers are 13th in the Western Conference with a record of 13-24.

This game will be played at the Moda Center in Portland and can be seen on KATU. The over/under line for this game is currently sitting at 219.5 points.

MIAMI HEAT VS PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Portland Trail Blazers +4

This game will be played at Moda Center at 10:00 ET on Saturday, January 11th.

WHY BET THE PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 134-118 in favor of the Trail Blazers.
  • Our projections have Anfernee Simons finishing with 20 points, 3 rebounds and 5 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Trail Blazers finishing with a field goal percentage of 46.4% and knocking down 13 threes.

Taking a Look at the Heat Chances on the Road

Miami improved to 19-17 on the season with a 97-92 win over the Jazz on Thursday. The Heat were -5.5 favorites heading into the game, but while they got the win, they didn’t cover the spread. The game’s total points of 189 fell well short of the 221-point O/U line.

After a slow start, Miami turned things around by outscoring Utah 26-14 in the 2nd quarter. The Jazz responded in the 3rd, taking a 70-68 lead into the 4th. Miami closed out the game strong, outscoring Utah 29-22 in the final period.

In their win over the Jazz, the Heat managed just 97 points, shooting 39.6% from the field and 28% from three-point range. Despite the struggles, they hit 14 threes, with Tyler Herro knocking down 4 at a 44.4% clip.

Herro led Miami with 23 points, including 8 in the 4th quarter, while Jaime Jaquez added 20 points, hitting 3 threes at 60%. Bam Adebayo contributed 15 points, scoring 7 in the 3rd quarter.

The Heat’s defense shined in their 97-92 win over the Jazz, especially in the 2nd quarter, where they allowed just 14 points. Miami gave up 27 points in the 1st and 29 in the 3rd but tightened up in the 4th, holding Utah to 22 points to secure the victory.

Overall, the Heat held the Jazz to 39% shooting, including just 30% from beyond the arc, where Utah made 11 threes. The Jazz also went 15/17 from the free-throw line. Defensively, Miami recorded 10 steals and 7 blocks while allowing 11 offensive rebounds.

Can the Portland Offense Score Enough at Home?

Portland’s season record fell to 13-24 after a 117-111 road loss to the Mavericks on Thursday. The Blazers entered the game as +7.5 point underdogs but managed to cover the spread, losing by six. The total points for the game exceeded the O/U line of 220.5, with a combined score of 228.

Portland led 89-81 going into the 4th quarter, but the Mavericks turned the game around with a 16-0 run, taking the score from 109-101 to 117-109. The Blazers were outscored 36-22 in the final period.

In Thursday’s loss to the Mavericks, the Trail Blazers shot 41.9% from the field, but connected on 16 threes at a 44.4% clip. Shaedon Sharpe and Anfernee Simons led the way with 22 points each, with Simons hitting 4 threes and Sharpe making 3 at 50% efficiency.

Scoot Henderson added 20 points, hitting 50% from deep, while Toumani Camara and Donovan Clingan each contributed 11 points. Simons had 8 points in both the 1st and 3rd quarters, and added 6 more in the 4th.

Defensively, the Trail Blazers started strong, allowing just 20 points in the 1st quarter, but they struggled in the 2nd and 4th, giving up 33 and 36 points, respectively, leading to a 117-111 loss to the Mavericks. Portland held Dallas to 10 made threes on 33% shooting from beyond the arc.

Portland sent Dallas to the line 30 times, with the Mavericks converting 27 free throws. The Trail Blazers recorded 29 defensive rebounds but allowed 16 offensive boards. They also added 6 steals and 7 blocks.