Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans Betting Pick & Prediction 4/11/25
At 8:00 ET, the Miami Heat (-816) will travel to the Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans (+558) in a non-conference matchup. The Heat are currently favored by 13 points, and the over/under line is set at 215.
Miami comes into this game with a 36-44 record and is 10th in the Eastern Conference. Meanwhile, the Pelicans are 14th in the West and have dropped five straight.
MIAMI HEAT VS NEW ORLEANS PELICANS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Miami Heat -13
This game will be played at Smoothie King Center at 8:00 ET on Friday, April 11th.
WHY BET THE MIAMI HEAT:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 127-73 in favor of the Heat.
- Our projections have Tyler Herro finishing with 24 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists.
- From the field, we have the Heat finishing with a field goal percentage of 46.1% and knocking down 16 threes.
Does Miami Have A Chance at Smoothie King Center?
Miami’s season record fell to 36-44 after a 119-111 road loss to the Bulls on Wednesday. The Heat were -2.5 point favorites but failed to cover the spread. The game’s total score of 230 points narrowly exceeded the 227.5-point line.
A key moment came when the Bulls went on a 10-0 run, turning a 46-41 deficit into a 51-46 lead. Miami couldn’t recover, as they were outscored 31-20 in the 2nd quarter and entered the 4th quarter down 92-84.
Tyler Herro led the Heat with 30 points, including 11 in the 4th quarter, in their 119-111 loss to the Bulls. He shot 50% from the field, though he struggled from deep, hitting just 28.6% of his threes. Bam Adebayo added 18 points, scoring 7 in the 3rd quarter, while Davion Mitchell contributed 17 points and 8 assists, shooting 60% from the floor.
Miami connected on 12 three-pointers, shooting 36.4% from beyond the arc, and finished with an overall field goal percentage of 47.8%. Andrew Wiggins chipped in 14 points, with 5 coming in the final period, and Kel’el Ware added 12 points, 6 of which came in the opening quarter.
Defensively, the Heat struggled on Wednesday, giving up 119 points to the Bulls, who shot 51% from the field. Miami allowed 27 points in both the 1st and 4th quarters, but their toughest stretch came in the 3rd, where they gave up 34 points.
From beyond the arc, the Heat allowed Chicago to hit 14 threes on 37% shooting. The Bulls also went 13/13 from the free-throw line. Miami finished with 28 defensive rebounds, while giving up 10 offensive boards. They also recorded 11 steals and 3 blocks.
Is a Home Win Possible for the Pelicans?
New Orleans dropped to 21-59 on the season after a 136-111 road loss to the Bucks on Thursday. The Pelicans entered the game as +16.5 point underdogs but failed to cover the spread. The total score of 247 points exceeded the pre-game O/U line of 222.5 by 24.5 points.
New Orleans started strong, leading 26-21 after the 1st quarter, but Milwaukee took control with an 11-0 run, stretching the score from 52-50 to 63-50. The Bucks outscored the Pelicans 41-28 in the 2nd quarter and 38-31 in the 3rd, and New Orleans couldn’t mount a comeback in the 4th, where they were outscored 36-26.
In their 136-111 loss to the Bucks, the Pelicans shot 42.7% from the field and 31.9% from three-point range, hitting 15 threes overall. Lester Quinones led the team with 21 points, 11 of which came in the second quarter.
Jamal Cain and Keion Brooks each added 20 points, with Cain scoring 13 in the 4th quarter. Brooks made 4 threes, shooting 50% from deep, while Antonio Reeves contributed 9 of his 16 points in the 3rd quarter.
The Pelicans started strong defensively, giving up just 21 points in the 1st quarter, but they struggled in the 2nd, allowing 41 points. The Bucks continued to score at will in the 3rd and 4th quarters, with New Orleans giving up 38 and 36 points, respectively, in a 136-111 loss.
Overall, the Pelicans allowed Milwaukee to shoot 54% from the field, including 40% from three-point range, where the Bucks hit 18 threes. New Orleans also sent Milwaukee to the free-throw line 30 times, with the Bucks converting 20. Defensively, the Pelicans recorded 8 steals but didn’t register any blocks.