Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons Betting Pick & Prediction 11/12/24

At 7:00 ET, the 4-7 Detroit Pistons (+101) will host the 4-5 Miami Heat (-122) in an Eastern Conference matchup. The Heat are currently favored by 1.5 points and the over/under line is set at 216.

This game will be played at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit and can be seen on FDSD.

MIAMI HEAT VS DETROIT PISTONS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Miami Heat -1.5

This game will be played at Little Caesars Arena at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, November 12th.

WHY BET THE MIAMI HEAT:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 132-127 in favor of the Heat.
  • Our projections have Tyler Herro finishing with Tyler Herro points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Heat finishing with a field goal percentage of 44.9% and knocking down 17 threes.

Is A Road Victory Likely for the Favored Heat?

Miami improved to 4-5 on the season with a 95-94 win over the Timberwolves on Sunday. The Heat, who were +7 point underdogs, not only won but also covered the spread. The game’s total score of 189 points fell well short of the O/U line of 219.

Miami jumped out to a 27-20 lead after the 1st quarter, but Minnesota responded with an 11-0 run, taking the lead from 41-32 to 43-41. The Timberwolves led 71-68 going into the 4th quarter, but the Heat outscored them 27-23 in the final period to secure the win.

In the Heat’s 95-94 win over the Timberwolves, Tyler Herro led the way with 26 points, hitting 4 threes at a 50% clip. He shot 60% from the field overall. Nikola Jovic added 15 points, shooting 54.5% and making 2 threes at 50% efficiency.

Miami’s offense struggled, shooting 44.2% from the field and 35.5% from deep, with 11 made threes. Herro scored 11 points in the 4th quarter, while Jovic added 7 and Terry Rozier chipped in 5 of his 11 points late.

The Heat’s defense was crucial in their 95-94 win over the Timberwolves, holding them to 94 points on 39% shooting. Miami gave up 31 points in the 2nd quarter but bounced back, allowing just 20 points in both the 1st and 3rd quarters.

From beyond the arc, the Heat limited Minnesota to 28% shooting, with 13 made threes. The Timberwolves went to the line 13 times, making 11 free throws. Defensively, the Heat recorded 14 steals and 9 blocks.

Is an Upset Waiting to Happen at Home?

On Sunday, the Pistons fell to 4-7 on the season after a 101-99 home loss to the Rockets. Detroit, who entered the game as +4 point underdogs, managed to cover the spread. The game’s total score of 200 points was well below the O/U line of 218.5.

Houston took control early with an 11-0 run, but Detroit battled back, outscoring the Rockets 28-23 in the 2nd quarter. After falling behind 72-64 in the 3rd, the Pistons rallied in the 4th, outscoring Houston 35-29, but it wasn’t enough to complete the comeback.

Cade Cunningham led the Pistons with 26 points, 9 assists, and 8 rebounds in their 99-89 loss to the Rockets, shooting 47.6% from the field and 50% from three. Isaiah Stewart added 16 points on 77.8% shooting, while Malik Beasley contributed 15 points, hitting 4 threes at 44.4% efficiency.

As a team, the Pistons shot 42.9% from the field and 32.4% from beyond the arc, making 11 threes. Beasley scored 10 of his 15 points in the 4th quarter, while Cunningham added 6 points in the final period.

Despite a strong defensive effort, the Pistons couldn’t hold off the Rockets, giving up 101 points in a close loss. Detroit held Houston to just 20 points in the 1st quarter and 23 in the 2nd, but the Rockets scored 29 points in both the 3rd and 4th quarters. Overall, the Pistons limited the Rockets to 40% shooting from the field.

Detroit’s defense was particularly effective against the three-point shot, as they held Houston to just 7 made threes on 20% shooting. The Rockets went 18/24 from the free-throw line. The Pistons also recorded 6 steals and 6 blocks in the game.