Miami Dolphins vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction & Odds – November 15, 2026

BTB Pick

Miami Dolphins to win Moneyline +170

Pick recorded Nov 12, 5:01 AM ET · Game time Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET

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Odds checked Nov 12, 11:01 AM ET. Prices vary by sportsbook, so compare before you bet.

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Miami visits Indianapolis with both teams trying to turn around difficult 2026 regular-season campaigns. The Dolphins have struggled to score, while the Colts have had trouble keeping opponents off the board.

NFL GAME PREVIEW

Game details and odds

Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 1:00 pm EST · Lucas Oil Stadium

Team Spread (American price) Moneyline
Miami Dolphins +3.5 (-102) +170
Indianapolis Colts -3.5 (-118) -205

Total: 38.5 — over -108, under -112.

Draft Kings odds checked November 12, 2026 16:01 UTC. Odds subject to change.

Miami’s offense needs a steadier finish

The Dolphins enter at 1-7 and average 15.8 points per game, making sustained scoring their clearest challenge. Ollie Gordon II leads their rushing production with 463 yards and four touchdowns, while Malik Washington leads their receivers with 350 yards. Miami’s defense allows 25.0 points per game.

Miami’s recent results show how narrow its margin has been. The Dolphins beat the Jets 28-25 on the road, but losses to the Vikings, Bengals and Patriots followed or surrounded that win in the five-game sample. Their latest outing, a 19-9 loss to Detroit, was their lowest-scoring game in that stretch. Miami has reached 24 points in two of those games, yet scored 10 or fewer in two others. Finding the scoring level shown against the Jets and Bengals more consistently would give Miami a better chance to stay in this contest.

Our pick: Miami Dolphins to win.

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Indianapolis seeks a response after five defeats

Indianapolis is 2-7 despite averaging 20.4 points per game, more than Miami. Jonathan Taylor has 656 rushing yards and eight touchdowns, giving the Colts a productive ground-game option. Their concern is on defense: Indianapolis allows 27.7 points and 375.3 yards per game, including 137.0 rushing yards.

The Colts have lost all five of their listed recent games, with the defeat to Dallas the latest. That 27-23 result was more competitive than the previous week’s 42-7 loss at Jacksonville, but it still left Indianapolis looking for a finish to match its effort. The Colts also fell 26-20 at home to Tennessee and 16-10 at Minnesota, showing they have remained close in some games without getting the result. Against Pittsburgh, they scored 22 but conceded 34. A stronger defensive showing would make their offense’s work count for more.

Injury news

Miami Dolphins: Darrell Baker Jr. – Out (Knee); Malik Willis – Injured Reserve (Abdomen); Will Kacmarek – Questionable (Quadriceps); Jaylen Wright – Out; Chris Bell – Questionable (Knee).

Indianapolis Colts: A.J. Haulcy – Questionable (Ankle); Akeem Davis-Gaither – Questionable (Knee); Mo Alie-Cox – Questionable (Groin); Justin Walley – Out; Arden Key – Injured Reserve (Hamstring).

Availability checked November 12, 2026 16:01 UTC. Reported statuses may change; final lineups are not confirmed here.

BTB Betting Pick

Winner pick: Miami Dolphins.

Miami is the pick because its recent road win offers a stronger result than anything in Indianapolis’s five-game slide. The Dolphins’ uneven scoring remains a substantial obstacle, so this is a close call.

Original winner pick recorded November 12, 2026 10:01 UTC. Subsequent updates retain that selection.

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