Memphis Grizzlies vs Miami Heat Betting Pick & Prediction 4/3/25
The Miami Heat will host the Memphis Grizzlies at 7:30 ET in a non-conference matchup. The Heat have won six straight games and are 9th in the Eastern Conference, while the Grizzlies have lost four in a row and are 8th in the West.
Memphis is favored by 4.5 points and -180 on the moneyline. The over/under line for the game is 228. TNT will televise the game, which will be played at the Kaseya Center in Miami.
MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES VS MIAMI HEAT BETTING PICK
The Pick: Memphis Grizzlies -4.5
This game will be played at Kaseya Center at 7:30 ET on Thursday, April 3rd.
WHY BET THE MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 142-130 in favor of the Grizzlies.
- Our projections have Jaren Jackson Jr. finishing with 23 points, 6 rebounds and 2 assists.
- From the field, we have the Grizzlies finishing with a field goal percentage of 46.8% and knocking down 16 threes.
Taking a Look at the Grizzlies Chances in Miami
The Grizzlies fell to 44-32 on the season after a 134-125 home loss to the Warriors on Tuesday. Memphis entered the game as +4 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total points of 259 exceeded the O/U line of 239 by 20 points.
After a slow start, with the Grizzlies trailing 45-32 after the 1st quarter, they bounced back by outscoring the Warriors 34-29 in the 2nd and 37-29 in the 3rd. However, they couldn’t maintain their momentum in the 4th, as they were outscored 31-22 in the final period.
Ja Morant led the Grizzlies with 36 points and 5 threes, shooting 63.6% from the field in their 134-125 loss to the Warriors. He scored 10 points in the 3rd quarter and added 9 in both the 1st and 4th quarters. Jaren Jackson Jr. contributed 22 points, with 11 coming in the 2nd quarter, despite shooting just 35% from the field.
Desmond Bane added 19 points, hitting 4 threes at 40% efficiency. The Grizzlies connected on 18 threes as a team, shooting 40.9% from beyond the arc and 47.8% overall. Bane scored 10 points in the opening quarter, while Santi Aldama chipped in 18 points, including 6 in the 1st.
The Grizzlies struggled defensively in the 1st quarter, giving up 45 points, which contributed to their 134-125 loss to the Warriors. They tightened up in the 2nd and 3rd quarters, allowing 29 points in each, but still gave up 31 in the 4th. Memphis allowed Golden State to shoot 42% from the field.
From beyond the arc, the Warriors hit 22 threes at a 39% clip. Memphis also sent Golden State to the line 28 times, where they hit all their free throws. The Grizzlies gave up 15 offensive rebounds while recording 7 steals and 6 blocks.
Can the Heat Secure a Win at Home?
Miami improved to 35-41 on the season with a 124-103 win over the Celtics on Wednesday. The Heat, who were +10.5 point underdogs, not only won but covered the spread with a 21-point victory. The total score of 227 points exceeded the pre-game O/U line of 211.5 by 15.5 points.
Miami took control early, leading 29-22 after the 1st quarter and 30-23 in the 2nd. Boston made a push with a 13-0 run, closing the gap to 77-76, but the Heat responded by outscoring the Celtics 33-22 in the 4th quarter to seal the win.
In their win over the Celtics, the Heat shot 51.8% from the field and connected on 14 threes at a 46.7% clip. Tyler Herro led the way with 25 points, adding 8 in both the 1st and 4th quarters.
Bam Adebayo contributed 21 points, including 9 in the 2nd quarter, while Kyle Anderson added 19 points, shooting 63.6% from the floor. Pelle Larsson added 16 points, with 7 coming in the 3rd quarter.
Defensively, the Heat were strong in the 1st and 4th quarters, allowing just 22 points in each, and gave up 23 in the 2nd. Their only slip came in the 3rd, where they allowed 36 points. Overall, they held the Celtics to 103 points on 44% shooting.
From three-point range, Miami limited Boston to 12 made threes on 27% shooting. The Celtics went to the line 16 times, making 13 free throws. The Heat recorded 9 steals and 2 blocks in the game.