LSU Tigers vs Florida Gators Betting Pick & Prediction 11/16/24
LSU is the -5-point favorite on the road as they head into this matchup with the Florida Gators. The game is set for 3:30 ET from Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville and will be broadcast on ABC. The money line odds are -199 for LSU and +164 for Florida. The over/under line is currently 55 points. LSU has a 6-3 record, while Florida is 4-5 on the season.
LSU TIGERS VS FLORIDA GATORS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Florida Gators +5
This game will be played at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium at 3:30 ET on Saturday, November 16th.
WHY BET THE FLORIDA GATORS:
- We have the Florida Gators winning this one by a score of 28 to 24
- Not only do we have the Florida Gators winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 55 points
Will The LSU Tigers Win As Road Favorites?
LSU enters Week 12 against Florida with a 6-3 record, ranked 16th in our power rankings. They are already bowl-eligible but have just a 3.6% chance of winning the SEC. However, they hold a 7.2% chance of making the College Football Playoff.
The Tigers have been favored in five of their nine games, going 4-1 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +5.7 points per game, but they are 2-5 against the spread this season.
This week’s over/under line is set at 55 points. LSU’s games have averaged 55.4 points, with an average over/under line of 58.9 points. Their over/under record stands at 2-5 for the season.
LSU’s offense is centered around their passing game, ranking 7th in the nation with 322.8 yards per game. They are 9th in both passing attempts and completions, averaging 42.3 and 26.8 per game, respectively. Heading into week 12, they are 39th in scoring, with 30.6 points per game, but we have them 12th in our offensive power rankings.
Garrett Nussmeier leads the team with 2,870 passing yards, 21 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions, posting a passer rating of 92. Kyren Lacy has 697 receiving yards and seven touchdowns. On the ground, LSU averages 115.2 rushing yards per game.
LSU’s defense struggled in their recent game against Alabama, allowing 42 points in a 42-13 loss. They gave up 421 total yards, including 312 rushing yards and six rushing touchdowns, though they held Alabama to just 109 passing yards.
On the season, LSU ranks 51st nationally, allowing 24.9 points per game. Opponents are averaging 155.3 rushing yards per game and 216.2 passing yards, completing 62.4% of their throws against the Tigers’ defense.
Are The Florida Gators Going Win In At Upset At Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
At 4-5 this season, Florida is ranked 28th in our CFB power rankings. They have a 44.2% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Gators are 2-2 at home and 1-2 on the road as they prepare to face LSU in Week 12.
Florida is 1-0 as the favorite and 1-4 as the underdog this season, with a +0.6 average scoring margin. Against the spread, they are 4-3 overall, going 2-1 on the road and 2-2 at home.
The Gators’ over/under record stands at 6-1, with their games averaging 55.7 points. Their average over/under line is 52.2 points, and this week’s line is set at 55 points.
Heading into week 12, Florida’s offense is averaging 28.1 points per game, placing them 50th in the nation. In our offensive power rankings, they are 51st. Their third-down conversion rate is just 37%, ranking 90th nationally. On the ground, they average 156 rushing yards per game.
DJ Lagway leads the Gators’ passing attack with 1,071 yards, six touchdowns, and five interceptions. He has a passer rating of 100 and has completed 60.9% of his throws. Jadan Baugh is the team’s leading rusher with 411 yards and six touchdowns. Elijhah Badger has 560 receiving yards on 24 catches.
Florida’s defense struggled in their recent game against Texas, allowing 49 points in a 49-17 loss. They gave up 563 total yards, including 352 passing yards and five passing touchdowns.
On the season, Florida ranks 116th in rushing yards allowed per game (167.8) and 109th in passing yards allowed (234.1). Opposing quarterbacks have a 60.6% completion rate against them.