Los Angeles Lakers vs Indiana Pacers Betting Pick & Prediction 3/26/25

At 7:30 ET, the Los Angeles Lakers (-122) will take on the Indiana Pacers (+103) in a non-conference matchup. The Lakers are currently favored by 1.5 points and are on a three-game losing streak. The Pacers, on the other hand, have won five straight and are 4th in the Eastern Conference.
This game will be played at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis and can be seen on ESPN. The over/under line for this game is currently set at 235 points.
LOS ANGELES LAKERS VS INDIANA PACERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Los Angeles Lakers -1.5
This game will be played at Gainbridge Fieldhouse at 7:30 ET on Wednesday, March 26th.
WHY BET THE LOS ANGELES LAKERS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 136-131 in favor of the Lakers.
- Our projections have Luka Dončić finishing with 27 points, 8 rebounds and 7 assists.
- From the field, we have the Lakers finishing with a field goal percentage of 46.7% and knocking down 16 threes.
Is It the Lakers Game to Lose on the Road?
The Lakers dropped to 43-28 on the season after a 118-106 road loss to the Magic on Monday. Los Angeles, favored by four points, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The game’s total score of 224 points exceeded the 217.5-point line by 6.5 points.
After an 11-0 run pushed their lead to 55-40, the Lakers couldn’t maintain momentum. Orlando responded by outscoring them 34-18 in the third quarter, and although the Lakers won the fourth quarter 28-26, they couldn’t overcome the 92-78 deficit heading into the final period.
In the Lakers’ 118-106 loss to the Magic, Luka Dončić led the way with 32 points, 7 assists, and 7 rebounds, despite shooting just 39.1% from the field. He also hit 4 threes at a 40% clip. LeBron James added 24 points and 7 assists, shooting 50% from the floor, while Austin Reaves contributed 18 points and 6 rebounds.
As a team, the Lakers struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 10 threes at 31.2%. Their overall field goal percentage was 46.2%. Dončić scored 11 points in the 1st quarter and 10 more in the 2nd, while Reaves and Dorian Finney-Smith each added 6 points in the 4th.
The Lakers struggled defensively against the Magic, giving up 118 points on 49% shooting. Their toughest stretch came in the 3rd quarter, where they allowed 34 points. Los Angeles did manage to hold Orlando to 26 points in both the 1st and 4th quarters.
From beyond the arc, the Lakers allowed the Magic to hit 15 threes at a 37% clip. Orlando also went 19/23 from the free-throw line. Los Angeles finished with 28 defensive rebounds, but they gave up 12 offensive boards. The Lakers also recorded 7 steals and 1 block.
Do the Pacers Have a Shot at a Home Win?
With a 119-103 win over the Timberwolves on Monday, the Pacers improved to 42-29 for the season. Indiana, who were +1.5 point underdogs at home, not only secured the win but also covered the spread. The total points for the game were 222, falling short of the 230.5 O/U line.
Indiana took control in the 3rd quarter, outscoring Minnesota 41-25. A key 12-0 run pushed the score from 67-57 to 79-57. Although the Timberwolves won the 4th quarter 30-24, the Pacers’ big lead heading into the final period (95-73) was too much to overcome.
Tyrese Haliburton led the Pacers with 24 points and 11 assists in their win over the Timberwolves, shooting 56.2% from the field and hitting 3 threes at 42.9%. Obi Toppin added 20 points, connecting on 6 threes at 66.7% shooting from deep, while Aaron Nesmith contributed 17 points, making all 3 of his three-point attempts.
As a team, the Pacers shot 48.9% from the field and made 13 threes at a 37.1% clip. Haliburton scored 13 of his points in the 3rd quarter, while Toppin added 9 in the period.
The Pacers put together a strong defensive performance on Monday, holding the Timberwolves to just 103 points. Indiana allowed 23 points in the 1st quarter, 25 in both the 2nd and 3rd, and 30 in the 4th. Despite Minnesota shooting 48% from the field, the Pacers’ defense was effective.
Indiana excelled at defending the three-point line, limiting the Timberwolves to 9 made threes on 25% shooting. They also sent Minnesota to the free-throw line just 10 times, where they made 6. The Pacers finished with 9 steals and 5 blocks.