Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Betting Pick & Prediction 7/30/24
At 9:40 PM ET, the Dodgers and Padres will face off in an NL West matchup. This one is taking place at PETCO Park in San Diego, and the Dodgers are 63-44 overall, while the Padres are 57-51.
Los Angeles is currently favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -135 compared to the Padres at +115. The over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and Tyler Glasnow will start for the Dodgers, while the Padres are starting Matt Waldron.
SAN DIEGO PADRES VS LOS ANGELES DODGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: San Diego Padres Moneyline +115
This game will be played at PETCO Park at 9:40 ET on Tuesday, July 30th.
HOW TO BET THE DODGERS VS PADRES:
- We have the Padres winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Padres to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Dodgers Records & Stats
Los Angeles closed out their series vs. the Astros with a 6-2 win on the road. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +115 on the money line. It was a big 3rd inning for the Dodgers, as they scored three runs in the inning. The Astros could only score two runs, both of which came in the 6th.
River Ryan got the start for the Dodgers, going 5 2/3 innings, and picked up the win. He only gave up one run on two hits and finished with eight K’s. Teoscar Hernandez was hot at the plate, going 2/5 with a homer and scoring two runs. The Dodgers’s other big hitter was Gavin Lux, who went 1/2 with a homer.
Los Angeles is 63-44 overall and leads the NL West by 6.5 games over the Padres. The Dodgers are 21-16 in division games this year and kick off their series vs. the Padres on the road. Los Angeles lost two of three in their most recent series vs. the Astros.
At home, the Dodgers are 34-20 this year and have gone 29-24 on the road. As the favorite, the Dodgers have gone 59-35 and are 4-9 as the underdog. Los Angeles’ overall series record is 19-14-1, and they are 7-3 over their last 10 games.
The Dodgers are 53-54 against the run line this season, including a 28-25 mark on the road. They have covered the run line in two straight road games and have an average run differential of +0.9 runs per game away from home.
The Los Angeles Dodgers are on the road today against the San Diego Padres. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their average combined run average of 9.0 runs per game. The Dodgers have a 55-52 over/under record on the season, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, they are 7-8. Overall, 84.1% of their games this season have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.
Right-hander Tyler Glasnow gets the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Padres on the road. He has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 8-6 with a 3.47 ERA. In his 19 appearances, Glasnow has a batting average allowed of .174 and has issued just 2.61 walks per nine innings. One issue for Glasnow has been the long ball, as he has given up 13 homers this season. Looking back at his last three outings, he has finished with a no-decision and two losses. His most recent outing was on July 24th, where he took the loss and gave up one homer. Against the Padres, he has an ERA of 2.44.
Shohei Ohtani has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 32 homers are 2nd in the MLB and lead the Dodgers. Ohtani is also batting a strong .314 for the season and has gone 8/23 in his last six games, including two homers. Ohtani is also 5th in the league with 76 RBIs. Teoscar Hernandez is also having a solid season for the Dodgers, as he is batting .265 with 22 homers.
Los Angeles comes into the game with the league’s 3rd best home run total and is also one of the league’s top offenses in terms of batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. As a team, they are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 4th in the league.
Padres Records & Stats
Xander Bogaerts and the Padres will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Orioles with an 8-6 loss. San Diego was the +117 underdog on the road going into this matchup. Things really got away from the Padres in the 3rd inning, as the Orioles scored six runs in the inning. San Diego’s offense scored their only runs in the 5th.
Randy Vasquez got the start for the Padres and took the loss. He only lasted two innings, giving up six earned runs. The Padres also issued four walks in the 3rd inning.
San Diego is 57-51 overall this year, and they trail the Dodgers by 6.5 games in the NL West. The Padres are 2nd in the NL West and have gone 15-17 in divisional games. The Padres will host the Dodgers today and are 26-28 at home this year.
The Padres have been a better team on the road this year, going 31-23. They have also been good as the underdog this season, putting up a mark of 25-22. San Diego is 32-29 when favored this year. Coming into today’s game, the Padres have won three straight series, and their overall series record is 19-12-3.
When the Padres win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.8 runs in those games. However, when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.5 runs. Overall, their run line record is 57-51, and they are 38-16 against the run line on the road this season.
San Diego’s games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, but their over/under record is just 57-50. They have gone over the total in three straight games and have had 64 games with higher over/under lines than today’s 7.5. Overall, 59.3% of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s total.
Right-hander Matt Waldron gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Dodgers at home. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 6-9 with a 3.64 ERA. Waldron’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.15, and he has turned in 10 quality starts. In his last outing, Waldron picked up the win, going six innings and giving up three earned runs on four hits. Before that, he had lost two straight starts. Waldron has given up at least one homer in three straight outings. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.81 strikeouts and 2.5 walks.
San Diego comes into today’s game as the top hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .264. They are also near the top of the league in home runs and have the #1 on-base percentage in the league. The Padres have been a good road team this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game.
Jurickson Profar has been swinging a hot bat for the Padres, going 8/25 with four homers over his last six games. For the season, he is batting .301 with 18 home runs, which is 15th best in the league. Manny Machado and Jake Cronenworth have also been solid run producers this season, with 56 and 60 RBIs, respectively.