Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Betting Pick & Prediction 5/10/24
At 9:40 PM ET, the Dodgers and Padres will square off in an NL West matchup. This one is being played at PETCO Park in San Diego and features a Dodgers club that is 26-13 this season. The Padres are 20-20 and will be looking for a win at +144 on the money line.
Friday night’s pitching matchup is Tyler Glasnow for the Dodgers and Michael King for the Padres. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and the Dodgers are the favorite on the money line at -174.
SAN DIEGO PADRES VS LOS ANGELES DODGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: San Diego Padres Moneyline +144
This game will be played at PETCO Park at 9:40 ET on Friday, May 10th.
HOW TO BET THE DODGERS VS PADRES:
- We have the Padres winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Padres to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Dodgers Records & Stats
Heading into their last game vs. the Marlins, the Dodgers closed out the series with a 3-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -267. Offensively, the Dodgers only scored their three runs on six hits and Teoscar Hernandez was hot at the plate, going 2/3 with a homer and three RBIs.
Gavin Stone got the start for the Dodgers, going seven innings and giving up just one run on six hits. He only had four strikeouts in the outing and got the win.
Los Angeles is on a seven-game winning streak, and they lead the NL West with a record of 26-13. The Dodgers are currently 6.5 games ahead of the Padres for the division lead. So far, they have gone 7-4 in divisional matchups.
At home, the Dodgers have been good, putting together a record of 15-8. They have been strong on the road as well, going 11-5 this season. Los Angeles has been really good in night games, going 17-6 this season. The Dodgers have an overall series record of 8-5 and have won five straight series, including sweeping the Marlins in their most recent series.
When the Dodgers are the favorite, they are 20-17 vs. the run line. Their average run differential is +1.9 runs per game. In their last four games as the run line favorite, they are 4-0. Their average run differential in wins is +4.1 runs per game.
So far this season, the Dodgers have played in 26 games with over/under lines set at 8 or lower. In those games, the over has gone 2-1. The Dodgers have played in 32 games with over/under lines set at 8.5 or higher. In those games, the over has gone 20-11-1. Overall, the over is 22-17 in Dodgers games this season.
Right-hander Tyler Glasnow gets the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Padres on the road. He has made six quality starts this year and has a record of 6-1. Currently, Glasnow’s ERA is 2.70, and he has a WHIP of .92. In his most recent outing, he gave up two earned runs in seven innings of work and got the win. Before that, he had won three straight starts. Opponents are batting .173 off Glasnow this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 11.34 strikeouts. So far, he has allowed four home runs.
Shohei Ohtani has been one of the top hitters in the league so far this season, batting .355 with a team-high 11 home runs. He has also been hot of late, going 10/21 (.476) with four homers over his last six games. Teoscar Hernandez is also swinging a hot bat for the Dodgers, as he has four homers in his last seven games while batting .320.
Los Angeles comes into the game as the league’s top-scoring offense, averaging 5.5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.7 runs per contest. Not only is their team batting average of .270 the best in the league, but they also lead the league in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS.
Padres Records & Stats
Dylan Cease was excellent in his last start for the Padres, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out 12 Cubs batters. San Diego’s offense was carried by Jake Cronenworth, who went 2/3 with a double, run scored, and RBI.
The Padres’s bullpen closed things out with Robert Suarez picking up the save. San Diego was the -138 favorite on the money line going into the game.
San Diego is currently 2nd in the NL West, and they trail the Dodgers by 6.5 games. The Padres are at an even 20-20 overall, and they are 10-9 against other teams in the NL West. The Padres will host the Dodgers today and are 6.5 games behind them in the division.
At home, the Padres have gone just 8-12 this year compared to 12-8 on the road. As the favorite, San Diego is 13-11 and 7-9 as the underdog. They have won two straight at home, but they are just 0-4 as the home underdog this year. San Diego’s overall series record is 7-4-2, and they have won three straight series.
San Diego has been a solid bet on the run line this season at 22-18, but they have been much better on the road than at home. The Padres are 16-4 against the run line on the road, compared to just 6-14 at home. They have covered the run line in three straight games as the underdog and are 11-5 against the run line in those games this season.
San Diego’s over/under record for the season is 21-18, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8 runs, the Padres have gone 3-4-1 on the over/under. The over/under line for today’s game against the Dodgers is set at 8 runs, which is right at their season average. San Diego’s games have trended towards the over this season, with 45% of their games having higher lines than 8 runs.
Right-hander Michael King gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Dodgers at home. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 3-3 with an ERA of 4.29. King’s WHIP for the season is 1.41, and he has pitched much better on the road, coming in with a record of 3-2 and an ERA of 4.38. At home, his ERA is 7.31, and he has a record of 0-1. King’s last outing came on May 4th vs. the Diamondbacks, where he picked up the win, going six innings and not allowing a run. Before that, he had lost three straight starts.
Over the past eight games, both Jurickson Profar and Jake Cronenworth have been on fire for the Padres, with Profar going 13/31 (.419) with two homers and eight RBIs, and Cronenworth also going deep twice while batting .382. Cronenworth is also on a 12-game hitting streak. Profar and Cronenworth are currently 2nd and 3rd on the team in homers, with six and seven, respectively.
San Diego’s top power threat this season has been Fernando Tatis Jr., who is 6th in the league with seven homers. However, he is batting just .255 for the season. Jurickson Profar and Jake Cronenworth are the Padres’ top two hitters, with Profar batting .328 and Cronenworth at .292. Profar also leads the team with 27 RBIs, which is 8th in the league.