Los Angeles Dodgers vs Miami Marlins Betting Pick & Prediction 9/19/24

The Dodgers and Marlins face off in an NL matchup at 4:40 PM ET on Thursday. This one is being played at loanDepot Park in Miami, and the Dodgers are 90-62, while the Marlins are 56-96. Los Angeles is favored on the money line (-206), while the Marlins have odds of +176, and the over/under line is at 8 runs.
Jack Flaherty is starting for the Dodgers, while the Marlins are going with Edward Cabrera. The underdog Marlins are 5th in the NL East, while the Dodgers are leading the NL West. This game will be televised on BSFL.
MIAMI MARLINS VS LOS ANGELES DODGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Miami Marlins Moneyline +176
This game will be played at loanDepot Park at 4:40 ET on Thursday, September 19th.
HOW TO BET THE DODGERS VS MARLINS:
- We have the Marlins winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Marlins to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
It was all Dodgers in the last game of this series, as they took down the Marlins by a score of 8-4. Los Angeles had a huge 4th inning, scoring five of their eight runs. As for the Marlins, they scored their four runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Dodgers were favored at -200 on the money line.
Landon Knack only went five innings for the Dodgers but didn’t give up a run and finished with seven strikeouts. He picked up a win in the game, while Ryan Weathers had a rough outing for the Marlins, giving up five earned runs in just 4 1/3 innings of work.
At the plate, the Dodgers were led by Freddie Freeman and Chris Taylor, as they were the only two Dodgers hitters to have more than one hit and each had two RBIs. For the Marlins, Otto Lopez went 2/4 with two RBIs.
Dodgers Records & Stats
With an overall record of 90-62, the Dodgers lead the NL West by 3.5 games over the Padres. The Dodgers are 24-19 against other teams in the NL West. Los Angeles will be on the road today, taking on the Marlins, and they are 42-35 on the road this season.
As the favorite, the Dodgers have gone 85-50 this year, and they are 38-23 as the favorite on the road. So far, they have gone 5-12 as the underdog. Los Angeles’ overall series record is 28-18-4 heading into today’s matchup. The Dodgers have gone 5-5 over their last 10 games and are currently tied in their series vs. the Marlins.
When betting the run line with the Dodgers, it’s been a coin flip this season, as they are 76-76. They have been slightly more profitable on the road, going 38-39. They have been a favorite in most games, and their run line record as a favorite is 69-66. Their average run differential is +0.8 runs per game, and they have a +0.7 run differential on the road.
The Los Angeles Dodgers are on the road against the Miami Marlins today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Dodgers’ games have averaged 9.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 84-65. The average over/under line for their games is 9 runs, and when the line is set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 8-12. Overall, 69.7% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs, and their games have gone over the total in each of their last five contests.
Jack Flaherty will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing against the Braves, as he gets the start for the Dodgers today. In that start, which came on September 14th, he took the loss and gave up four earned runs in just three innings of work. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts. Flaherty’s ERA for the season is 3.04, along with a record of 12-7. Opponents have a batting average of .216 this season off Flaherty. Per nine innings, he is averaging 10.97 strikeouts and just 1.97 walks.
Los Angeles comes into the game as the 2nd highest-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per game. The Dodgers have been one of the league’s best power-hitting teams, as they are 3rd in home runs and have the 2nd best isolated power figure in the MLB.
Shohei Ohtani and Teoscar Hernandez have been the Dodgers’ top power threats this season, with Ohtani’s 48 homers being the 2nd most in the league, and Hernandez’s 29 homers also being near the top of the league. Ohtani also comes into the game with 110 RBIs, which is the best mark in the MLB. Freeman and Miguel Rojas are both on solid hitting streaks, with Freeman batting .368 over his last five games.
Marlins Records & Stats
Miami is 5th in the NL East, 35 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. Overall, the Marlins are 56-96, and they are 17-32 against other teams in the NL East. The Marlins will host the Dodgers today with an overall series record of 11-28-9. They have dropped two straight series.
At home, the Marlins are 29-48 compared to 27-48 on the road. This season, the Marlins have really struggled as the favorite, going just 4-14. As the underdog, they are 52-82. Miami is also just 3-7 over their last ten games.
When it comes to the run line, the Marlins have been a better bet on the road, going 38-37 compared to 33-44 at home. They have been a better bet when they are the underdog, going 69-65 compared to just 2-16 when they are the favorite.
The Marlins are at home today against the Dodgers, with the over/under line set at 8 runs. Miami’s games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 81-66. When the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 17-12-2. So far this season, 54.6% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, and they are currently on a two-game over streak.
Miami is sending Edward Cabrera to the mound today vs. the Dodgers, and he comes into the game with a record of 4-7 and an ERA of 4.55. So far this year, he has made 18 starts, and opponents are batting .211 off the right-hander. In his 18 appearances, Cabrera has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 10.01 strikeouts per nine innings. The last time he took the mound, Cabrera gave up two earned runs in six innings of work and took the loss. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts.
Over the past seven games, Otto Lopez has been on fire for the Marlins, going 9/26 with two homers and six RBIs. He is also on a five-game hitting streak. Jake Burger and Jesús Sánchez are the Marlins’ top power threats this season, with Burger leading the team with 26 homers and Sánchez right behind him at 17.
As a team, the Marlins are 28th in the league in runs scored and are also near the bottom of the league in home runs. Overall, they are batting .241, which is 13th in the league. Miami is also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage, walks, and OPS.