Los Angeles Dodgers vs Houston Astros Betting Pick & Prediction 7/28/24
From Minute Maid Park in Houston, we have the Dodgers and Astros facing off in an interleague matchup. First pitch is set for 2:10 PM ET, and the Astros are favored on the money line (-124). The money line odds for a Dodgers win are sitting at +105.
Today’s over/under line is at 9 runs, and the Astros will be looking to keep their three-game winning streak alive. However, the Dodgers are 62-44 this season and they are 1st in the NL West.
LOS ANGELES DODGERS VS HOUSTON ASTROS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline +105
This game will be played at Minute Maid Park at 2:10 ET on Sunday, July 28th.
HOW TO BET THE DODGERS VS ASTROS:
- We have the Dodgers winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Dodgers to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Houston rallied for four runs in the 6th inning in the most recent game of this Astros vs Dodgers series. The Astros scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up four in the 6th, picking up a 7-6 win. Heading into the game, the Astros were favored at -160 on the money line.
Ronel Blanco only went 4 1/3 innings for the Astros but gave up just three hits and four earned runs. Josh Hader got the win out of the bullpen, and Blake Treinen took the loss for the Dodgers.
Alex Bregman and Yainer Diaz each homered for the Astros, while Shohei Ohtani went deep for the Dodgers. Ohtani finished 2/3 with three RBIs, but his efforts came in a losing effort.
Dodgers Records & Stats
With an overall record of 62-44, the Dodgers lead the NL West by 5.5 games over the Padres. The Dodgers have dropped two straight games, and this comes with them losing the first two games of this series vs. the Astros. So far, they have gone 21-16 in divisional games.
Los Angeles has been really good at home this year, going 34-20, but they are just above .500 at 28-24 on the road. As the favorite, the Dodgers are 59-35 this year and 3-9 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Dodgers are 20-14-1 and have won two straight series.
When betting the run line, the Dodgers have been a solid play on the road this season, going 27-25. They have an average run margin of +0.9 runs per game away from Dodger Stadium. Their overall run line record is 52-54, and their average run margin for the season is +0.8 runs per game.
Los Angeles is on the road against the Houston Astros today, and the over/under line is set at 9 runs. The Dodgers have played 106 games this season, and their combined run average is exactly 9.0 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 55-51, and the average over/under line for their games is also 9 runs. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 8-6. So far this season, 74 of their games have had over/under lines set at less than 9 runs, which accounts for 69.8% of their games. Only 18 of their games have had over/under lines set at more than 9 runs, which is just 17.0% of their games.
River Ryan and the Dodgers are on the road to take on the Astros. Ryan is making his second start of the season, and in his first outing, he went 5 1/3 innings and allowed just 1 run on 4 hits. He struck out 2 and didn’t allow a home run.
Shohei Ohtani has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as he is 2nd in the league with 32 homers and has driven in 76 runs, which is 3rd in the league. Ohtani has also been on a tear of late, going 8/19 in his last five games with two homers and six RBIs. Overall, he is batting .318 for the season.
As a team, the Dodgers are 4th in scoring at 4.9 runs per game and have been one of the league’s most patient teams at the plate, as they are 2nd in walks and have the best on-base percentage in the league. Overall, they are 3rd in homers and have the league’s top OPS.
Astros Records & Stats
Houston currently leads the AL West by one game over the Mariners, and they have an overall record of 55-49. The Astros have won three straight games, and they are 5-5 over their last 10. So far, they are 19-17 in divisional matchups.
As the home team, the Astros have gone 30-21 this year compared to 25-28 on the road. The Astros have been the favorite in most of their games, putting together a mark of 41-35 as the favorite. As for their record as the home favorite, they are 27-17 this year.
When the Astros win, they do so by an average of 3.9 runs per game. They are 54-50 against the run line this season, and they are 27-24 at home. As the favorite, they are 36-40 against the run line, while they are 18-10 as the underdog. Their average run differential at home is +1.3, and their overall run differential is +0.5.
The Astros are playing at home today against the Dodgers. The over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. The combined run average in Astros games this season is 8.9 runs per game. So far this season, the over/under record for Astros games is 42-58, and the average over/under line for their games is 9 runs. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 11-7-2. In 84 games this season, only 14 have had over/under lines set higher than 9 runs, accounting for just 13.5% of their games.
Right-hander Spencer Arrighetti gets the start for the Astros today as he faces the Dodgers at home. He has made 18 starts this year and has a record of 4-8 with a 5.65 ERA. Arrighetti’s WHIP for the season is 1.58. In his 18 starts, he has turned in three quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Arrighetti took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without taking the loss. Opponents are batting .257 off Arrighetti this season.
Heading into today’s game, the Astros are the top hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .263. They are also 3rd in home runs and have the best slugging percentage in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.7 runs per game, and have been even better at home, putting up 5.1 runs per contest.
Yordan Alvarez has been the Astros’ top power threat this season, as his 20 homers are the best on the team and 12th best in the league. He is also hitting .300. Jose Altuve and Yainer Diaz are also having strong seasons, with Altuve batting .306 and Diaz at .289. Kyle Tucker is 2nd on the team with 19 homers and is batting .266. Jeremy Pena has been hot of late, going 14/34 in his last nine games, including two homers.