Los Angeles Clippers vs New Orleans Pelicans Betting Pick & Prediction 3/11/25

At 8:00 ET, the Clippers (-256) will travel to New Orleans to take on the Pelicans (+212). Los Angeles (-6.5) has won three straight games and is currently 8th in the Western Conference. New Orleans (-6.5) has lost four straight and is 14th in the West.
This Western Conference matchup will be played at the Smoothie King Center in New Orleans. The over/under line is set at 224.5 points. TV coverage will be provided by Gulf.
LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS VS NEW ORLEANS PELICANS BETTING PICK
The Pick: New Orleans Pelicans +6.5
This game will be played at Smoothie King Center at 8:00 ET on Tuesday, March 11th.
WHY BET THE NEW ORLEANS PELICANS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 124-108 in favor of the Pelicans.
- Our projections have Zion Williamson finishing with 25 points, 7 rebounds and 5 assists.
- From the field, we have the Pelicans finishing with a field goal percentage of 46.5% and knocking down 13 threes.
Are Los Angeles Ready for a Road Win?
With a narrow 111-110 win over the Kings on Sunday, the Clippers improved to 35-29. Playing at home, L.A. was favored by 6.5 points but didn’t cover the spread. The game’s total of 221 points went over the pre-game line of 216.5.
The Clippers overcame a 10-0 run by the Kings, who stretched their lead from 63-55 to 73-55. L.A. responded by outscoring Sacramento 25-22 in the 4th quarter to seal the win.
James Harden led the Clippers to a win over the Kings with 29 points, 11 assists, and 9 rebounds, shooting 52.6% from the field. Ivica Zubac added 22 points and 14 rebounds, hitting 64.3% of his shots, while Derrick Jones Jr. contributed 17 points, making 77.8% from the field and 2 threes at 66.7%.
The Clippers shot 53.1% overall, but struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 10 threes at 32.3%. Harden made 3 threes, though at just 27.3% efficiency. He scored 6 points in overtime, while Jones also added 5 points in the extra period.
The Clippers put together a strong defensive performance on Sunday, holding the Kings to 110 points in their win. They gave up 23 points in the 1st quarter and 22 in the 4th, allowing 26 points in both the 2nd and 3rd quarters.
From beyond the arc, the Clippers were excellent, limiting the Kings to just 9 made threes on 26% shooting. They also grabbed 35 defensive rebounds while allowing 8 offensive boards.
Do the Pelicans Have a Shot at a Home Win?
The Pelicans fell to 17-48 after a 107-104 home loss to the Grizzlies on Sunday. Despite being +10 point underdogs, New Orleans kept it close, losing by just three. The game’s total of 211 points was well below the O/U line of 239.
New Orleans led 64-57 at halftime but struggled in the 3rd quarter, getting outscored 32-15. They rallied with a 10-0 run in the 4th, taking the lead from 91-87 to 97-91, but couldn’t hold on as the Grizzlies closed out the game.
The Pelicans shot just 41.2% from the field in their 107-104 loss to the Grizzlies, but connected on 13 threes at a 38.2% clip. Trey Murphy III led New Orleans with 27 points, scoring 10 in the 1st quarter and 12 more in the 3rd.
Karlo Matković added 13 points and 11 rebounds, with 6 points in both the 2nd and 4th quarters. Jordan Hawkins and Kelly Olynyk each contributed 12 points, while Jose Alvarado and Antonio Reeves chipped in 11, with Reeves scoring 9 in the 2nd period.
Despite a strong defensive effort in the 4th quarter, where they held the Grizzlies to just 18 points, the Pelicans couldn’t secure the win, allowing 107 points overall. New Orleans gave up 31 points in the 2nd quarter and 32 in the 3rd. However, they did an excellent job defending the three-point line, holding Memphis to 26% shooting from deep with 13 threes made.
The Pelicans sent the Grizzlies to the free-throw line 19 times, where they converted 12 attempts. New Orleans also recorded 5 steals and 6 blocks. On the boards, they grabbed 29 defensive rebounds but allowed 23 offensive rebounds.