Los Angeles Angels vs Minnesota Twins Betting Pick & Prediction 9/10/24
From Target Field in Minneapolis, we have an Angels-Twins matchup. The Twins are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -250, while the Angels are +207. The over/under line is at 8 runs, and BSW will be televising this one.
Griffin Canning is starting for the Angels, and he is facing off against Pablo Lopez. The Angels are 60-84 this season, while the Twins are 76-68. Los Angeles is in 5th in the AL West, and the Twins have lost four straight. The other two teams in the AL Central are the Indians and White Sox, and they are 3.5 games back of the Twins.
LOS ANGELES ANGELS VS MINNESOTA TWINS BETTING PICK
The Pick: OVER 8 Runs
This game will be played at Target Field at 7:40 ET on Tuesday, September 10th.
HOW TO BET THE ANGELS VS TWINS:
- We have the Twins winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Angels to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
It was all Los Angeles in the last game of this series, as the Angels took down the Twins by a score of 6-2. The Angels offense only had two more hits than the Twins and struck out eight times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +149 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Reid Detmers for the Angels and David Festa for the Twins. Detmers went six innings and gave up just two hits and two earned runs, picking up a win in the game. On the other side, Festa was tagged for four runs in four innings of work and took the loss.
Los Angeles got a huge performance from Niko Kavadas, who went 2/4 with a home run and two RBIs. Both Brandon Drury and Taylor Ward each drove in two for the Angels’ offense.
Angels Records & Stats
With an overall record of 60-84, the Angels are 5th in the AL West and trail the Astros by 17.5 games. So far, they have gone 20-22 in divisional matchups. The Angels are looking to pick up a win today on the road, as they are just 30-42 at home this year.
As for how they have fared as the underdog, the Angels are 54-69 this season. They have struggled as the favorite, going just 6-15. The Angels’ overall series record is 13-30-3, but they are currently winning their series vs. the Twins.
When the Angels win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.1 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.7 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 75-69, and they have a run line record of 38-34 on the road.
Los Angeles Angels games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and the over/under record for their games is 68-70. When the O/U line is set at 8 runs, they have gone over 15 times, under 8 times, and pushed twice. Overall, 72.2% of their games have had higher O/U lines than 8 runs.
Right-hander Griffin Canning is on the mound for the Angels today as he faces the Twins on the road. This year, he has made 27 starts and has a record of 5-12 with a 5.02 ERA. Canning’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.38. In his 28 appearances, he has turned in six quality starts. Canning’s most recent outing came against the Dodgers, where he picked up the win, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had allowed at least three earned runs in three straight outings.
So far this season, the Angels offense is averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 27th in the MLB. They are also near the bottom of the league in most offensive categories, including team batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. The Angels have been a little better at home, averaging 4 runs per game.
Los Angeles is hoping that Taylor Ward can keep his hot streak going, as he has gone 10/26 in his last seven games with three homers. For the season, he is batting .248 with a team-leading 65 RBIs and 22 homers. Zach Neto is also near the top of the Angels’ home run leaderboard, with 20 homers and a batting average of .256.
Twins Records & Stats
With a record of 76-68, the Twins are six games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. Overall, they have gone 28-20 against other teams in the division. The Twins will take on the Angels at home today, having lost four straight games, and they dropped the first game of this series vs. the Angels.
Minnesota has been good at home this year, putting together a record of 39-31. On the road, they are an even 37-37. As the favorite, the Twins are 60-39 and 16-29 as the underdog. So far, they have an overall series record of 25-17-4.
Minnesota has been a solid run line bet at home this season, going 29-41. The Twins’ average run margin at home is 0.4, and they have a run line record of 43-56 when favored. Their overall run line record is 66-78, and they have a run line losing streak when favored of seven games.
The Minnesota Twins are playing at home today against the Los Angeles Angels. The O/U line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Twins’ games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season, and their O/U record is 71-67 overall. When the O/U line is set at 8 runs, their record is 12-18-5. This season, 56 of their games have had O/U lines set higher than 8 runs, which is 38.9% of their games. 53 of their games have had O/U lines set lower than 8 runs, which is 36.8% of their games.
Pablo López has been pitching well for the Twins, coming into the game with a record of 14-8 and an ERA of 4.05. He has made 28 starts this season and has pitched well at home, going 6-4 with a 4.63 ERA. Lopez’s ERA on the road is 4.85, and he has a record of 8-4 away from home. One of his best starts of the season came on August 30th vs. the Blue Jays, where he went 7 2/3 innings, giving up no runs and getting the win. In his last outing, he gave up three earned runs in 6 2/3 innings of work.
Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers are tied for the team lead with 20 home runs apiece, with Santana also leading the Twins with 61 RBIs. However, Santana has struggled at the plate of late, hitting just .192 over his last eight games. Jeffers is also batting just .231 for the season. Byron Buxton and Royce Lewis are tied for 2nd on the team with 16 homers apiece, with Buxton batting .275 and Lewis at .243.
Overall, the Twins are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. They are also near the top of the league in both slugging percentage and isolated power. Minnesota’s team batting average is .249, and they are 8th in the league in home runs.