Los Angeles Angels vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick & Prediction 5/5/24

Carlos Carrasco and the Cleveland Guardians will host the Los Angeles Angels on Sunday, with the game set to start at 1:40 from Progressive Field in Cleveland. The Guardians are sending Griffin Canning to the mound. Coming into the game, the Guardians are 21-12, while the Angels are 12-21.

Currently, the over/under line is at 9 runs, and the Guardians are the favorite at -134 on the money line. If you’re looking to catch this one on TV, it is being carried by BSW.

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS VS LOS ANGELES ANGELS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cleveland Guardians Moneyline -134

This game will be played at Progressive Field at 1:40 ET on Sunday, May 5th.

HOW TO BET THE ANGELS VS GUARDIANS:

• We have the Guardians winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Angels to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Cleveland cruised to a 7-1 win over the Angels in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a huge 2nd inning, scoring four of their seven runs. As for the Angels, they scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Guardians were favored at -130 on the money line.

Ben Lively pitched well for the Guardians in this one, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued three walks. On the other side, Reid Detmers got the start for the Angels, going just 5 2/3 innings while giving up seven runs and took the loss.

Offensively, the Guardians were led by Bo Naylor and Austin Hedges, as they were the only two hitters in the lineup to have more than one hit. Naylor, Ramon Laureano, and Franmil Reyes each homered for Cleveland’s offense.

Angels Records & Stats

Los Angeles is 12-21 overall this season, which has them tied with the Astros for 5th place in the AL West. The Angels will be playing on the road today, and they are 6.0 games behind the Mariners for the division lead. So far, they have yet to play a game against another AL West team.

The Angels have really struggled in day games this year, going just 2-12. They are also only 4-11 at home compared to 8-10 on the road. Los Angeles has dropped four straight series and is 1-8-1 in series overall. As the underdog, the Angels are 8-9 this year and 11-18 in all other games.

When betting the run line, the Angels have been a better play on the road than at home, going 11-7 vs. the run line away from Los Angeles. They have also been a better play as an underdog, going 16-13 vs. the run line in those games. The Angels’ average run differential in their wins this season is +3.8, while their average run differential in losses is -4.0.

Los Angeles Angels games have gone over the total 18 times and under 14 times this season. The average over/under line in Angels games is 9 runs, and their games have averaged 9.5 runs per game. In games with an over/under line of 9 runs, the over is 3-4. Overall, 63.6% of Angels games have had lower over/under lines than 9 runs.

Through six starts, Griffin Canning has a record of 1-3 and an ERA of 7.45. He has made six appearances this season and is coming off a start in which he gave up four earned runs in five innings of work. In that outing, he gave up one homer. Canning’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.55, and opponents are batting .287 off the right-hander this year. So far, he has allowed a total of five homers. Looking back at his last three starts, Canning has finished with a no-decision, a win, and a loss.

So far this season, the Angels are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. They have been a bit better at home, averaging 4.1 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .242, which is 10th in the league, and are also 7th in the league in home runs. One thing to keep an eye on is their team on-base percentage, as they are just 20th in the league in walks and have a collective OBP of .306.

Mike Trout has been a bit of a disappointment so far this season, hitting just .220, but he does lead the team with 10 homers. Taylor Ward has been a bright spot for the Angels, as he is batting .280 with seven homers, which is 4th in the league. Ward’s 24 RBIs is also good for 6th in the league.

Guardians Records & Stats

Cleveland is hosting the Angels today with an overall record of 21-12, good for 1st place in the AL Central. So far, they have gone 4-1 against other teams in the AL Central. The Guardians have been good on the road (12-7) and have gone 9-5 at home this year. This season, they have been really good in day games, putting up a record of 10-3.

The Guardians have dropped two straight series, and their overall series record is 7-3. As the favorite, Cleveland has gone 12-6 this year and 8-4 as the home favorite. Over the Guardians’ last 10 games, they are just 4-6.

The Cleveland Guardians have been a solid run line bet this season, going 22-11 overall and 9-5 at home. They have a run differential of +1.2 runs per game, and their average run differential in winning games is +3.8 runs per game. They have been particularly good against the run line as the underdog, going 12-3 so far this season.

Today’s over/under line of 9 runs is slightly higher than the average line for Cleveland’s games this season. The Guardians have played 31 games, and only three of them have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 18-13.

Cleveland is sending Carlos Carrasco to the mound today vs. the Angels, and he comes into the game with a record of 1-2 and an ERA of 6.58. So far, he has made six starts and has a WHIP of 1.68. In his last outing, Carrasco finished with a no-decision, giving up eight hits, eight earned runs, and two homers in four innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts. Carrasco’s ERA at home is 5.46, compared to 7.39 on the road.

Heading into today’s game, the Guardians are 6th in the league in runs scored, averaging 5 runs per contest. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .244, which is 9th in the league, and are near the top of the league in fewest strikeouts per game.

Steven Kwan has been red hot for the Guardians, going 12/32 in his last nine games with one home run and four RBIs. For the season, he is batting .353. Jose Ramirez is just batting .227 this season but leads the team with 25 RBIs and is 5th in the league in RBIs. Josh Naylor has also been a big power threat for the Guardians, as his seven home runs are 4th best in the league.