Los Angeles Angels vs Chicago Cubs Betting Pick & Prediction 7/5/24

From Wrigley Field in Chicago, we have an interleague matchup between the Angels and Cubs. Friday’s matchup has a start time of 2:20 PM ET. Justin Steele is starting for the Cubs, and the Angels are going with Griffin Canning.

Chicago is the heavy favorite on the money line, with the odds sitting at -197, while the Angels are at +167. Today’s over/under line is sitting at 10.5 runs, and the game will be televised on BSW. The Angels are 36-50, while the Cubs come in with a record of 40-48. Los Angeles is 4th in the AL West, and the Cubs are 5th in the NL Central.

LOS ANGELES ANGELS VS CHICAGO CUBS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Los Angeles Angels Moneyline +167

This game will be played at Wrigley Field at 2:20 ET on Friday, July 5th.

HOW TO BET THE ANGELS VS CUBS:

• We have the Angels winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Angels to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the under

Angels Records & Stats

The Angels will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Athletics with a 5-0 loss. Los Angeles was actually the slight favorite on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Athletics scored three times in the third.

Offensively, the Angels only had four fewer hits than the Athletics but didn’t score a run. Their best chance to score came in the 4th inning, but they left the bases loaded. Roansy Contreras got the start for the Angels and took the loss. He only lasted 2 /3 innings, giving up two earned runs.

Los Angeles is 36-50 overall, putting them 4th in the AL West, 10.5 games behind the Mariners for the division lead. The Angels have dropped four straight games, losing the final game of their series with the Athletics and their first three games vs. the Mariners. So far, they are 8-10 in divisional matchups.

At home, the Angels are 18-26 this year, and they are 18-24 on the road. This season, the Angels have really struggled in day games, going 8-20. As the underdog, the Angels are 32-43 this year, compared to 4-7 as the favorite. Heading into today’s game vs. the Cubs, the Angels have an overall series record of 8-18-2.

The Angels have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 48-38 overall. They are 24-20 at home and 24-18 on the road. However, they have failed to cover the run line in their last four road games and are just 3-8 on the run line as the favorite this season. They are 45-30 on the run line as the underdog.

Los Angeles Angels games have gone under the over/under line in 98.8% of their games this season, with an average line of 8 runs. Their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game, and their over/under record is 44-40. The O/U line for today’s game against the Chicago Cubs is set at 10.5 runs, and their games have gone under that line in 85 of 86 games this season. The under has hit in their last two games.

Griffin Canning is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Tigers, as he finished with a no-decision after giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. In that outing, he gave up a total of five runs, and he has allowed at least four earned runs in three of his last four starts. Canning’s record for the season is 3-8, and his ERA is 4.71. Looking at his home/road splits, Canning is 0-6 with a 5.69 ERA on the road compared to 3-2 with a 4.60 ERA at home. So far, he has made 17 starts, five of which were quality starts.

The Angels offense is averaging 4.1 runs per game this season, which is 22nd in the league. They are also just 16th in team batting average and have been one of the worst teams in terms of drawing walks. Los Angeles does have the 11th most home runs in the league and have been pretty good at avoiding strikeouts.

Luis Rengifo has been the Angels’ top hitter this season, batting .315 with an on-base percentage of .358. He is also 8th on the team with six homers. Taylor Ward leads the team with 14 long balls but is hitting just .236. However, he does have 43 RBIs, which is the best mark on the team. Ward is currently on a seven-game hitting streak, and Nolan Schanuel is also on a streak, having hit safely in his last nine games.

Cubs Records & Stats

The Cubs’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Phillies, closing out their series with a 10-2 win. After allowing one run to the Phillies in the top of the first, the Cubs responded with five runs of their own. Chicago went on to add another five runs in the 4th inning.

Starting for the Cubs was Jameson Taillon, who picked up the win and went seven innings, giving up just two runs on four hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and got the win.

With a record of 40-48, the Cubs are 5th in the NL Central and trail the Brewers by 12 games. So far, they have gone just 10-19 in divisional games. The Cubs will host the Angels today with an overall record of 23-20 at home compared to 17-28 on the road.

Chicago has dropped four straight series, and their overall series record is 9-17-2 this year. As the favorite, the Cubs are 20-21 and 20-27 as the underdog. They closed out their series vs. the Phillies with a record of 3-7 over their last 10 games.

Chicago is 41-47 against the run line this season, with a -0.3 average run differential. The Cubs are 16-27 against the run line at home, where they have a +0.4 average run differential. They are 25-20 against the run line on the road, where they have a -1.0 average run differential. Chicago has been an underdog in 47 games, going 30-17 against the run line in those contests. The Cubs have a +3.0 average run differential in wins and a -3.1 average run differential in losses.

The Chicago Cubs are at home today against the Los Angeles Angels with an over/under line of 10.5 runs. The Cubs have a combined run average of 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 39-45. When the over/under line is set at 10.5 runs, their record is 2-2, and the average line for their games this season is 8 runs. The over has hit in their last four games.

Left-hander Justin Steele gets the start for the Cubs today as he faces the Angels at home. Steele has made 12 starts this year and has a record of 0-3 with an ERA of 3.20. So far, he has made six quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he gave up three earned runs in six innings of work. In that start vs. the Brewers, he gave up seven hits, walked zero batters, and didn’t allow a homer. Steele has not taken a loss in his last three outings.

So far this season, the Cubs are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. They have been a little better at home, averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. As a team, they are batting just .229 and are also near the bottom of the league in terms of slugging percentage and OPS.

Chicago’s top power hitter this season has been Christopher Morel, who has gone deep 15 times but is batting just .197 overall. Ian Happ leads the team with 50 RBIs and is also 2nd on the team with 13 homers. Happ has gone 9/31 with four homers over his last 10 games. Cody Bellinger is batting .274 for the season and is currently on a five-game hitting streak.