Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Pick & Prediction 5/1/24
At 3:07 from the Rogers Centre in Toronto, we have an American League matchup between the Royals and Blue Jays. Coming into the game, the Royals have an overall record of 18-13, while the Blue Jays are 15-16.
Wednesday’s forecast in Toronto calls for partly cloudy skies and temperatures in the low 60s. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the Blue Jays are favored at -132. Looking at the starting pitching matchup, we have Seth Lugo going for the Royals and Chris Bassitt for the Blue Jays.
TORONTO BLUE JAYS VS KANSAS CITY ROYALS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline -132
This game will be played at Rogers Centre at 3:07 ET on Wednesday, May 1st.
HOW TO BET THE ROYALS VS BLUE JAYS:
- We have the Blue Jays winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Royals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Thanks to a two-run homer from Michael Massey and a good outing from Cole Ragans, the Royals picked up a 4-1 road win over the Blue Jays in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Royals were at +110 on the money line.
Ragans went 6 2/3 innings for the Royals, giving up just one run and striking out nine. He picked up a win in the game, while James McArthur got the save. Jose Berrios had a rough outing for the Blue Jays, taking the loss.
Kansas City got to Berrios early, scoring two runs in the first and adding two more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Blue Jays got on the board with one run in the 6th. Both offenses went silent after that.
Royals Records & Stats
Kansas City is 18-13 overall this season, and they are 2nd in the AL Central, two games behind the Guardians for the division lead. The Royals closed out April with a win over the Blue Jays and are 8-5 in AL Central matchups this year.
The Royals have been really good at home this year, going 12-5. On the road, they are 6-8 this season. So far, they have been good as the underdog, putting up a mark of 12-10. As the favorite, the Royals are 6-3 this year. Kansas City’s overall series record is 4-5 this year.
When the Kansas City Royals are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 9-5 so far this season. Their average run margin on the road is +0.5, and they have covered the run line in their last two games. As the underdog, they are 15-7 against the run line, while they are 5-4 as the favorite.
The Kansas City Royals have had 29 games this season and 11 of them have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs. In those 11 games, the over has gone 3-9. Their games have averaged 7.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 10-19 overall.
Seth Lugo has been pitching well for the Royals this season, as he comes into the game with a record of 4-1 and an ERA of 1.66. Lugo has made six starts this year and has turned in five quality starts. His most recent outing was a gem, as he went seven innings, picking up the win and not giving up a run. In that outing, he only allowed three hits and issued two walks. Lugo has been especially tough on the road, with a record of 2-0 and an ERA of 0.0. At home, his ERA is 2.78.
Salvador Perez and Bobby Witt Jr. have been leading the way for the Royals offensively this season. Perez comes into the game batting .355 with a team-high seven home runs, which is 4th in the league. Witt Jr. is hitting .315 and has gone 13/38 in his last 10 games. Maikel Garcia has also gone 13/38 in his last 10 games and is on a five-game hitting streak, but he is batting just .231 for the season.
As a team, the Royals are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. So far, they have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are 8th in the league in home runs and have the 2nd fewest strikeouts in the league.
Blue Jays Records & Stats
Toronto is hosting the Royals today with an overall record of 15-16, and they are 5th in the AL East, five games behind the Orioles for the division lead. So far, they are 5-5 in divisional matchups. The Blue Jays dropped the first game of this series vs. the Royals.
At home, the Blue Jays have gone 8-6 this season compared to 7-10 on the road. As the favorite, Toronto has gone 12-7 this season and 3-9 as the underdog. So far, they are 4-4-1 in series this year.
When the Blue Jays win, they win big, with an average run margin of +2.9 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose by an average of -4.4 runs per game. Overall, the Blue Jays are 14-17 against the run line this season, including a 6-8 mark at home and an 8-9 mark on the road. They are 10-9 against the run line as the favorite and 4-8 as the underdog.
So far this season, the Blue Jays have played 30 games, and the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs or more in five of those games. In those five games, the over has hit three times and the under has hit twice. Overall, the Blue Jays have hit the over in 12 of their 30 games this season.
Chris Bassitt gets the start for the Blue Jays today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Dodgers. In that start, he went just 2 2/3 innings, giving up seven earned runs, and taking the loss. Looking back over his last three outings, Bassitt has given up at least one homer in each. His ERA for the season is 5.64, along with a record of 2-4. Bassitt’s WHIP for the season is 1.85. So far, he has made two quality starts this year.
Justin Turner has been a consistent bat for the Blue Jays this season, batting .298, and his four homers is the 2nd most on the team. Turner has also gone deep twice in his past seven games. Daulton Varsho has gone deep six times this season, which is 5th in the league, but is batting just .233 for the season.
As a team, the Blue Jays are 28th in scoring at 3.5 runs per game. Overall, they are batting just .227 and have a collective on-base percentage of .312. Toronto’s team OPS of .675 is also 18th in the league.