Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Pick & Prediction 4/30/24
At 7:07 PM from the Rogers Centre in Toronto, we have an American League matchup between the Royals and Blue Jays. Heading into Tuesday’s game, the Royals have a record of 17-13, while the Blue Jays are 15-15. The over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and the Blue Jays are the favorite on the money line at -141.
Kansas City is starting Cole Ragans, and he is facing off against Jose Berrios for the Blue Jays. Toronto comes in with a winning streak of 3 games, while the Royals have won 2 in a row.
KANSAS CITY ROYALS VS TORONTO BLUE JAYS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Kansas City Royals Moneyline +119
This game will be played at Rogers Centre at 7:07 ET on Tuesday, April 30th.
HOW TO BET THE ROYALS VS BLUE JAYS:
- We have the Royals winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Royals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Blue Jays vs Royals series. Toronto went into the matchup as -173 favorites and squeaked out a 6-5 win. Heading into the game, the Blue Jays had lost two in a row.
Kansas City had a chance to win the game in the 9th inning, but Nate Pearson closed things out for the Blue Jays. Jonathan Bowlan had a rough outing for the Royals, going just 2 2/3 innings and giving up four earned runs.
Yariel Rodriguez got the start for the Blue Jays, going just 3 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. He did not factor in the decision. Génesis Cabrera got the win out of the bullpen.
Royals Records & Stats
Kansas City is on the road today vs. the Blue Jays, and they are looking to snap a three-game losing streak, which came after winning the first game of their series vs. the Tigers. The Royals and Tigers are both 3.0 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. So far, they have an 8-5 record against other teams in the AL Central.
At 17-13 overall, the Royals are 2nd in the AL Central, and they trail the Guardians by three games. This season, they have been good at home, going 12-5, but they are just 5-8 on the road. As the underdog, the Royals have lost three straight, and they are 3-6 as the road underdog this year.
When the Royals win, they tend to do so by a wide margin, as their average run differential in victories is +4.3. They’ve been profitable on the run line this season, going 19-11 overall. They’ve been especially good against the run line as the underdog, going 14-7. Their run line record on the road is 8-5, and they’ve covered in their last three road games.
The Kansas City Royals have had a combined run average of 7.8 runs per game this season, but their over/under record is just 10-18. Their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 0-3, and they have had 83.3% of their games with higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs. Their game today against the Toronto Blue Jays has an over/under line of 7.5 runs, and their most recent game against the Blue Jays had a combined total of 11 runs.
Cole Ragans is looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win vs. the Blue Jays. In that April 25th outing, he went 5 innings and gave up just 1 earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Ragans has made six starts and has a record of 1-2. His ERA for the season is 3.90, along with a WHIP of 1.43. Opposing batters are hitting .266 off the left-hander this season. Ragans has made three quality starts this year and is averaging 11.1 strikeouts per nine innings.
Salvador Perez has been the Royals’ most consistent hitter this season, batting .346 with a team-high seven home runs. He also comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak. Bobby Witt Jr. has been hot of late, going 11/35 in his last nine games, but he has yet to homer in that stretch. Witt Jr. is batting .306 for the season and has 16 RBIs.
As a team, the Royals are averaging 4.6 runs per game and have been even better at home, putting up 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are 7th in home runs and are one of the toughest teams in the league to strike out. Currently, the team is 16th in on-base percentage and 12th in slugging.
Blue Jays Records & Stats
Toronto is at an even 15-15 overall heading into today’s game vs. the Royals. The Blue Jays are 4th in the AL East, four games behind the Orioles for the division lead. Toronto has won two straight games, taking the final game of their series vs. the Dodgers and the first game of this series vs. the Royals.
As the favorite, the Blue Jays are 12-6 this year, and they are 8-3 as the favorite at home. Toronto has struggled as the underdog, going just 3-9. So far, they are 8-5 at home and 7-10 on the road. The Blue Jays’ overall series record is 4-4-1.
So far this season, the Toronto Blue Jays have a run differential of -0.8 runs per game, and their run line record is 14-16. They are 6-7 against the run line at home and 8-9 on the road. The Blue Jays have been favored in 18 games this season and have gone 10-8 against the run line in those contests. They have gone 4-8 against the run line as the underdog. In their wins, the Blue Jays have won by an average of 2.9 runs per game, while in their losses, they have lost by an average of 4.5 runs per game.
The Blue Jays’ over/under record for the season is 12-17, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. Their games have averaged 8.0 runs per game this season. Their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 2-3. So far this season, 83.3% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs.
Through six starts, José Berríos has a record of 4-1 and an ERA of 1.23 for the Blue Jays. He has made five quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow a run. In that start vs. the Padres, he went six innings and gave up just two hits. Berríos has only allowed three homers this season and is averaging 6.87 strikeouts per nine innings. So far, he has been much better at home, coming in with an ERA of 0.0 compared to 2.02 on the road.
Justin Turner has been a bright spot for the Blue Jays offense so far this season, as he is batting .311 with four home runs and 15 RBIs. Turner’s batting average and OBP are both the best marks on the team. Daulton Varsho is also among the league leaders in home runs, but he is batting just .233 for the season.
Varsho has been swinging the bat well of late, going 9/31 in his last 10 games with two homers and six RBIs. Justin Turner has also gone deep twice in his last 10 games, but he is batting just .250 over that stretch. Danny Jansen has two homers in his last seven games while batting .263.