Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins Betting Pick & Prediction 5/28/24
The forecast from Minneapolis on Tuesday calls for light rain and temperatures in the low to mid 60s. The Twins and Royals are set to face off at 7:40 PM ET at Target Field in Minneapolis. Kansas City is 34-21, while the Twins have won two straight and are 3rd in the AL Central at 29-24.
Kansas City is currently favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -124 compared to the Twins at +105. The over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and BSKC will be starting Cole Ragans, while the Twins are set to go with Simeon Woods Richardson.
KANSAS CITY ROYALS VS MINNESOTA TWINS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Kansas City Royals Moneyline -124
This game will be played at Target Field at 7:40 ET on Tuesday, May 28th.
HOW TO BET THE ROYALS VS TWINS:
- We have the Royals winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Twins to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Twins vs Royals series. Minnesota went into the matchup as -172 favorites and squeaked out a 6-5 win. Kansas City had a late rally, scoring four runs in the 9th, but Jhoan Duran closed things out for the Twins.
Joe Ryan pitched well for Minnesota in this one, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with nine strikeouts but didn’t factor into the decision. Alec Marsh had a rough outing for the Royals, taking the loss after going seven innings and giving up five earned runs.
Trevor Larnach and Jose Miranda each homered for the Twins, while Edouard Julien scored twice and drove in two runs while going 2/2. Ryan Jeffers also had a two-hit game at the plate.
Royals Records & Stats
Kansas City is 34-21 overall this season, putting them 2nd in the AL Central, 2.5 games behind the Guardians for the division lead. The Royals have dropped two straight games, and these losses have come after winning eight straight. So far, they have been good against other AL Central teams, going 11-6.
At home, the Royals have gone 21-8 this year, and they are an even 13-13 on the road. So far, they have been good as the favorite, putting up an 18-6 mark. Kansas City’s overall series record is 10-7, and they have won three straight series.
When the Royals are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 16-10. Their average run differential in road games is +0.7, but their run line record is 20-9 at home, where their average run differential is +2.1. Overall, their run line record is 36-19, and they have covered the run line in seven straight games.
The Kansas City Royals are on the road today against the Minnesota Twins. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their season average of 8.3 runs per game. The Royals have gone over the total in 23 of their 53 games this season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, the Royals have gone over the total in just 2 of 7 games.
Left-hander Cole Ragans gets the start for the Royals today as he faces the Twins on the road. Ragans has made 11 starts this season and has a record of 4-3 with a 3.34 ERA. In his 11 appearances, he has turned in seven quality starts and has a WHIP of 1.15. Ragans has been pitching well lately, as he has picked up the win in each of his last two outings. Most recently, he didn’t give up a run in six innings of work and had 12 strikeouts vs. the Tigers. Opponents are batting .212 off Ragans this season.
Heading into today’s game, the Royals are 6th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.9 runs per game. At home, they have been even better, putting up 5.5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .253, which is the 5th best mark in the league, and they are also one of the league’s top home run hitting teams.
Salvador Perez and Bobby Witt Jr. have been two of the Royals’ top hitters this season, with Perez leading the team with a .323 batting average and Witt Jr. not far behind at .309. Witt Jr. has also been on a tear of late, going 16/43 in his last 10 games with four homers. Maikel Garcia has also been hot, going 18/46 in his last 10 games.
Twins Records & Stats
Minnesota is 29-24 overall and 3rd in the AL Central, trailing the Guardians by 6.5 games. So far, they have gone 13-10 against other teams in the AL Central. The Twins are coming off a loss in their series finale vs. the Orioles but won the first two games of that series.
At home, the Twins are 14-12 this year and 15-12 on the road. As the underdog, Minnesota has dropped four straight, and they are 5-12 as the underdog overall. Minnesota’s series record is 9-6-2 this year, and they have won two straight series.
When the Twins win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.5 runs per victory. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -4.0 runs per defeat. Their run line record is 25-28 overall, but they have been a better bet on the road (15-12) than at home (10-16).
The Minnesota Twins are home today against the Kansas City Royals, and the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The Twins and their opponents have combined for an average of 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 24-27. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 7-5. So far this season, 62.3% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs.
So far this season, Simeon Woods Richardson has made seven starts and has a record of 1-0 with an ERA of 2.57. He has made two quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow a run. Against the Nationals on May 22nd, he went 4 2/3 innings, giving up just three hits and one walk. Woods Richardson finished with one strikeout in the outing. Overall, he has a WHIP of 1.11 and is averaging 6.69 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .242 off the right-hander this season.
Over his last eight games, Alex Kirilloff has gone 5/19 with two homers and five RBIs. Overall, he is batting .263 for the season. Ryan Jeffers and Carlos Santana are the Twins’ top home run hitters, with Jeffers leading the team and ranking 8th in the league with 10 homers. Santana is right behind him with seven homers but is batting just .201.
Minnesota’s offense is averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. As a team, the Twins are batting .231, which is 19th in the league, and they are 8th in the league in home runs.