Kansas City Royals vs Colorado Rockies Betting Pick & Prediction 7/5/24
From Coors Field in Denver, we have an interleague matchup between the Royals and Rockies. First pitch for Friday’s matchup is set for 8:10 PM ET. The money line odds have the Rockies at +152 compared to the Royals at -180. The over/under line is at 10.5 runs.
Kansas City will be starting Cole Ragans, and they are 48-41 this season, putting them 3rd in the AL Central. The Rockies are 5th in the NL West with a record of 30-57 and will be starting Kyle Freeland.
COLORADO ROCKIES VS KANSAS CITY ROYALS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Colorado Rockies Moneyline +152
This game will be played at Coors Field at 8:10 ET on Friday, July 5th.
HOW TO BET THE ROYALS VS ROCKIES:
- We have the Rockies winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Rockies to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Royals Records & Stats
Led by a big game by Bobby Witt Jr. at the plate, the Royals are coming off a 10-8 loss to the Rays. Witt went 3/4 with a homer and two RBIs. The Royals really got things going with a four-run 2nd inning but couldnjson’t hold the lead, and the Rays scored two runs in the 3rd and added another three in the 5th to put things out of reach. Kansas City’s offense scored their other four runs in the 6th.
Alec Marsh got the start for the Royals and took the loss. He only lasted three innings, giving up five earned runs. Offensively, the Royals had 10 hits but only scored eight runs. Michael Massey had a homer in thejson 6th and went 3/4.
Kansas City is 48-41 overall, putting them 3rd in the AL Central. They are eight games behind the Guardians for the division lead. The Royals lost two games in the standings in their most recent series vs. the Rays, dropping the series 2-1.
At home, the Royals have gone 31-18 this season, but they are just 17-23 on the road. As the favorite, the Royals are 24-13 this year, and they are 24-28 as the underdog. Kansas City’s overall series record is 13-14-1, and they have gone 6-4 in their last 10 games.
When the Royals are on the road, they have been a solid bet on the run line, going 21-19. However, they have failed to cover in their last seven road games. Overall, they are 50-39 on the run line this season, with an average run differential of +0.6 runs per game.
Today’s over/under line of 10.5 runs is the highest line set for a Kansas City Royals game this season, as the team has played 87 games with lower lines. The Royals have an over/under record of 37-49 on the season, and their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game. Their average over/under line for the season has been 8 runs per game.
Cole Ragans is looking to bounce back from a rough outing as he gets the start for the Royals today. Against the Guardians on June 29th, he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Looking at his overall numbers, Ragans has made 18 starts and has a record of 5-6. His ERA for the season is 3.33, along with a WHIP of 1.17. Opposing batters are hitting .219 off the left-hander this season. Before his last outing, Ragans had pitched well, allowing a combined three earned runs in his previous three starts. He has one complete game and 12 quality starts this year.
So far this season, the Royals are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. They have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 5.2 runs per game, which is 3rd in the MLB. As a team, they are batting .245, which is 12th in the league, and are also one of the best teams in terms of avoiding strikeouts. Kansas City’s team on-base percentage of .307 is 15th in the league.
Bobby Witt Jr. comes into the game with a four-game hitting streak, and he has been on fire of late, going 13/33 (.394) with two homers over his last nine games. For the season, he is batting .319 and leads the team with 58 RBIs. Salvador Perez and Vinnie Pasquantino are also among the league leaders in home runs, with 14 apiece.
Rockies Records & Stats
The Rockies’s offense was carried by Jake Cave in their most recent game vs. the Brewers. Cave went only 3 innings, but he homered and drove in three runs. The Rockies scored their other run in thejson 2nd. Colorado was the +116 underdog at home going into this game.
Cal Quantrill started for the Rockies, going five innings and giving up two runs on five hits. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and took the loss. The Rockies’s bullpen was excellent, though, as they didn’t give up a run over the final four innings.
With an overall record of 30-57, the Rockies are 5th in the NL West and trail the Dodgers by 22.5 games. So far, they have gone just 10-17 in divisional matchups. Colorado will host the Royals today with an overall series record of 4-21-3, which includes going 18-26 at home.
At home, the Rockies are 18-26 compared to 12-31 on the road. They have yet to win a game as the favorite this season. Over the Rockies’ last ten games, they are just 3-7.
When betting the run line with the Rockies, it’s important to note that they have a losing record against the run line overall, but they are .500 at home. They have a negative run differential both at home and on the road, but they have a better run differential in games they win compared to games they lose.
Colorado’s over/under record is 44-41, and their combined run average is 10.0. The average over/under line for their games is 10 runs. When the line is set at 10.5 runs, their record is 6-8. This season, 25.3% of their games have had lines set at 10.5 runs. Their current under streak is at three games.
Kyle Freeland is looking to pick up his first win of the season today as he faces the Royals at home. The left-hander has made six starts this year and has a record of 0-3 with an ERA of 7.94. Opponents are batting .317 off Freeland this year, and his WHIP is 1.80. In his last outing, Freeland went 6 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, and finished with a no-decision. He has made two quality starts this year and is averaging 5.08 strikeouts per nine innings.
Over the past 10 games, Brendan Rodgers has been swinging a hot bat for the Rockies, going 11/34 (.324) with a home run and three RBIs. Brenton Doyle has also been a solid run producer of late, going 10/35 with four homers and eight RBIs. Doyle also has a three-game hitting streak coming into the game. As a team, the Rockies are batting .245, which is 12th in the league.
For the season, the Rockies are averaging 4.2 runs per game and have been a better offensive team at home, where they are averaging 4.7 runs per contest. As a team, they are 17th in home runs and are 28th in strikeouts. Ezequiel Tovar and Ryan McMahon are both near the top of the team’s home run and RBI leaderboards.