Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick & Prediction 6/6/24
The Guardians head into Thursday’s matchup vs. the Royals at 40-20, and they are 1st in the AL Central. However, they are the slight favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -151 compared to the Royals at +127. This game is being played at Progressive Field in Cleveland, and the forecast calls for scattered clouds and temperatures in the upper 60s.
First pitch for this one is set for 1:10 PM ET, and BSKC will be televising the game. Thursday’s over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and the Royals are 2nd in the AL Central with a record of 36-26.
KANSAS CITY ROYALS VS CLEVELAND GUARDIANS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Kansas City Royals Moneyline +127
This game will be played at Progressive Field at 1:10 ET on Thursday, June 6th.
HOW TO BET THE ROYALS VS GUARDIANS:
- We have the Royals winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Royals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Cleveland picked up an 8-5 win over the Royals in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a huge 7th inning, scoring five of their eight runs. As for the Royals, they scored three of their five runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Guardians were favored at -133 on the money line.
Triston McKenzie got the start for the Guardians, going just 5 1/3 innings while giving up five runs and striking out seven. He did not factor in the decision as Cade Smith got the win out of the bullpen. Emmanuel Clase got the save. Seth Lugo only went six innings for the Royals, giving up five earned runs on six hits.
Josh Naylor and Tyler Freeman each homered for the Guardians, while Bobby Witt Jr. hit two homers for the Royals. Naylor, Freeman, and Will Brennan each had two RBIs for Cleveland’s offense.
Royals Records & Stats
Kansas City is 36-26 overall and trails the Guardians by five games in the AL Central. So far, they have gone 12-9 in divisional games. The Royals have lost three straight games as the underdog, and they are 14-16 on the road this year.
At home, the Royals have been strong, going 22-10 this year. Kansas City’s overall series record is 10-9, but they have dropped two straight series. Currently, they have lost the first game of this series vs. the Guardians.
The Royals are 18-12 vs. the run line on the road this season, but they have failed to cover in their last two games as the favorite. They are 23-12 vs. the run line as the underdog this season. Their average run margin in winning games is 4.0, while their average run margin in losing games is -2.8.
When the Kansas City Royals are on the road this season, the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs in just 9 of their 53 games (17%). Their average over/under line is 8 runs, and the over/under record for the season is 27-33. The combined run average in their games is 8.6 runs per game.
Through 11 starts, Brady Singer has a record of 4-2 and an ERA of 2.63. For the season, he has made four quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he finished with a no-decision. Against the Rays on May 25th, Singer went five innings, giving up one earned run, three walks, and two homers. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Singer’s ERA at home is 2.2, compared to 3.6 on the road. Overall, he has a record of 4-1 at home and 0-1 on the road.
For the season, the Royals are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.5 runs per game. Overall, they are 6th in team batting average (.253) and 2nd in fewest strikeouts per game. As a team, they are also near the top of the league in slugging percentage and OPS.
Bobby Witt Jr. and Salvador Perez have been two of the league’s top hitters this season, as Witt Jr. comes in with a batting average of .319, while Perez is batting .315. Witt Jr. has gone 10/23 in his last five games, with two homers and nine RBIs. He is also on a six-game hitting streak.
Guardians Records & Stats
Cleveland is 40-20 overall and leads the AL Central by five games over the Royals. So far, they have gone 11-5 in divisional matchups. The Guardians have been really good at home, putting up a record of 21-7 this year.
The Guardians have been good on the road, too, going 19-13. This season, they have been really good as the favorite, going 28-12, and they are 18-6 as the favorite at home. Cleveland has an overall series record of 14-5 and is currently up 1-0 in the series vs. the Royals.
When it comes to the run line, the Guardians have been profitable this season, going 34-26. They have been even better at home, going 16-12. Their average run margin this season is +1.4 runs per game, and they have a +1.2 run differential at home. As the underdog, they have been especially profitable, going 15-5.
The Cleveland Guardians are at home today against the Kansas City Royals, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Guardians’ games have had an average of 8.8 runs scored per game this season, and their over/under record is 30-26. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, their record is 11-4. Overall, 66.7% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.
Tanner Bibee gets the start for the Guardians today and is coming off a strong outing vs. the Nationals. In that May 31st start, he went 6 1/3 innings, giving up just one earned run. He finished with seven strikeouts in that outing. Bibee has made 12 starts this year and has a record of 4-1 with a 3.74 ERA. Opponents are batting .228 vs. Bibee this season. So far, he has turned in four quality starts and is averaging 9.55 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking at his overall numbers, Bibee’s ERA at home is 6.01 compared to 2.46 on the road.
Heading into today’s game, the Guardians are the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, putting up 5.2 runs per contest. Cleveland’s offense has been very balanced, as they are 10th in home runs and have the league’s top team batting average. The lineup has also done a good job of putting the ball in play, as they have the 4th fewest strikeouts in the league.
David Fry has been a big surprise for the Guardians this season, as he is batting .342 and has gone deep 8 times. He is also 12th in the league in RBIs. Fry has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/25 in his last seven games with two homers. Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor are tied for the team lead in homers, with 16 apiece. Ramirez has also been swinging a good bat of late, going 9/29 in his last eight games.