Kansas City Royals vs Boston Red Sox Betting Pick & Prediction 7/14/24

At 1:35 PM ET, the Royals and Red Sox will face off in an AL matchup. This one is taking place at Fenway Park in Boston, and the Red Sox are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -129. The money line odds for a Royals win are at +109.

Kansas City will be starting Brady Singer, while the Red Sox are set to go with Brayan Bello. The over/under line is currently at 9.5 runs, and the forecast for Sunday’s game in Boston calls for temperatures in the mid-80s with scattered clouds.

BOSTON RED SOX VS KANSAS CITY ROYALS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline -129

This game will be played at Fenway Park at 1:35 ET on Sunday, July 14th.

HOW TO BET THE ROYALS VS RED SOX:

• We have the Red Sox winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Royals to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Boston cruised to an easy 5-0 win over the Royals in the most recent game of this series. The Red Sox had a huge 3rd inning, scoring all five of their runs. As for the Royals, they had their best chance to score in the 5th, but could only muster one run.

Kutter Crawford started for the Red Sox and picked up the win, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued just one walk. On the other side, Seth Lugo got the start for the Royals and took the loss, giving up five earned runs in five innings of work.

Rafael Devers and Dominic Smith each homered for the Red Sox, while Reese McGuire went 2/4 with an RBI. Jarren Duran also had a two-hit game and scored a run for Boston’s offense.

Royals Records & Stats

Kansas City is 52-44 overall and is seven games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. The Royals lead the Tigers by six games for the second AL Wild Card spot. So far, they have gone 16-10 against other teams in their division. The Royals will be looking to pick up a win today, as they are just 21-26 on the road this year.

As the road underdog, the Royals have gone 12-18 this season, and they are 26-15 as the favorite. Kansas City’s overall series record is 14-15-1, and they are currently tied 1-1 in their series vs. the Red Sox. Over the last 10 games, the Royals are 5-5.

The Royals have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 54-42 overall. They have been even better as the underdog, going 33-22. Their average run margin is +0.6 runs per game, and they have been particularly strong at home, going 29-20 on the run line.

The Royals are on the road in Boston tonight, and the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs. Kansas City’s games have averaged 8.5 runs per game this season, and their overall over/under record is 40-53. When the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, the Royals have a 5-4 record, and only 5.2% of their games have had higher lines this season. Their games have had lower lines in 85.4% of their games this season, and they are currently on a two-game under streak.

Brady Singer has been solid for the Royals this season, coming into the game with a record of 5-5 and an ERA of 2.93. In his 18 starts, Singer has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 8.53 strikeouts per nine innings. Singer’s most recent outing was a good one, as he picked up the win against the Rockies on July 7th. In that start, he went seven innings, giving up just one earned run on six hits. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight outings. Singer has been much better at home, with an ERA of 2.80 compared to 3.36 on the road.

For the season, the Royals are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. However, they have been even better at home, putting up 5.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .246, which is 9th in the league, and are one of the toughest teams to strike out in the league. Kansas City’s team on-base percentage is just 18th in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in walks.

Salvador Perez and Bobby Witt Jr. are not only the Royals’ top home run hitters, but they are also the top two hitters in terms of batting average. Witt Jr. is hitting .324 for the season and has gone 14/33 in his last eight games. Perez is on a seven-game hitting streak and has gone deep 16 times this season, which is 12th in the league.

Red Sox Records & Stats

Boston is 52-42 overall and trails the Orioles and Yankees by 4.5 games in the AL East. The Red Sox are 13-11 against other teams in the AL East. They have won two straight games as the favorite, and they are 29-19 as the favorite overall. As the underdog, the Red Sox are 23-23 this year.

At home, the Red Sox are 23-25 this year, and they have gone 29-17 on the road. So far, they have an overall series record of 15-10-5, and they have won three straight series overall and four straight series on the road. In their series vs. the Royals, they are looking to win their fourth straight series at home.

When the Red Sox are favored, they are 18-30 on the run line, but when they are underdogs, they are 27-19. Their overall run line record is 45-49, and their average run differential is +0.5 runs per game. They have covered the run line in two straight games.

The Boston Red Sox are at home today against the Kansas City Royals, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs. The combined run average for Red Sox games this season is 8.9, and their over/under record is 44-44. The average over/under line for their games this season is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 9.5 runs, their record is 5-6. Boston has played seven games this season with an over/under line set at 9.5 runs, accounting for 7.4% of their games. Their current under streak is at four games.

Brayan Bello gets the start for the Red Sox today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win. Against the Athletics on July 9th, Bello went 5 1/3 innings, giving up five earned runs, 11 hits, and two homers. Looking back further, he has allowed at least one homer in four straight outings. Bello’s ERA for the season is 5.40, along with a record of 9-5. Out of his 16 starts, Bello has turned in four quality starts and is averaging 8.86 strikeouts per nine innings.

As a team, the Red Sox are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 11th in the majors. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the league’s best hitting teams, coming in with a batting average of .254, which is 5th in the league. Boston’s team on-base percentage is also 8th in the league, and they have the best team BABIP in the MLB.

Rafael Devers has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 22 homers are 6th in the league. He also comes into the game on a hot streak, going 10/31 in his last eight games with four homers. Devers’ 59 RBIs are 10th in the league and the best mark on the Red Sox. Jarren Duran is 3rd on the team in RBIs and is batting .277 for the season.