Kansas City Chiefs vs Cleveland Browns Betting Pick & Prediction 12/15/24
The Browns, who are the underdog at +182 on the money line, will host the Chiefs at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 15th at Huntington Bank Field in Cleveland. The Chiefs are favored on the road with a money line of -219 and a point spread of -4.5. This week 15 AFC matchup is being televised on CBS, and the over/under line is set at 45.5 points.
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS VS CLEVELAND BROWNS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Kansas City Chiefs -4.5
This game will be played at Huntington Bank Field at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 15th.
WHY BET THE KANSAS CITY CHIEFS:
- We have the Chiefs winning this one by a score of 25 to 18
- Not only do we have the Chiefs winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -4.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 45.5 points
Will The Chiefs Win As Road Favorites?
With a 12-1 record, the Chiefs hold the top spot in the AFC and have a 100% chance of making the playoffs and winning the AFC West. They are on a three-game winning streak, including a 19-17 victory over the Chargers in week 14. Before that, they beat the Raiders in week 13 and the Panthers in week 12, bouncing back from a week 11 loss to the Bills.
Heading into week 15, Kansas City ranks 6th in our power rankings. They have an average scoring margin of +4.3 points per game and are 4-8-1 against the spread, including seven straight ATS losses. Their O/U record is 6-7, with the under hitting in their last two games.
Patrick Mahomes has put together three straight games without an interception heading into week 15. In week 14, he threw for 210 yards and a touchdown, completing 24 of 37 passes against the Chargers. Mahomes posted a passer rating of 88 after recording an 84 in week 13 and a 120 in week 12. He has been sacked 13 times over the last three games, including three times in week 14.
Travis Kelce led the Chiefs in receiving in week 14 with 45 yards on 5 catches. Isiah Pacheco had 55 rushing yards on 14 carries. Kansas City ranks 11th in rushing attempts but is 21st in rushing yards per game, averaging 110.6. They are 13th in passing yards per game with 227.6, despite ranking 7th in passing attempts.
In their 19-17 win over the Chargers, the Chiefs’ defense allowed 194 passing yards on 21 completions. The Chiefs defended the run well, allowing just 94 yards on 24 attempts. They also recorded three sacks and had a tackles for loss advantage.
The Chiefs held the Chargers to 46.2% on third down and limited their big plays, as the Chargers averaged only 6.5 yards per pass attempt. Despite this, the Chiefs did allow one passing touchdown.
Are The Browns Going Win In At Upset At Huntington Bank Field
With a 3-10 record, the Browns sit 21st in our NFL power rankings and have a 0.0% chance of making the playoffs. Cleveland is 4th in the AFC North with a 2-2 division record. They are 2-4 at home and 1-6 on the road.
Against the spread, the Browns are 4-9, with two straight ATS losses. They are 0-4 as favorites and 4-5 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 6-7, with their games averaging 43.6 points per game.
Heading into week 15, the Browns rank 31st in our offensive power rankings. They lead the league in passing attempts, averaging 39.4 per game, and are 15th in passing yards with 224.5 per game. Jameis Winston threw for 212 yards (24/41) and 2 touchdowns in week 14, following his 497-yard performance in week 13. Jerry Jeudy has been his top target, with 64 yards on 5 catches in week 14, after a 235-yard game in week 13.
On the ground, Cleveland ranks 30th in rushing yards, with 88.5 per game, on 23 attempts per game. Nick Chubb had 48 yards on 11 carries in week 14. The Browns are 29th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a 28.3% success rate, and they converted just 2 of 13 attempts in their last game.
In their 27-14 loss to the Steelers, the Browns’ defense allowed 147 passing yards on just 15 completions but did give up two passing touchdowns. Cleveland’s run defense was solid, allowing only 3.4 yards per attempt and 120 total rushing yards on 35 attempts. The Browns’ defense also held Pittsburgh to 42.9% on third down, but they managed only one sack in the game.
Cleveland’s defense limited the Steelers to just 267 total yards in the game. Despite this, the Browns gave up two big plays for touchdowns and struggled to get off the field on third down, allowing the Steelers to convert 57.1% of their third downs.