Jacksonville Jaguars vs Atlanta Falcons Betting Pick & Prediction 8/23/24

The Jaguars are favored on the road with a money line of -334 as they take on the Falcons at 7:00 ET on Friday, August 23rd. The Jaguars are 2-0 in the pre-season, while the Falcons are 0-2. The game, being played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, can be viewed on NFLN. The Jaguars are -7 point favorites, and the over/under line is set at 35.5 points.
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS VS ATLANTA FALCONS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Atlanta Falcons +7
This game will be played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium at 7:00 ET on Friday, August 23rd.
WHY BET THE ATLANTA FALCONS:
- We have the Jaguars winning this one by a score of 18 to 13
- Even though we like the Jaguars to win, our ATS pick is to take the Falcons at +7
- We see this game finishing below the line of 35.5 points
Will The Jaguars Win As Road Favorites?
Jacksonville is now 2-0 in the pre-season after their 20-7 win over the Buccaneers. The Jaguars were favored by -3.5 and with the 13-point win, they also covered the spread. The combined 37.5-point total line was shorted, with the teams combining for 27 points.
After a 7-7 tie in the 2nd quarter, the Jaguars added a late field goal to lead 10-7 at halftime. In the 3rd quarter, C.J. Beathard found Austin Trammell for a touchdown, and in the 4th, Mac Jones connected with Brevin Easton for another score. The Jaguars missed the over by scoring 20 points.
The Jaguars’ offense put together 21 first downs in their 20-7 win over the Buccaneers, with Mac Jones throwing for 210 yards and two touchdowns. Despite being sacked five times, Jones completed 16 of 23 passes (69%) and finished with a passer rating of 127. Jacksonville’s offense had a good day on third down, converting 52.9% of their chances.
Jacksonville ran for 140 yards on 38 attempts, with Gary Brightwell leading the team with 43 yards on just nine attempts. Austin Trammell was the leading receiver, with four catches for 75 yards, including a 29-yard reception.
Jacksonville’s defense was able to limit Tampa Bay to just 131 yards passing in their most recent game, which included allowing just 4 first downs through the air. The Jaguars defended 33 passing attempts in their 20-7 win over the Buccaneers. The Jaguars’ run defense was also strong, allowing just 76 yards on 16 attempts.
The Jaguars’ defense was tough on third downs, allowing Tampa Bay to convert on just 18.2% of their third down attempts. They also recorded three sacks in the game. Despite their strong defensive performance, Jacksonville’s offense turned the ball over more than Tampa Bay, with a -1 turnover differential.
Are The Falcons Going Win In At Upset At Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Despite falling behind 13-3 in the 2nd quarter, the Falcons made a strong push in the 4th quarter of their most recent game vs. the Ravens, only to fall short by a score of 13-12. This loss dropped the Falcons to 0-2 in the pre-season. Atlanta was +1 point underdogs in this one, giving them a push vs. the spread. The 25 combined points was short of the O/U line of 35.5.
After the Falcons took an early 3-0 lead, the Ravens scored a touchdown in the 2nd quarter, and Atlanta responded with a touchdown to take a 10-6 lead. The Ravens would score again to take the lead for good, and the Falcons missed a field goal with 0:33 left in the 2nd quarter. Atlanta also missed a field goal in the 3rd quarter and failed to capitalize on their chances to take this one late.
The Falcons’ offense struggled in their 13-12 loss to the Ravens, managing just 192 yards through the air and no touchdowns. They did have 20 first downs and 151 yards on the ground, averaging 4.9 yards per attempt. Taylor Heinicke was Atlanta’s leading passer, going 8/16 for 114 yards, and Jase McClellan led the team in rushing with 55 yards and one touchdown.
Chris Blair was the top receiver with 91 yards on four catches. The Falcons had a tough time on third down, converting just 30.8% of their opportunities, and Heinicke was not sacked in the game.
Atlanta’s defense was tough against the run in their 13-12 loss to the Ravens, allowing just 71 rushing yards on 30 attempts. They also held Baltimore to 4 rushing first downs. However, the Falcons struggled defending the pass, giving up 230 yards through the air on 21 completions, allowing two passing touchdowns. The Falcons’ defense allowed the Ravens to convert on 84% of their passes.
Despite this, the Falcons’ defense did come away with two sacks and were strong in certain areas, including winning the turnover battle and holding the Ravens to just 15 first downs. Additionally, the Falcons’ defense held the Ravens to a 46.7% third-down conversion rate.