Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans Betting Pick & Prediction 10/27/24
The Texans are favored at -257 on the money line as they host the Colts at NRG Stadium in Houston. The Colts are +211 on the money line and +6 on the point spread. This week eight AFC South matchup is set for 1:00 ET on Sunday, with CBS handling the television coverage. The over/under line is at 46 points.
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS VS HOUSTON TEXANS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Houston Texans -6
This game will be played at NRG Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 27th.
WHY BET THE HOUSTON TEXANS:
- We have the Texans winning this one by a score of 24 to 17
- Not only do we have the Texans winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -6
- We see this game finishing below the line of 46 points
Will The Colts Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
After two straight wins, the Colts are now 4-3 and sit 2nd in the AFC South. They have a 57.7% chance of making the playoffs and a 20% chance of winning the division. In our power rankings, Indianapolis is 24th heading into week 8.
Against the spread, the Colts are 6-1 this season and have covered in five straight games. In week 7, they beat the Dolphins 16-10, covering as 3-point favorites. The O/U line was 44, and the teams combined for 26 points, giving the Colts their second straight under.
Heading into week 8, the Colts are 16th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 22.1, and they also rank 16th in passing yards per game with 206.3. On the ground, they are 14th in rushing yards per game, averaging 123 yards on 27.1 attempts per game. Indianapolis ranks 11th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion percentage (40.9%) and 17th in the league in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 6th in red zone attempts.
Anthony Richardson struggled in week 7, finishing with a passer rating of 59 after going 10/24 for 129 yards against Miami. Michael Pittman Jr. led the team with 63 receiving yards on 3 catches, while Richardson also led the team in rushing with 56 yards on 14 carries.
In their 16-10 win over the Dolphins, the Colts’ defense allowed just 149 passing yards on 15 completions. However, they struggled against the run, giving up 188 yards on 40 attempts. Despite this, they managed to limit Miami to just one touchdown and held them to a 40% conversion rate on third down. Indianapolis also came away with two sacks in the game.
Are The Texans Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
Heading into week 8, the Texans sit atop the AFC South with a 5-2 record, including a 2-0 mark in division play. Our projections give Houston a 77.1% chance of winning the division and an 89.5% chance of making the playoffs. They rank 12th in our NFL power rankings. After three straight wins, the Texans couldn’t get past the Packers in week 7, falling 24-22. Despite the loss, they covered the spread as 3-point underdogs.
Houston is 3-4 against the spread this season and has covered in three consecutive games. They are 2-4 as favorites and 1-0 as underdogs. The over/under record in their games is 2-5, with an average of 46.3 points scored per game.
Heading into week 8, the Texans rank 17th in our offensive power rankings. They are 12th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 23.6, and 11th in total yards per game with 349.7. Houston has been strong in the first quarter, ranking 3rd in the league in points scored. They are 14th in 3rd-down conversions, with a 40% success rate, and 17th in red zone conversion percentage.
In week 7, C.J. Stroud struggled against the Packers, throwing for just 86 yards on 10/21 passing and posting a passer rating of 58. Joe Mixon led the team with 115 rushing yards on 25 carries, while Dalton Schultz had one reception for 28 yards. Houston scored 16 points in the 2nd quarter but was held to just 3 points in the 2nd half.
In their 24-22 loss to the Packers, the Texans’ defense allowed three passing touchdowns but did force two interceptions. Despite a good showing against the run, holding Green Bay to 82 yards on 20 attempts, they struggled against the pass, giving up 195 yards through the air. The Texans allowed the Packers to complete 72.7% of their passes and convert 40% of their third down attempts.
Houston’s defense recorded three sacks and limited the Packers to 277 total yards in the game. The Texans also had three tackles for loss compared to Green Bay.