Green Bay Packers vs Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Pick & Prediction 10/27/24

The Jaguars, sitting at 2-5, will host the Packers at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville on Sunday, October 27th at 1:00 ET. The Packers are favored by -4.5 on the road, with their money line odds at -221. Looking at the over/under line, it is set at 50 points. This week eight non-conference matchup is being televised on FOX.
GREEN BAY PACKERS VS JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars +4.5
This game will be played at EverBank Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 27th.
WHY BET THE JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS:
- We have the Packers winning this one by a score of 25 to 24
- Even though we like the Packers to win, our ATS pick is to take the Jaguars at +4.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 50 points
Will The Packers Win As Road Favorites?
Heading into week 8, the Packers are riding a three-game winning streak, putting their record at 5-2. After a week 4 loss to the Vikings, Green Bay bounced back with wins over the Rams (28-19), Cardinals (34-13), and Texans (24-22). Against Houston, the Packers couldn’t cover the 3-point spread, but they still managed to get the win. The O/U line was 47.5, and the teams combined for 46 points.
Our power rankings have the Packers 5th in the NFL, and we give them a 76.7% chance of making the playoffs. They currently sit 3rd in the NFC North and are 0-1 in division games. Against the spread, Green Bay is 4-3, with a +6.1 scoring margin.
Heading into week 8, the Packers are 6th in the NFL in points per game (26.6) and 6th in total yards per game (382.4). They are 10th in passing yards per game (227.4) and 5th in rushing, with 155 yards per game on the ground. Green Bay ranks 17th in passing attempts and 8th in rushing attempts. On 3rd down, they are 13th in the league, converting 40.5% of their attempts, and they rank 17th in red zone conversion percentage.
Jordan Love has been solid for the Packers, throwing for 220 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 7, with 24 completions on 33 attempts. He did have 2 interceptions and was sacked 3 times. Romeo Doubs led the team with 8 catches for 94 yards, while Josh Jacobs rushed for 76 yards on 12 carries.
In their 24-22 win over the Texans, the Packers’ defense allowed just 55 passing yards on 10 completions. However, they did struggle against the run, giving up 142 yards on 33 attempts. Despite this, the Packers’ defense held the Texans to just 30.8% on third down and recorded four sacks in the game.
Their secondary played well, allowing only 2.6 yards per pass attempt and not giving up any passing touchdowns. Even though they struggled against the run, the Packers’ defense made it difficult for the Texans to sustain drives and were effective on passing downs.
Are The Jaguars Going Win In At Upset At EverBank Stadium
Jacksonville snapped a four-game losing streak with a 32-16 win over the Patriots in week 7, bringing their record to 2-5. The Jaguars were 7-point favorites at home and covered the spread, improving their ATS record to 3-4. They are 1-3 against the spread as favorites and 2-1 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 4-3, with the over hitting in three straight games.
Heading into week 8, Jacksonville ranks 25th in our NFL power rankings and has a 7.4% chance of making the playoffs. They are 3rd in the AFC South with a 1-1 division record. The Jaguars are 2-1 at home but 0-4 on the road this season.
Heading into week 8, Jacksonville ranks 16th in our offensive power rankings. They are 19th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 20.7, and 17th in yards per game with 325.9. The Jaguars are 13th in passing attempts and 19th in passing yards, averaging 201.6 per game. On the ground, they rank 25th in rushing attempts but are 12th in rushing yards per game, with 124.3. Jacksonville ranks 24th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion percentage, converting 34.2% of the time, and they are 18th in red zone conversion percentage.
In week 7, Trevor Lawrence posted a passer rating of 121, going 15/20 for 193 yards and a touchdown in a win over the Patriots. Tank Bigsby rushed for 118 yards and 2 touchdowns on 26 carries, while Brian Thomas Jr. had 5 receptions for 89 yards and a touchdown. Jacksonville scored 22 points in the 2nd quarter and converted 6 of 10 3rd-down attempts.
In the Jaguars’ 32-16 win over the Patriots, their defense allowed just 38 rushing yards on 15 attempts. Despite giving up 257 passing yards, Jacksonville held New England to 295 total yards. The Patriots completed 70.3% of their passes, with two passing touchdowns, and converted on 50% of their third down attempts.
Jacksonville’s defense recorded two sacks and had three more quarterback hits than the Patriots. The Jaguars also had 3 tackles for loss in the game.