Houston Texans vs New England Patriots Betting Pick & Prediction for 1/18

The Houston Texans will play against the New England Patriots in the 2025 Divisional Playoffs. The game is set for Sunday, January 18, 2026, at 3:00 PM. Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA, will host this outdoor game.
Both teams have strong postseason records so far. The Texans have a road win under their belt, while the Patriots secured a home win. Fans can watch the game on ABC, and the weather is expected to be very cold with overcast clouds.
Houston Texans Team Preview
The Houston Texans are on a strong winning streak, with victories in their last five games. They recently defeated the Indianapolis Colts 38-30 at home. In that game, C.J. Stroud threw for 169 yards and one touchdown.
In their recent away win against the Los Angeles Chargers, the Texans scored 20-16. Stroud passed for 244 yards and two touchdowns, though he also had two interceptions. Jayden Higgins was a standout with 88 receiving yards and one touchdown.
The Texans have been solid in defense, ranking second in opponent passing interceptions in the 2024 season. Their defense forced several turnovers in recent games, helping secure wins. Injuries, however, could impact their performance, with key players like Nico Collins and Jawhar Jordan listed as questionable.
Texans vs Patriots Game Day Info
- Sport: NFL
- Teams: Houston Texans vs. New England Patriots
- Venue: Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA
- Date: Sunday, January 18, 2026
- Betting Odds: Texans Moneyline +144, Patriots Moneyline -174, Texans Spread +3.0 (-104), Patriots Spread -3.0 (-116), Total Over 41.0 (-110), Total Under 41.0 (-110)
New England Patriots Team Preview
The New England Patriots have been strong at home. In their last game at Gillette Stadium, they defeated the Miami Dolphins 38-10. Rhamondre Stevenson led the rushing attack with 131 yards and two touchdowns. The defense was solid, causing turnovers and limiting Miami to just 63 rushing yards.
The Patriots have been putting up impressive numbers. Quarterback Drake Maye has been a key player, finishing the season with 4,394 passing yards and 31 touchdowns. Stefon Diggs has also been a reliable target, with 85 receptions and 1,013 receiving yards. These performances have contributed to the team’s recent success.
Injuries could be a concern for the Patriots. Players like Mack Hollins and Antonio Gibson are on the injured reserve list. However, the team has depth, with players like Hunter Henry stepping up in recent games. The Patriots will need to manage these injuries as they continue their season.
BTB Betting Pick
The Texans are getting +3.0 points against the Patriots. With the Texans ranked 18th in scoring and the Patriots struggling at 28th, the Texans should cover the spread. The projected score is Texans 23, Patriots 20.
The total for the game is set at 41.0. Both teams have shown limitations on offense, with the Patriots ranking last in passing yards. The projected total score is 43, so taking the over is a reasonable choice.