Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Pick & Prediction 2/4/24
At 7:00 ET, the 11th ranked Houston Rockets (+239) will travel to Minneapolis to take on the 2nd ranked Timberwolves (-300) in a Western Conference matchup. The over/under line for this game is 221.
This game will be played at the Target Center and will be televised on BSN.
HOUSTON ROCKETS VS MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Houston Rockets +7
This game will be played at Target Center at 7:00 ET on Sunday, February 4th.
WHY BET THE HOUSTON ROCKETS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 116-114 in favor of the Timberwolves.
- Our projections have Anthony Edwards finishing with Anthony Edwards points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists.
- From the field, we have the Timberwolves finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.9% and knocking down 13 threes.
Do the Rockets Stand a Chance on the Road?
Houston is 26-21 ATS this season, including an 8-12 record on the road. The Rockets have covered the spread in their last two road games and are 15-15 ATS as underdogs this season.
In Western Conference games, the Rockets are 16-12 compared to 7-13 against non-conference opponents. Their overall record of 23-25 has them in 11th place in the West.
This season, Houston has been the underdog in 31 of their 48 games. As the underdog, they have a scoring differential of -2.7 points per game. Today’s O/U line of 221 is lower than their season average of 226.2.
The Rockets are coming off a 135-106 win over the Raptors. They covered the spread as 4.5-point favorites and the game’s O/U line was 233.5.
The Rockets are 21st in the NBA in scoring at 113.9 points per game. On the road, they are averaging 111.6 points per game.
Overall, Houston is 24th in field goal percentage at 46%. In terms of three-point shooting, they are 27th in the league at 35%.
As a team, the Rockets are 13th in pace at 99.4 possessions per game. In terms of assists, they are 23rd in the NBA.
This season, the Rockets defense has been impressive, holding the 9th position in the league while permitting an average of 112.3 points per contest. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Rockets defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 53.9% while allowing 34.1% from downtown.
Is A Home Victory Likely for Favored Minnesota?
The Timberwolves are favored by 7 points in today’s game against the Rockets. This season, Minnesota has been favored in 39 of their 49 games. As the favorite, they have a scoring margin of +8.1 points per game.
Minnesota’s ATS record for the season is 24-24, and they have gone 12-11 ATS at home. As the favorite, their ATS record is 18-20, and they have failed to cover the spread in their last two games as the underdog.
In their last game, the Timberwolves lost to the Magic by a score of 108-106. The O/U line for that game was 213, and Minnesota was favored by 6.5 points going into the game.
This season, Minnesota has an O/U record of 24-25, and their games have averaged a combined 220 points. Today’s O/U line is set at 221, and the team’s average O/U line for the season is 223.1.
Overall, the Timberwolves are 34-15 this season, which is good for 2nd place in the Western Conference. In non-conference games, they are 11-7 and 23-8 against other Western Conference teams.
At home, the Timberwolves are 24th in the league in scoring at 112.7 points per game. Overall, they are 22nd in scoring at 113 points per game. Minnesota has outscored the league average in 42.9% of their games this season.
Minnesota is 7th in the NBA in field goal percentage at 49%. They are also 7th in true shooting percentage. In terms of three-point shooting, the Timberwolves are 2nd in the league at 39%.
When it comes to pace, Minnesota is 25th in the NBA at 97.3 possessions per game. In terms of two-point shooting, the Timberwolves are 13th in the league at 55%.
Coming into today’s game, the Timberwolves’ defense is giving up an average of 107.0 points per contest. The Minnesota defense has allowed opponents to shoot 35.3% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 45.0% of their field goal attempts vs. Minnesota.