Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Betting Pick & Prediction 7/19/24
At 10:10 PM ET, the Astros and Mariners face off in an AL West matchup. This one is being played at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, and the Mariners are favored on the money line (-127). The Astros have lost two straight and are 50-46 overall.
Friday’s pitching matchup features Hunter Brown for the Astros and Luis Castillo for the Mariners. The over/under line is currently at 7 runs, and MLBN will be televising this one.
SEATTLE MARINERS VS HOUSTON ASTROS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Seattle Mariners Moneyline -127
This game will be played at T-Mobile Park at 10:10 ET on Friday, July 19th.
HOW TO BET THE ASTROS VS MARINERS:
- We have the Mariners winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Astros to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Astros Records & Stats
The Astros will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rangers with a 4-2 loss. Houston was the slight favorite at -126 on the money line going into the game but fell behind early, as the Rangers scored two runs in the 1st.
Ronel Blanco put together a good start for the Astros, going six innings and giving up just two earned runs, and striking out five. However, Houston’s offense scored only two runs, and both of those came in the 3rd inning. Jake Meyers had a big game, going 2/4 with a homer, but the Astros couldn’t get much else going at the plate.
Houston is on the road today, looking to pick up a win vs. the Mariners, as they trail Seattle by just one game in the AL West. The Astros are 50-46 overall, and they are 16-14 in divisional games this year. The team lost the final two games of their series vs. the Rangers.
So far, the Astros have been good at home, going 28-21, and they are 22-25 on the road. As the underdog, Houston has dropped three straight, and they are 9-9 as the road underdog this year. Their overall series record is 17-12-1 this season.
When it comes to the run line, the Astros have been a better bet as the underdog than as the favorite. They have a run line record of 16-9 when getting the runs and are 34-37 when laying them. They have a run line record of 24-23 on the road, and their average run margin in winning games is 3.9.
Despite the fact that the Houston Astros have played in 96.9% of games with over/under lines higher than 7 runs, they have gone under in their last two games. Their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 38-54. Today’s over/under line is set at 7 runs.
Hunter Brown gets the start for the Astros today as he faces the Mariners on the road. So far this season, he has made 18 starts and has a record of 7-6 to go along with an ERA of 4.39. Brown’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.37. In his 18 starts, he has turned in 10 quality starts and is averaging 9.61 strikeouts per nine innings. Brown’s last outing came on July 12th, where he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up two earned runs. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight outings.
Heading into today’s game, the Astros are the league’s top-hitting team, with a team batting average of .262. They have also been one of the league’s best home run-hitting teams, as they are 9th in the league in homers and have the top slugging percentage in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 10th in the league.
Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Tucker are tied for the team lead in homers, and Alvarez leads the team with 52 RBIs. Alvarez is also 10th in the league in batting average, hitting .296, while Tucker comes in at .266. Jose Altuve is batting .306 and is on a three-game hitting streak. Over his last nine games, Alex Bregman is hitting .333 with three homers.
Mariners Records & Stats
The Mariners will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Angels with a 3-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Angels scored three runs in the bottom of the 8th. Seattle was the -167 favorite on the money line going into the game.
Logan Gilbert put together a good start for the Mariners, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out nine Angels batters. However, the Mariners couldn’t close things out, and Austin Voth took the loss out of the bullpen. J.P. Crawford had only one hit, but it was a home run, and Kyle Seager had a good day at the plate, going 2/4 with a run scored.
Seattle is hosting the Astros with a record of 52-46, which has them leading the AL West by just one game over the Astros. The Mariners are on a three-game losing streak, losing the final two games of their series vs. the Angels and the first game of this series vs. the Astros.
So far, the Mariners have been good against other teams in the AL West, going 18-8. At home, they are 30-18 compared to 22-28 on the road. As the favorite, the Mariners are 33-27 and 19-19 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Mariners are 13-15-2 and have dropped three straight series at home.
The Mariners have been a tough team to bet on against the run line this season, as they are just 44-54. They have been a bit better at home, where they are 22-26. They have a slight positive scoring margin at home, but have dropped their last three games against the run line at home. They are also just 23-37 against the run line as the favorite.
Seattle has played to the under in two straight games and has an over/under record of 41-52 on the season. The Mariners have played to the under in 68.4% of their games this season, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 7 runs, Seattle has an over/under record of 8-14-4.
Luis Castillo will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. In that start vs. the Angels, he went six innings and didn’t give up a run. Looking at his overall numbers, Castillo has made 20 starts, and his record is 8-9 with a 3.53 ERA. Opponents are batting .230 vs. Castillo this season. He has made 12 quality starts and is averaging 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings. At home, Castillo is 5-3 with a 3.23 ERA.
Julio Rodríguez and Cal Raleigh have been two of the Mariners’ top home run threats this season, with Rodriguez coming in with 10 homers and Raleigh leading the team with 20 long balls. However, both players have struggled in terms of batting average, with Rodriguez hitting .267 and Raleigh just .216. However, both players have been hot of late, with Rodriguez hitting .538 over his last nine games, and Raleigh has gone 13/37 (.351) in his last nine games.
As a team, the Mariners have been one of the league’s worst offenses, averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 28th in the league. They have been even worse at home, putting up just 3.6 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting a collective .219, which is the worst mark in the league.