Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Betting Pick & Prediction 5/27/24
The Astros and Mariners are set to face off in an AL West matchup at 9:40 PM ET at T-Mobile Park in Seattle. The Astros are the slight favorite on the money line, with their line sitting at -129 compared to the Mariners at +109. The over/under line is currently 7.5 runs.
MLBN will be televising Monday’s game, and Framber Valdez will be on the mound for the Astros, while the Mariners are set to go with Bryce Miller. Valdez is 24-29 this season, while the Mariners are 28-26 and are currently leading the AL West.
SEATTLE MARINERS VS HOUSTON ASTROS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Seattle Mariners Moneyline +109
This game will be played at T-Mobile Park at 9:40 ET on Monday, May 27th.
HOW TO BET THE ASTROS VS MARINERS:
- We have the Mariners winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Mariners to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Astros Records & Stats
The Astros’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Athletics, closing out their series with a 5-2 win. After scoring five runs in the 4th inning, the Astros went on to pick up the 5-2 win. Houston was the heavy favorite going into the game, at -169.
Ronel Blanco put together a good start for the Astros, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Houston’s offense was carried by Kyle Tucker, who went 1/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
Houston is 24-29 overall and 3rd in the AL West, trailing the Mariners by 3.5 games. The Astros will be on the road today to take on the Mariners, and they are 12-8 against other teams in the AL West. So far, they have gone 14-15 at home and 10-14 on the road.
As the favorite, the Astros have gone 19-23 this year and 5-6 as the underdog. Houston’s overall series record is 8-8-1, and they have won two straight series on the road. Their overall series record is 8-8-1.
When the Astros win, they tend to win big, with an average run margin of 4.2 runs. However, their run line record is just 22-31, as they’ve been favored in 42 games and have gone 16-26 in those contests. They’ve been a better bet on the run line on the road, where they’re 10-14 compared to 12-17 at home. Their overall run margin is -0.1 runs per game, with a -1.2 mark on the road and a +0.9 mark at home. When they lose, they tend to lose by an average of 3.6 runs.
The Houston Astros are on the road against the Seattle Mariners today. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Astros games this season is 9.2 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 21-29, and their average over/under line is set at 9 runs. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 3-3. So far this season, 88.7% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs. They are currently on a two-game under streak.
Framber Valdez will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Angels, as he gave up eight earned runs in five innings of work. In that May 20th start, he gave up three homers. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts and didn’t give up a homer in either of those appearances. Valdez has a record of 3-2 this season and an ERA of 4.32. Opponents are batting .281 off the left-hander this season. Valdez’s WHIP for the season is 1.32. So far, he has made three quality starts.
Heading into today’s game, the Astros are the league’s top-hitting team, with a team batting average of .264. They have also been very good at avoiding strikeouts, as their 6 strikeouts per game is the best mark in the league. Overall, they are 4th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.6 runs per contest. At home, they have been even better, averaging 4.9 runs per game.
Kyle Tucker has been the league’s top home run hitter this season and is also 6th in the league with 39 RBIs. Tucker is batting .280 and has an OBP of .409. Over his last six games, he has gone deep three times. Yordan Alvarez also has nine homers this season and is on an eight-game hitting streak. During this stretch, he has gone 9/24 with two RBIs.
Mariners Records & Stats
The Mariners’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Nationals, closing out their series with a 9-5 win. After allowing one run to the Nationals in the 2nd inning, the Mariners responded with a run of their own and added three more in the 4th. Seattle went on to add another two runs in the 8th inning.
Starting for the Mariners was Bryan Woo, who picked up the win. He went six innings, giving up three earned runs, and only had one strikeout. Julio Rodriguez was hot at the plate, going 3/5 with a homer and four RBIs.
Seattle currently leads the AL West with a record of 28-26, and they hold a three-game lead over the Rangers. The Mariners will host the Astros today, and Seattle is 6-3 in divisional games this year. The Mariners are coming off a series loss, dropping two of three games to the Nationals.
So far, the Mariners have been good at home, going 15-10 this season. They have been just below .500 on the road, coming in with a record of 13-16. As the underdog, the Mariners are 12-13 this year, including 4-2 as the home underdog. Overall, their series record is 8-7-2 this season.
Seattle has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 26-28, and they’ve been even better at home, where they are 13-12. The Mariners have a run differential of -0.1 runs per game on the season, but that number jumps to +0.4 runs per game at home. They’ve been a better bet on the run line as the underdog this season, going 13-12, compared to 13-16 as the favorite.
Seattle’s over/under record for the season is 21-30, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 6-9. The combined run average in their games this season is 7.6 runs per game. Today’s over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, and 50% of their games have had higher lines than that.
Right-hander Bryce Miller gets the start for the Mariners today as he faces the Astros at home. Miller has made 10 starts this year and has a record of 3-5 with a 3.53 ERA. Looking back at his last three outings, Miller has taken the loss in each one. Most recently, he gave up five earned runs in six innings of work vs. the Yankees. Miller has allowed at least one homer in each of his last three outings. So far, he has given up a total of 11 homers. Opponents are batting .190 off Miller this year.
Cal Raleigh has been the Mariners’ most productive hitter this season, leading the team with 28 RBIs and 11 home runs. However, he is batting just .213 for the season. Dylan Moore, Ty France, and Mitch Haniger are all tied for 2nd on the team with six homers. Moore has the best recent stretch, batting .333 with two homers over his last nine games.
As a team, the Mariners are 28th in scoring at 3.7 runs per game. They are also near the bottom of the league in batting average and on-base percentage. However, they do have the 6th most home runs in the league. Currently, they are the worst team in the league in terms of strikeouts.