Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick & Prediction 8/27/24
From Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, the Phillies will host the Astros in an interleague matchup. This game is getting started at 6:40 PM ET, and the Phillies are the betting favorite on the money line (-144). The Astros have a money line odds of +121, and the over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs.
Justin Verlander will start for the Astros, and he is facing off against Aaron Nola. The Astros are 1st in the AL West, while the Phillies are leading the NL East. Philadelphia comes in with a three-game winning streak.
HOUSTON ASTROS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Houston Astros Moneyline +121
This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 6:40 ET on Tuesday, August 27th.
HOW TO BET THE ASTROS VS PHILLIES:
- We have the Astros winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Astros to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Philadelphia picked up a 3-2 win over the Astros in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a late rally, scoring one run in the 5th, 6th, and 10th innings. As for the Astros, they scored two runs in the 4th and added their final run in the 5th.
Zack Wheeler started for the Phillies and went six innings while giving up two runs and striking out six. He picked up a win in the game, while Matt Strahm got the save. Ronel Blanco only went 5 2/3 innings for the Astros, giving up two earned runs on seven hits.
At the plate, Philadelphia was led by Brandon Marsh, Bryce Harper, and Trea Turner, as they were the only three Phillies hitters to have more than one hit. Marsh and Harper each drove in a run, while Turner scored twice. Bryson Stott also had a two-hit game and drove in a run.
Astros Records & Stats
Houston leads the AL West by 3.5 games over the Mariners, and they are 70-61 overall. The Astros are on the road today vs. the Phillies, and they are 35-32 on the road this year. At home, the Astros have gone 35-29 this season.
As the road underdog, the Astros have put together a record of 15-13 this year, and they are 18-18 overall as the underdog. The Astros have gone 52-43 as the favorite this year, and their overall series record is 23-17-2.
The Astros have been a strong run line bet on the road this season, going 38-29. They have covered the run line in three straight road games and are 7-0 against the run line as the underdog in their last seven games. Their average run margin on the road is +0.3 runs per game.
The Houston Astros are on the road against the Philadelphia Phillies today, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Their combined run average this season is 8.6 runs per game, and their over/under record is 52-75. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 16-26. So far this season, 37 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, which accounts for 28.2% of their games.
Right-hander Justin Verlander gets the start for the Astros today as he faces the Phillies on the road. He has made 11 starts this season and has a record of 3-3 with a 3.92 ERA. Verlander’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.19. Looking back at his last outing, Verlander took the loss vs. the Red Sox, going five innings and giving up two earned runs. He has given up at least one homer in each of his last three starts. Per nine innings, Verlander has 8.27 strikeouts and just 2.61 walks.
Yainer Diaz has been on a tear for the Astros, going 15/43 in his last 10 games with four homers and five RBIs. For the season, he is batting .300 with 16 homers and 72 RBIs, which is the best mark on the team. Yordan Alvarez has also been a force in the lineup, hitting .305 with 25 homers, and 67 RBIs, which is the 2nd best mark on the team.
As a team, the Astros are 3rd in batting average and 12th in runs scored at 4.6 per game. They are also one of the best home run hitting teams in the league, coming in 10th in the league. Houston comes into the game with a team batting average of .260 and a collective on-base percentage of .320.
Phillies Records & Stats
Philadelphia is hosting the Astros today with an overall record of 77-54, which has them leading the NL East by six games over the Braves. The Phillies have taken three straight games overall, and they are 20-14 in divisional matchups this year.
So far, the Phillies have gone 43-23 at home compared to 34-31 on the road. Philadelphia has been the favorite in most of their games, putting together a record of 65-40 in those matchups. As the home favorite, the Phillies are 42-21 this year.
When the Phillies win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.0 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.6 runs per game. Overall, they have a run line record of 64-67, with a run line record of 31-35 at home and 33-32 on the road.
The Phillies have played in 40 games this season where the over/under line was set at 8.5 runs, and their record in those games is 11-13. Overall, the over/under record for the Phillies this season is 61-64, and their combined run average is 8.9 runs per game. The average over/under line for their games this season is 8 runs, and they have played in 67 games with lower lines than 8.5 runs, which accounts for 51.1% of their games.
Through 26 starts, Aaron Nola has a record of 11-6 and an ERA of 3.45. This season, he has one complete game shutout and 16 quality starts. In his last outing, Nola finished with a no-decision, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on eight hits. Before that, he had gone two straight outings without giving up an earned run. Nola has given up at least three earned runs in three of his last four starts. The right-hander has a walk rate of 2.32 per nine innings compared to 8.3 strikeouts.
Over the past eight games, Bryson Stott has been swinging the bat well for the Phillies, going 11/28 with one home run. Alec Bohm has been a consistent hitter all season, batting .291 with 13 home runs. Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 28 homers and is 11th in the league with 82 RBIs.
Philadelphia comes into the game as one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 4.9 runs per game and batting a collective .259. They are also one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams, coming in 10th in the league. The Phillies have three players with at least 26 homers and have the 7th ranked scoring offense in the league.