Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick & Prediction 8/26/24
At 6:40 PM ET, the Astros and Phillies square off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, and the Astros are currently 1st in the AL West with a record of 70-60, while the Phillies are 1st in the NL East at 76-54. Houston is the slight money line underdog (+138), while the Phillies are at -163, and the over/under line is at 8 runs.
FS1 will be televising Monday’s Astros vs. Phillies matchup, and Ronel Blanco is starting for the Astros, while the Phillies are going with Zack Wheeler. Philadelphia is currently on a two-game winning streak.
HOUSTON ASTROS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Houston Astros Moneyline +138
This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 6:40 ET on Monday, August 26th.
HOW TO BET THE ASTROS VS PHILLIES:
- We have the Astros winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Astros to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Astros Records & Stats
Alex Bregman and the Astros are coming off a big 6-3 win over the Orioles to close out their series. Bregman went 2/5 with a homer and two RBIs. The Astros really broke things open with a three-run 4th inning. Yainer Diaz hit a homer in the 4th, going just 1/5.
Yusei Kikuchi got the start for the Astros, going 5 2/3 innings, and giving up three runs on just two hits. He also issued three walks and took the loss. Héctor Neris got the win out of the bullpen, and Josh Hader picked up the save.
Houston is 70-60 overall and leads the AL West by 4.5 games over the Mariners. The Astros will be on the road today, taking on the Phillies. This year, they have gone 35-29 at home and have been an even better 35-31 on the road.
The Astros have an overall series record of 23-17-2 this year, and they are 52-43 as the favorite. As the underdog, the Astros have gone 18-17 this season. They split their most recent series 2-2 vs. the Orioles and are 5-5 over their last 10 games.
When it comes to the run line, the Astros have been a solid bet on the road this season, going 37-29. They have covered the run line in two straight road games and have covered in six straight games as the underdog. Their average run differential on the road is +0.3 runs per game.
Today’s over/under line of 8 runs for the Houston Astros’ game against the Philadelphia Phillies is slightly below their season average of 8.6 runs per game. Houston has played in 79 games with lines set higher than 8 runs, which is 60.8% of their games this season. When the line is set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 10-12-2.
Houston is sending Ronel Blanco to the mound today vs. the Phillies, and he comes in with a record of 9-6 and an ERA of 3.14. Blanco has made 24 starts this year and has pitched well on the road, going 5-2 with a 2.81 ERA. Overall, he has a WHIP of 1.06 and has turned in 12 quality starts this year. Blanco’s last outing came on August 20th, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up five earned runs in 3 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without taking the loss.
Yainer Diaz has been swinging a hot bat for the Astros, hitting .345 over his last seven games with three homers during that stretch. For the season, he is batting .301 with 16 homers and a team-leading 72 RBIs. Yordan Alvarez has also been a big power threat for the Astros, as his 25 homers are the best on the team and 11th in the league. His batting average of .306 is also the 2nd best mark on the team.
As a team, the Astros are 3rd in batting average and are averaging 4.6 runs per game. They have been a good home run hitting team this season and have the league’s 3rd fewest strikeouts. Houston’s offense has a few players on some good hitting streaks, with Yainer Diaz leading the way on a nine-game streak.
Phillies Records & Stats
Heading into their last game vs. the Royals, the Phillies closed out the series with an impressive 11-3 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +119 on the money line. It was a big third inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Royals could only score three runs, all of which came in the 3rd.
Kolby Allard put together a good start for the Phillies, going five innings and giving up just two earned runs, and picking up the win. Philadelphia’s offense was carried by Nick Castellanos, who went 1/5 with a homer and two RBIs.
Philadelphia is hosting the Astros today with an overall record of 76-54, putting them in 1st place in the NL East. They currently lead the Braves by six games. The Phillies have gone 20-14 against other teams in the NL East. The team has won two straight games and closed out their series with the Royals with a win.
At home, the Phillies are 42-23 this year, and they are above .500 on the road, sitting at 34-31. As the favorite, the Phillies are 64-40 this year and 12-14 as the underdog. So far, they have been good as the home favorite, going 41-21. This year, the Phillies’ overall series record is 22-16-6.
When the Phillies win, they do so by an average of 4.0 runs per game. That’s a big reason why they’re 64-66 against the run line this season. They’ve been a favorite in 104 games and have gone 50-54 against the run line in those games. They’ve been an underdog in 26 games and have gone 14-12 against the run line in those games.
The Philadelphia Phillies are at home today against the Houston Astros with an over/under line of 8 runs. The combined run average in Phillies games this season is 8.9, and their over/under record is 61-63. The average over/under line for Phillies games this season is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 17-14-1. In 49.2% of their games this season, the over/under line has been set at over 8 runs, and in 26.2% of their games, the line has been set at under 8 runs. The over has hit in the Phillies’ last three games.
Right-hander Zack Wheeler gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Astros at home. He has made 25 starts this season and has a record of 12-6. Wheeler’s ERA is currently 2.73, along with a WHIP of .98. Looking back at his last outing, Wheeler took the loss, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts. Wheeler has finished with a no-decision in two of his last four outings. Opponents are batting .190 off Wheeler this season.
The Phillies offense has been one of the league’s best this season, as they are 6th in runs per game (4.9), and are 2nd in the league in home games at 5.3 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .259, which is the 4th best mark in the league, and they are also 4th in on-base percentage and 7th in slugging. The Phillies have been hitting the ball hard, as they are 10th in isolated power and have a collective batting average on balls in play of .31.
Heading into today’s game, the Phillies have several hitters who are on a bit of a hot streak. Bryson Stott and Bryce Harper are both on four-game hitting streaks, with Stott batting .400 over his last six games and Harper hitting .412 with two homers in his last five games. Alec Bohm and Kyle Schwarber come into the game with 13 and 28 homers, respectively.