Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers Betting Pick & Prediction 5/11/24
At 6:10 PM from Comerica Park in Detroit, we have an American League matchup between the Astros and Tigers. Heading into Saturday’s game, the Astros are 14-24, and the Tigers are 19-19. Houston is starting Cristian Javier, and the Tigers are sending Tarik Skubal to the mound.
Detroit is at home and is the favorite, with money line odds of -133. The over/under line is at 7 runs, and you can catch this one on BSDET.
HOUSTON ASTROS VS DETROIT TIGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Houston Astros Moneyline +112
This game will be played at Comerica Park at 6:10 ET on Saturday, May 11th.
HOW TO BET THE ASTROS VS TIGERS:
- We have the Astros winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Astros to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Houston picked up a 5-2 road win over the Tigers in the most recent game of this series. The Astros had a big 8th inning, scoring four of their five runs. As for the Tigers, they scored their only two runs in the 3rd. Heading into the game, the Astros were favored at -149 on the money line.
Framber Valdez pitched well for the Astros in this one, going seven innings and giving up just two earned runs. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued two walks. Josh Hader came out of the bullpen for the save. Andrew Chafin took the loss for Detroit out of the bullpen.
Kyle Tucker and Yordan Alvarez each homered for the Astros, while Jeremy Pena scored twice and drove in a run while going 2/4. Andy Ibanez had a two-hit game for the Tigers.
Astros Records & Stats
The Astros are 14-24 overall and trail the Rangers by seven games in the AL West. Currently, they are 4th in the division and have gone 5-5 in divisional matchups. Houston has won two straight games, and they are 5-5 in their last ten games overall.
So far, the Astros have been the same at home and on the road, as they are both 7-12. As the favorite, Houston has gone just 11-19 this season, and they are 3-5 as the underdog. The Astros’ overall series record is 4-7-1, and they have dropped two straight series.
When the Astros win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.6 runs per game. However, they are just 14-24 against the run line this season, including a 7-12 mark on the road. They are currently on a two-game run line win streak and have a run line record of 4-4 as the underdog this season.
The Astros have had a combined run average of 9.5 runs per game this season, but their over/under record is just 13-23. Their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs, but their over/under record when the line is set at 7 runs is 0-0. Their last two games have gone under the total, and their games have had an average of 8 runs per game.
Cristian Javier is on the mound for the Houston Astros today, as they take on the Detroit Tigers on the road. Javier has a win in each of his first two starts, and he has been pretty solid in his outings. In his last start, he went 7 innings and gave up 2 earned runs on 5 hits, while striking out 5. He has not allowed a home run yet this season.
Heading into today’s game, the Astros are the top home run hitting team in the league and are batting a collective .257, which is the 3rd best mark in the MLB. They are also the league’s top team in terms of fewest strikeouts per game. Overall, the Astros are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. Houston has been a better offensive team at home this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game.
Jose Altuve and Kyle Tucker have been the Astros’ top two power threats this season, with Altuve batting .325 with seven homers and Tucker leading the league with 12 home runs. Tucker also has 26 RBIs, which is the best mark on the team and 8th in the league. Altuve is currently on a three-game hitting streak and has gone 10/38 over his last nine games. Tucker has struggled a bit of late, hitting just .161 in his last nine games.
Tigers Records & Stats
Detroit is currently 4th in the AL Central, and they trail the Guardians by 4.5 games for the division lead. Overall, the Tigers are at .500 with a record of 19-19 heading into today’s game vs. the Astros. The Tigers have dropped two straight games, and they are 3-7 over their last 10.
So far, the Tigers have been good against other teams in the AL Central, putting up a record of 10-6. At home, they are just 8-10 this year compared to 11-9 on the road. As the underdog, the Tigers are 10-12 this year and 9-7 when favored.
When the Tigers win, they do so by an average of 2.8 runs per game. In their losses, they lose by an average of 2.6 runs per game. Detroit is 18-20 against the run line this season, including a 5-13 mark at home. As the underdog, they are 15-7 vs. the run line, compared to 3-13 as the favorite. On the road, they are 13-7 vs. the run line, compared to 5-13 at home.
The Detroit Tigers have had a combined run average of 7.9 this season, and their over/under record is 17-19. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 7 runs, they have gone 3-1. Overall, 86.8% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7 runs, and their game against the Astros today has an over/under line of 7 runs.
Detroit is sending left-hander Tarik Skubal to the mound today vs. the Astros. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 4-0 with a 1.90 ERA. Skubal’s WHIP for the season is an impressive 0.77, and opponents are batting .175 off him this year. Skubal has made five quality starts this year and is coming off a game in which he had 12 strikeouts. In that outing vs. the Yankees, he went six innings and gave up two earned runs. Skubal has not allowed more than two earned runs in any of his last four outings.
Heading into today’s game, the Tigers offense is averaging 4 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. They have been a bit better on the road, averaging 4.2 runs per game, compared to just 3.7 runs per game at home. As a team, they are batting just .227 and have the 16th most home runs in the league.
Riley Greene has been the Tigers most consistent power bat this season, as his nine homers are 4th in the league and leads the team. Greene also comes into the game with a team-high 17 RBIs. Over his last eight games, Andy Ibáñez has gone 9/23 with two homers and is currently on a three-game hitting streak.