Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers Betting Pick & Prediction 5/10/24
At 6:40 PM ET, the Astros and Tigers will face off in an American League matchup. Friday night’s game is being played at Comerica Park in Detroit, where the forecast calls for partly cloudy skies and temperatures in the mid-60s. Houston is the favorite on the money line at -135, and the over/under line is at 8.5 runs.
Casey Mize is starting for the Tigers, and he is facing off against Framber Valdez for the Astros. Heading into Friday’s game, the Astros are 13-24, and the Tigers are 19-18.
HOUSTON ASTROS VS DETROIT TIGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Houston Astros Moneyline -135
This game will be played at Comerica Park at 6:40 ET on Friday, May 10th.
HOW TO BET THE ASTROS VS TIGERS:
- We have the Astros winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Tigers to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Astros Records & Stats
Heading into their last game vs. the Yankees, the Astros closed out the series with a 4-3 win. Leading up to the game, they were the +127 underdog on the money line. Offensively, the Astros scored their four runs on 11 hits and only hit two home runs.
Ronel Blanco got the start for the Astros, going 5 2/3 innings, and got the win. He only gave up two runs on four hits and issued four walks. The Astros’ bullpen was able to close things out, and Josh Hader picked up the save.
The Astros are on the road today, facing the Tigers with an overall record of 13-24, which has them 5th in the AL West. Currently, they trail the Rangers by eight games, and they are 5-5 against other teams in the AL West. Houston lost two of three games in their series vs. the Yankees.
At home, the Astros are just 7-12 this year while going 6-12 on the road. As the favorite, the Astros are only 10-19 this year, and they are 3-10 when favored on the road. So far, their overall series record is 4-7-1, and they have lost two straight series.
When the Astros win, they win big, with an average run differential of +4.7 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose big, with an average run differential of -3.8 runs per game. The Astros have a run line record of 13-24, with a run line record of 6-12 on the road. They have lost two straight against the run line as the favorite, and are 9-20 overall in that situation.
Despite the Astros’ high-scoring games this season, the over/under line for their games has been set at 8.5 runs in just 10.8% of their games. Their average over/under line for the season is 9 runs per game, and their games have averaged 9.6 runs per game. So far this season, the over/under record for Astros games is 13-22.
Framber Valdez and the Astros are on the road to take on the Tigers today. Valdez is coming off a loss in his last start, where he went 5 1/3 innings and gave up 5 runs on 5 hits. In his first start of the season, he went 5 innings and picked up a win against the Rockies.
For the season, the Astros are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They have been a better team at home, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. Overall, Houston is batting .258, which is the 3rd best mark in the league. They also do a great job of putting the ball in play, as they are the league’s toughest team to strike out.
Jose Altuve has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 13/43 in his last 10 games. Kyle Tucker has also been swinging a hot bat, as he has 11 homers this season and is 10th in the league with 25 RBIs. However, he is just 7/35 in his last 10 games. Yordan Alvarez is 2nd on the team with 19 RBIs but is batting just .245 for the season.
Tigers Records & Stats
The Tigers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Guardians with a 5-4 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 4th inning before the Guardians scored four runs in the 4th. Detroit was the +107 underdog on the money line going into the game.
Reese Olson put together a good start for the Tigers, going six innings and giving up just one earned run while striking out four. However, the Tigers couldn’t close things out, and Alex Lange took the loss out of the bullpen. Detroit’s offense scored their four runs on seven hits and didn’t hit a home run.
Detroit is 19-18 overall and 4.5 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. So far, they have gone 10-6 against other teams in the division. The Tigers kick off their series vs. the Astros, having lost two of their last three games in the series vs. the Guardians.
At home, the Tigers are 8-9 this year and 11-9 on the road. As the underdog, the Tigers are just below .500 at 10-11 and 9-7 as the favorite. Detroit has won two straight games at home, and their overall series record is 6-4-2. They dropped two straight series before that vs. the Royals and White Sox.
The Tigers have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 18-19 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 13-7. They have covered the run line in their last two home games and have covered the run line in three straight games as an underdog.
The Tigers have gone over in two straight games and have an over/under record of 17-18 on the season. The combined run average in their games this year is 7.9, and the average over/under line for their games is 8. They have gone over in two of the four games this season with an over/under line of 8.5 runs. This season, 70.3% of their games have had over/under lines set lower than 8.5 runs.
Through six starts, Casey Mize has a record of 1-1 and an ERA of 3.98 for the Tigers. His WHIP for the season is 1.33. Mize’s most recent outing came against the Yankees, where he took the loss. In that start, he gave up five earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Looking back over his last four outings, Mize has finished with a no-decision in three of them. He has made two quality starts this year and is averaging 6.82 strikeouts per nine innings. Mize has been much better at home, with an ERA of 3.3 compared to 4.57 on the road.
Heading into today’s game, the Tigers offense is averaging just 4 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.8 runs per game. Detroit’s team batting average is just .227, and they are near the bottom of the league in terms of team OPS. The Tigers do have the 14th most home runs in the league, but their isolated power number is just 19th in the league.
Riley Greene and Mark Canha have been the Tigers’ top power threats so far this season, with Greene’s nine homers leading the team and Canha’s five homers being the second-most on the team. Greene has also driven in the most runs on the team so far. Greene has three homers in his last eight games and is hitting .294 in that stretch. Andy Ibanez has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/23 in his last eight games.