Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox Betting Pick & Prediction 8/10/24

Spencer Arrighetti will start for the Astros on Saturday, as they look to keep their three-game winning streak alive. They are +102 on the money line compared to the Red Sox, who are 61-53 overall and have lost two straight. Boston’s money line odds are at -122, and the over/under line is 10.5 runs.

Josh Winckowski will be on the mound for the Red Sox, and he will be facing an Astros team that is 1st in the AL West with a record of 60-55. Boston is 3rd in the AL East. This game is set to get started at 4:10 PM ET from Fenway Park in Boston.

BOSTON RED SOX VS HOUSTON ASTROS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline -122

This game will be played at Fenway Park at 4:10 ET on Saturday, August 10th.

HOW TO BET THE ASTROS VS RED SOX:

• We have the Red Sox winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Astros to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Thanks to a four-run 7th inning for the Astros’ offense, they cruised to an easy 8-4 win over the Red Sox in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Astros were at +112 on the money line.

The starting pitching matchup for this game featured Ronel Blanco for the Astros, and he went just four innings while giving up two runs and took a no-decision. Kaleb Ort got the win out of the bullpen. Tanner Houck put together a good outing for the Red Sox, giving up just one earned run across six innings of work.

Houston’s offense was led by Yainer Diaz and Jose Altuve, as they were the only two Astros hitters to have more than one hit. Diaz, Jeremy Pena, and Alex Bregman each had two RBIs.

Astros Records & Stats

Houston is currently 60-55 overall, and they are in a tie with the Mariners for the AL West lead. The Astros have won three straight games, and they are 5-5 in their last ten. Their record includes a mark of 21-18 in divisional games. On the road, the Astros are 28-29 this year and 32-26 at home.

As the road underdog, the Astros have gone 12-11 this season, and they are 45-39 as the favorite. Looking at their overall series record, the Astros are 20-16-1 and have dropped two straight series at home.

When the Astros are on the road, they are a solid bet against the run line, as they are 31-26 overall. They have covered the run line in five straight road games and in 20 of 31 games as the underdog. Their average run margin is -0.1 on the road, but they have a run line record of 27-31 at home.

Despite their over/under record of 46-65, the Houston Astros have seen their last two games go over the total, and they have an average combined run average of 8.7 runs per game. Their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs, and they have played in just three games with an over/under line of 10.5 runs this season, going 0-3 in those contests. Overall, 95.7% of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s 10.5-run total.

Houston is sending Spencer Arrighetti to the mound today vs. the Red Sox, and he comes in with a record of 4-10 and an ERA of 5.33. Arrighetti has made 20 starts this year and has a WHIP of 1.52. Looking back at his last outing, he took the loss vs. the Rays, going six innings and giving up one earned run on five hits. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight outings. Opponents are batting .251 vs. Arrighetti this year, and his ERA on the road is 7.61 compared to 7.47 at home.

Yordan Alvarez has been swinging a hot bat for the Astros, going 7/18 in his last five games with two homers and four RBIs. For the season, he is batting .302 with a team-leading 22 homers and 59 RBIs. Yainer Diaz has also been a big run producer for the Astros, as he is batting .301 and has driven in the most runs on the team.

Altuve, Bregman, Tucker, and Alvarez are all on decent hitting streaks for the Astros, with Altuve and Bregman both on four-game streaks. As a team, the Astros are 13th in scoring at 4.6 runs per game and have been good at avoiding strikeouts this season.

Red Sox Records & Stats

Boston is 61-53 overall and trails the Orioles by 6.5 games in the AL East. The Red Sox have dropped two straight games, and they lost the first game of this series vs. the Astros. So far, they are 14-13 in AL East games.

At home, the Red Sox are 27-29 this year and 34-24 on the road. As the favorite, Boston has gone 32-23 and 29-30 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Red Sox are 19-13-5 and have won three straight series.

The Red Sox have a run line record of 21-35 at home this season, with an average run margin of -0.4 runs per game. They are 20-35 against the run line as the favorite, but have gone 34-25 against the run line as the underdog. In their wins, they have an average run margin of +4.1 runs per game, while in their losses, they have an average run margin of -4.1 runs per game.

The Boston Red Sox have been playing in high-scoring games lately, with their last seven games all going over the total. Their games have averaged 9.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 60-48. Their games have had an average total of 9 runs this season, but they have gone over in three of the four games with a total of 10.5 runs.

Josh Winckowski is getting the start for the Red Sox today and has made 24 appearances this season. He has made five starts and has a record of 2-1 with an ERA of 3.44. Winckowski’s WHIP for the season is 1.41, and opponents are batting .260 this season. In his last outing, he went 2 2/3 innings out of the bullpen and gave up one earned run on one hit. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Winckowski has finished with a no-decision in each of his last four outings. Per nine innings, he has 6.7 strikeouts and 3.6 walks.

As a team, the Red Sox have been one of the top offenses in the league this season, averaging 5 runs per game, which is 4th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Boston is one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams, and they also have the league’s best OPS and team batting average.

Rafael Devers has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 25 home runs are the best mark on the team and 9th best in the league. He is also 14th in the league with 71 RBIs. Devers is batting .301 for the season. Tyler O’Neill is also having a good season at the plate, with a batting average of .268 and 22 home runs. In his last nine games, Wilyer Abreu has gone 7/25 with three homers.