Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans Betting Pick & Prediction 3/28/25
At 8:00 ET, the 7th ranked Golden State Warriors (-851) will take on the 14th ranked New Orleans Pelicans (+580). The over/under line for this Western Conference matchup is 223.5.
Golden State (-13.5) is currently on a 2-game losing streak and will look to get back on track against a Pelicans team that is 20-53 and 5th in the Southwest Division.
GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS VS NEW ORLEANS PELICANS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Golden State Warriors -13.5
This game will be played at Smoothie King Center at 8:00 ET on Friday, March 28th.
WHY BET THE GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 125-67 in favor of the Warriors.
- Our projections have Stephen Curry finishing with 24 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists.
- From the field, we have the Warriors finishing with a field goal percentage of 45.9% and knocking down 16 threes.
Taking a Look at the Warriors Chances in New Orleans
The Warriors dropped to 41-31 on the season after a 112-86 road loss to the Heat on Tuesday. Favored by 4.5 points, Golden State not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The game’s total points of 198 fell short of the 208.5 O/U line.
Golden State’s 10-0 run extended the score from 78-62 to 88-62, but they couldn’t maintain momentum. After winning the 3rd quarter 30-26, they were outscored 29-16 in the 4th.
In their 112-86 loss to the Heat, the Warriors struggled offensively, shooting just 39.8% from the field and hitting only 9 threes at a 23.7% clip. Jonathan Kuminga led the team with 15 points, adding 8 in the 2nd quarter and 5 more in the 3rd.
Brandin Podziemski contributed 14 points, with 9 coming in the 3rd quarter, while Gui Santos added 13 points, shooting 62.5% from the field and hitting 3 threes at 50%. Santos also scored 8 points in the 1st quarter and added 5 more in the 4th.
The Warriors gave up 112 points to the Heat on Tuesday, allowing 28 points in the 1st quarter and 29 in both the 2nd and 4th. Their best defensive effort came in the 3rd, where they allowed 26 points.
Golden State struggled to contain Miami’s shooters, who hit 17 threes at a 68% clip. The Warriors sent the Heat to the line 12 times, where they made 9 free throws. Defensively, the Warriors recorded 8 steals and 1 block.
Are New Orleans Ready for a Home Win?
New Orleans improved to 20-53 on the season with a 112-99 win over the 76ers on Monday. Playing at home, the Pelicans entered the game as -3 point favorites and covered the spread with a +13 point victory. The combined score of 211 points fell short of the 224.5-point over/under line.
New Orleans took control with a 10-0 run, extending their lead from 75-73 to 85-73. They outscored the 76ers 32-26 in the 3rd quarter and held a 90-75 lead going into the 4th, where they were outscored 24-22.
The Pelicans shot 49.4% from the field and hit 15 threes at a 42.9% clip in their win over the 76ers. Karlo Matković led the way with 19 points, 8 rebounds, and 3 made threes, shooting 75% from deep and 63.6% overall.
Antonio Reeves added 17 points, hitting 5 threes at 71.4%, with 8 points in the 2nd quarter and 9 in the 3rd. Yves Missi contributed 16 points and 9 rebounds, shooting 85.7% from the field.
The Pelicans put on a strong defensive performance, holding the 76ers to 99 points on 39% shooting. They gave up 23 points in the 1st quarter, 26 in both the 2nd and 3rd, and 24 in the 4th.
New Orleans limited Philadelphia to 14 made threes on 33% shooting. The 76ers went 17/19 from the free-throw line. The Pelicans finished with 11 steals and 5 blocked shots.