Fresno State Bulldogs vs New Mexico Lobos NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 1/20/25
The Bulldogs and Lobos are set to face off at 5:00 ET on CBSS. The Lobos will host the game at The Pit in Albuquerque, NM. This Mountain West conference matchup has an over/under of 162.5 points, and New Mexico is favored to win by -20.5 at home vs. Fresno State.
FRESNO STATE BULLDOGS VS NEW MEXICO LOBOS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Fresno State Bulldogs +20.5
This game will be played at The Pit at 5:00 ET on Monday, January 20th.
WHY BET THE FRESNO STATE BULLDOGS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-71 in favor of the Lobos.
- Even though we have New Mexico winning straight-up, we like Fresno State at +20.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 162.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 148 points.
Does Fresno State Have A Chance at The Pit?
Fresno State Bulldogs Recent Game/Games
Fresno State improved to 5-13 on the season with a 74-65 win over Air Force on Friday, January 17th. Playing at home, the Bulldogs entered the game as -4.5 favorites and covered the spread. The total points for the game were 139, just under the O/U line of 141.5.
Fresno State jumped out to a 41-24 lead at halftime, but allowed 41 points in the 2nd half while scoring 33 of their own. Despite the defensive lapse, they held on for the win.
Fresno State put up 74 points in their last game, hitting 50% of their shots from the field. They connected on 63.3% of their two-point attempts, but struggled from beyond the arc, shooting just 27.8% (5/18). At the free-throw line, they were nearly perfect, making 21 of 23 attempts for a 91.3% success rate.
Zaon Collins led the way with 23 points, shooting 63.6% overall and 50% from three. Alex Crawford added 21 points, hitting 61.5% of his shots, while Luke Kearney contributed 20 points and 11 rebounds, though he shot just 30.4% from the field.
Fresno State’s defense gave up 65 points, allowing their opponent to shoot 50% from the field. They were particularly vulnerable inside, where they gave up 19 two-point baskets on 30 attempts, a 63% conversion rate.
From beyond the arc, Fresno State held their opponent to 5 made threes on 18 attempts, a 27% success rate. They also sent the other team to the free-throw line 23 times, where they made 21, shooting 91%. Fresno State allowed 4 offensive rebounds.
Can the Lobos Secure a Win at Home?
New Mexico Lobos Recent Game/Games
The Lobos improved to 14-4 on the season with a dominant 84-65 win over Boise State on Friday. Playing at home, New Mexico entered the game as -3.5 favorites and covered the spread with the victory. The total points for the game were 149, just under the O/U line of 152.5.
New Mexico jumped out to a commanding 48-21 lead by halftime, but allowed 44 points in the second half while scoring 36. Despite the defensive lapse, the Lobos’ strong first half was enough to secure the win.
New Mexico’s offense was firing on all cylinders in their last game, putting up 84 points while shooting 54.4% from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 59.6%, thanks in part to their 46.7% shooting from beyond the arc, hitting 7 of 15 attempts. At the free-throw line, they were perfect, going 15 for 15.
The Lobos shared the ball well, dishing out 22 assists, with Donovan Dent leading the way with 7. Dent also contributed 16 points, as did Nelly Junior Joseph, who added 9 rebounds. Tru Washington was efficient, shooting 62.5% from the field and hitting his only three-point attempt.
Even though New Mexico gave up 65 points, they allowed the opposing team to shoot 54% from the field, including 57% on two-point attempts. The Lobos also conceded 7 threes, with the other team shooting 46% from beyond the arc.
New Mexico sent their opponent to the line 15 times, and they made all their free throws. The Lobos did well on the boards, giving up just 3 offensive rebounds.