Fresno State Bulldogs vs New Mexico Lobos Betting Pick & Prediction 9/21/24
At 8:30 ET, truTV will be covering the week four matchup between the Fresno State Bulldogs and the New Mexico Lobos at University Stadium in Albuquerque. Fresno State is the heavy favorite at -15.5 points, with the over/under line set at 61.5 points. The Bulldogs enter the game with a 2-1 record, while the Lobos are still looking for their first win of the season.
FRESNO STATE BULLDOGS VS NEW MEXICO LOBOS BETTING PICK
The Pick: New Mexico Lobos +15.5
This game will be played at University Stadium at 8:30 ET on Saturday, September 21st.
WHY BET THE NEW MEXICO LOBOS:
- We have the Fresno State Bulldogs winning this one by a score of 37 to 24
- Even though we like the Fresno State Bulldogs to win, our ATS pick is to take the New Mexico Lobos at +15.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 61.5 points
Will The Fresno State Bulldogs Win As Road Favorites?
After a 48-0 victory over New Mexico State, Fresno State improved to 2-1 on the season. The Bulldogs, who were -20.5 point favorites, not only won but also covered the spread. The over/under line for the game was 47.5 points, and Fresno State’s win resulted in a push for the total score bet.
The Bulldogs dominated from the start, taking a 14-0 lead in the first quarter. By halftime, they had extended their lead to 31-0, and they added 17 more points in the third quarter before the game ended with a scoreless fourth quarter.
In their 48-0 win over New Mexico State, Fresno State’s offense was dominant, racking up 525 total yards and 20 first downs. The Bulldogs’ ground game was particularly effective, amassing 281 yards and scoring four touchdowns. Malik Sherrod led the way with 113 yards on 15 carries, averaging 7.5 yards per attempt and finding the end zone once.
Quarterback Mikey Keene completed 54.5% of his passes for 221 yards and two touchdowns, with a passer rating of 119.7. Mac Dalena was his top target, hauling in two receptions for 82 yards and one of the team’s two receiving touchdowns.
In their most recent game, Fresno State’s defense was dominant, holding New Mexico State to just 61 passing yards on 11 completions. The Bulldogs picked off three passes and limited their opponents to just 138 total yards. New Mexico State managed only 10 first downs and 77 rushing yards on 32 attempts, failing to score in a 48-0 loss.
Are The New Mexico Lobos Going Win In At Upset At University Stadium
New Mexico is still looking for their first win of the season after a 45-19 road loss to Auburn. The Lobos, who were +24 point underdogs, failed to cover the spread. The game’s total points (64) surpassed the over/under line of 58.
The Lobos kept it close in the first half, trailing 17-13 at halftime. However, Auburn outscored them 14-0 in the third quarter, and New Mexico couldn’t mount a comeback, adding just six points in the fourth quarter.
In their 45-19 loss to Auburn, New Mexico’s offense put up 448 total yards, with 291 yards coming from the passing game. Devon Dampier completed 22 of 44 passes, throwing for 291 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions. His passer rating for the game was 59.94. Ryan Davis was his top target, hauling in six receptions for 100 yards.
The Lobos’ rushing attack gained 157 yards on 26 carries, with Eli Sanders leading the way with 72 yards on just seven attempts. Despite moving the chains 22 times, New Mexico struggled to finish drives and put points on the board.
New Mexico’s defense had a tough outing against Auburn, giving up 505 total yards and 45 points. The Lobos were particularly vulnerable against the run, allowing 270 rushing yards and two touchdowns on the ground. While their pass defense was more effective, holding Auburn to 235 yards on 17 completions, they still surrendered four passing touchdowns.