Florida State Seminoles vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish Betting Pick & Prediction 11/9/24
Notre Dame is the heavy favorite in their week 11 matchup against Florida State, set for 7:30 ET at Notre Dame Stadium. The game will be broadcast on NBC, and the over/under line is currently at 42.5 points. The Fighting Irish are 7-1 on the season, while the Seminoles are just 1-8 overall.
FLORIDA STATE SEMINOLES VS NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH BETTING PICK
The Pick: Notre Dame Fighting Irish -26
This game will be played at Notre Dame Stadium at 7:30 ET on Saturday, November 9th.
WHY BET THE NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH:
- We have the Notre Dame Fighting Irish winning this one by a score of 32 to 4
- Not only do we have the Notre Dame Fighting Irish winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -26
- We see this game finishing below the line of 42.5 points
Will The Florida State Seminoles Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Florida State enters Week 11 against Notre Dame with a 1-8 record, ranked 75th in our power rankings. They are 1-4 at home and 0-4 on the road this season. The Seminoles have been favored in four games, going 1-3 as the favorite.
FSU’s ATS record stands at 3-6, with a -12.9 average scoring margin. They are 1-3 against the spread on the road and 2-3 at home.
The Seminoles have a 1-8 over/under record, with their games averaging 41.8 points. Their average over/under line is 49.6 points, and this week’s total is set at 42.5 points.
Florida State’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 14.4 points per game, which ranks 104th in the nation. They are also 121st in our offensive power rankings heading into week 11. Their third-down conversion rate is just 25.8%, and their rushing attack is averaging 81.9 yards per game.
DJ Uiagalelei has thrown for 1,065 yards with a passer rating of 67. He has four touchdowns and six interceptions. Florida State ranks 40th in passing attempts per game. Lawrance Toafili leads the team with 303 rushing yards, averaging 3 yards per carry. Ja’Khi Douglas has 404 receiving yards and three touchdowns.
Florida State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 27.3 points per game. In their recent 35-11 loss to North Carolina, they gave up 35 points and 500 total yards, including 289 rushing yards and four rushing touchdowns.
Opponents have averaged 197 rushing yards per game against Florida State, while quarterbacks have posted a 101.6 passer rating and completed 63.8% of their passes, averaging 201.3 passing yards per game.
Are The Notre Dame Fighting Irish Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
Notre Dame enters Week 11 with a 7-1 record, ranked 5th in our power rankings. They have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible and a 58% chance of making the playoff. The Fighting Irish are 3-1 at home and 4-0 on the road this season.
Notre Dame is 6-2 against the spread, with a perfect 4-0 record on the road. They’ve been favored in seven of their eight games, going 5-2 ATS as the favorite.
Their over/under record is 4-4, with an average line of 46.9 points. This week’s line is 42.5 points, the lowest they’ve faced this season.
Notre Dame’s offense is averaging 36.6 points per game heading into week 11, placing them 16th in the nation. They are ranked 23rd in our offensive power rankings. Their rushing attack is the strength of the offense, averaging 217.4 yards per game, and they are 50th in rushing attempts.
Jeremiyah Love leads the team with 564 rushing yards, averaging 6 yards per carry, and has scored nine touchdowns. Quarterback Riley Leonard has thrown for 1,360 yards, with eight touchdowns and three interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 92.
Notre Dame’s defense has been impressive this season, ranking 4th nationally by allowing just 12.1 points per game. They’ve also limited opponents to 156.1 passing yards per game, the 9th-lowest in the country, and a passer rating of 57.4, which ranks 6th. Quarterbacks have completed just 49.7% of their passes against Notre Dame, the 4th-lowest percentage in the nation.
In their recent game against Navy, Notre Dame’s defense gave up only 14 points, allowing 12 first downs and 260 total yards. Navy ran the ball 40 times for 140 yards, while Notre Dame’s secondary held them to 120 passing yards and grabbed two interceptions.