Florida Gators vs Texas Longhorns Betting Pick & Prediction 11/9/24
ABC will be covering the week 11 matchup between the Florida Gators and Texas Longhorns, scheduled for 12:00 ET on Saturday, November 9th, at Darrell K. Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin. The Gators are the heavy underdogs at +21.5 points, with the over/under line set at 47.5 points. The Longhorns, with a 7-1 record, are looking to continue their strong season, while the Gators are 4-4 overall.
FLORIDA GATORS VS TEXAS LONGHORNS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Florida Gators +21.5
This game will be played at Darrell K. Royal Texas Memorial Stadium at 12:00 ET on Saturday, November 9th.
WHY BET THE FLORIDA GATORS:
- We have the Texas Longhorns winning this one by a score of 30 to 14
- Even though we like the Texas Longhorns to win, our ATS pick is to take the Florida Gators at +21.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 47.5 points
Will The Florida Gators Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Florida enters Week 11 against Texas with a 4-4 record, ranked 25th in our power rankings. They have a 48.8% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but no shot at winning the Southeastern. The Gators are 2-2 at home and 1-1 on the road this season.
Florida has been favored in just one game this season, going 1-0 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +4.6 points, and they are 4-2 against the spread, with a 2-0 record on the road and 2-2 at home.
The Gators’ over/under record is 5-1, with their games averaging 54.4 points. This week’s line is 47.5 points, compared to their average line of 52.7 points.
Heading into week 11, Florida’s offense ranks 46th in scoring, averaging 29.5 points per game. They are 51st in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game is 65th nationally, with 244.8 yards per game, and they are 75th in passing attempts. On third downs, they convert just 36.2% of their opportunities.
DJ Lagway leads the Gators with 1,071 passing yards, six touchdowns, and five interceptions. He has a passer rating of 100. Montrell Johnson Jr. has rushed for 373 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry, and has four touchdowns. Elijhah Badger has 560 receiving yards on 24 catches.
Florida’s defense has allowed an average of 24.9 points per game this season, ranking 43rd nationally. In their recent game against Georgia, they gave up 34 points, allowing 455 total yards, including 309 passing yards. Despite this, they managed to force three interceptions.
Opponents have averaged 162.4 rushing yards per game against Florida, with the defense facing 41 rushing attempts per game. Through the air, they’ve allowed 219.4 passing yards per game, with quarterbacks completing 59.8% of their passes and posting a passer rating of 81.3.
Are The Texas Longhorns Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
At 7-1 this season, Texas is ranked first in our power rankings. They have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible and a 34.7% chance to win the Southeastern. Nationally, they have the second-best odds to reach the championship game at 25.7% and a 15.6% chance to win it all. Texas is 4-1 at home and 3-0 on the road heading into their Week 11 game against Florida.
Texas has been favored in all eight games this season, going 7-1 with an average scoring margin of +26.1 points per game. Their ATS record stands at 5-3, with a 3-2 mark at home and 2-1 on the road.
The over/under line for this week is 47.5 points. Texas games have averaged 49.1 points, with an average line of 53.6 points. Their over/under record is 3-4-1, with seven games featuring higher lines than this week’s total.
Heading into week 11, Texas ranks 15th in points per game, averaging 37.6, and they are 20th in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game is the focal point, as they rank 21st in passing yards per game, averaging 294.6. They are 22nd in completions and 39th in attempts. Texas ranks 11th in completion percentage and 13th in passer rating.
Quinn Ewers leads the team with 1,389 passing yards, 14 touchdowns, and six interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 102. Quintrevion Wisner is the leading rusher with 409 yards, while Isaiah Bond has 380 receiving yards and four touchdowns.
Texas’s defense has been a standout this season, ranking second nationally by allowing just 11.5 points per game. They’ve also held opponents to 135.5 passing yards per game, the fourth-lowest in the country, and a passer rating of 52.8, which ranks third.
In their recent game against Vanderbilt, Texas allowed 24 points but limited the Commodores to 232 total yards. Vanderbilt rushed 35 times for just 89 yards, while Texas’s secondary gave up 143 passing yards on 9 completions.