Duke Blue Devils vs Miami Hurricanes Betting Pick & Prediction 11/2/24
ABC will be covering the week 10 matchup between the Duke Blue Devils and Miami Hurricanes, set to kick off at 12:00 ET from Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens. The Hurricanes are the heavy favorite with a -20.5 point spread. The over/under line is currently at 54.5 points. Miami is 8-0 on the season, while Duke comes in with a 6-2 record.
DUKE BLUE DEVILS VS MIAMI HURRICANES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Miami Hurricanes -20.5
This game will be played at Hard Rock Stadium at 12:00 ET on Saturday, November 2nd.
WHY BET THE MIAMI HURRICANES:
- We have the Miami Hurricanes winning this one by a score of 35 to 14
- Not only do we have the Miami Hurricanes winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -20.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 54.5 points
Will The Duke Blue Devils Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Duke enters Week 10 against Miami with a 6-2 record, but they have no chance of winning the Atlantic Coast, according to projections. However, they are a lock for bowl eligibility. The Blue Devils are 3-0 at home and 1-1 on the road this season, and they are ranked 60th in our CFB power rankings.
Duke has been favored in three games this season, going 3-0 in those matchups. Their average scoring margin is +7.4 points per game, and they have a 3-1-1 record against the spread.
The over/under line for this week’s game is 54.5 points. Duke’s games have averaged an over/under line of 48.1 points, and their over/under record is 1-4, with their games averaging 44.6 points per contest.
Duke’s offense has been average this season, ranking 90th in our offensive power rankings and 63rd in points per game, with 26. Their third-down conversion rate is just 30.1%, placing them 116th in the nation. On the ground, they average 114 rushing yards per game.
Maalik Murphy leads the passing game with 1,796 yards and 17 touchdowns, and Duke ranks 24th in passing attempts per game. Murphy has thrown five interceptions and has a passer rating of 90. Jordan Moore has 481 receiving yards and four touchdowns.
Despite a tough 28-27 loss to SMU, Duke’s defense managed to force three interceptions, even though they allowed 469 total yards, including 211 rushing yards on 50 attempts and 258 passing yards.
On the season, Duke’s defense ranks 21st nationally, giving up just 18.6 points per game. They’ve allowed 166.6 passing yards per game, the 18th-lowest in the country, and 160.6 rushing yards per game on an average of 41 attempts.
Are The Miami Hurricanes Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
Miami enters Week 10 with an 8-0 record, and they are projected to be bowl-eligible. They have a 51.6% chance of winning the Atlantic Coast and an 89.0% chance of making the playoffs. The Hurricanes rank 5th in the nation with a 17.5% chance of reaching the national championship game and an 8.0% chance of winning it all.
The Hurricanes have been favored in seven of their eight games this season, going 7-0 as the favorite. They have a +25.2 average scoring margin and a 4-3 record against the spread. Miami is 3-1 ATS on the road and 1-2 at home.
Miami’s over/under record is 5-1-1, with their games averaging 68.2 points. Their average over/under line is 57 points, and this week’s line is set at 54.5 points.
Miami’s offense has been the best in college football heading into week 10, leading the nation with 46.8 points per game. They also top the country in third down conversions, converting 59.8% of their attempts. Our power rankings have them as the second-best offense overall.
Cam Ward has thrown for 2,746 yards and 24 touchdowns, with five interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 120. Miami ranks second in passing yards per game, averaging 366.8 yards, and seventh in completions. Xavier Restrepo leads the team with 710 receiving yards and six touchdowns.
Miami’s defense has been strong this season, ranking 14th nationally by allowing just 98.2 rushing yards per game. They also rank 13th in both passer rating (66.6) and completion percentage (53.5%) allowed. On average, opposing offenses have thrown the ball 33.8 times per game, gaining 201.8 passing yards.
In their recent game against Florida State, Miami’s defense gave up just 14 points, allowing 248 total yards. Florida State managed 133 rushing yards on 28 attempts and completed 11 of 32 passes for 115 yards.