Duke Blue Devils vs Louisville Cardinals Betting Pick & Prediction 1/23/24

Looking to win big? The Blue Devils and Cardinals face off at 7:00 ET on ACCN. The Cardinals are hosting the game at KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, KY. The Blue Devils are favored in this Atlantic Coast conference showdown. The game’s over/under is currently at 150.5 points.

DUKE BLUE DEVILS VS LOUISVILLE CARDINALS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Louisville Cardinals +14

This game will be played at KFC Yum! Center at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, January 23rd.

WHY BET THE LOUISVILLE CARDINALS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Cardinals.
• Not only will Louisville pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +14.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 150.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.

Do the Blue Devils Stand a Chance on the Road?

Coming off a tough 80-76 loss to Pittsburgh, Duke will look to get back on track as they take on Louisville. The Blue Devils are 13-4 overall, including a 3-2 record in Atlantic Coast Conference play. As for their road record, they are 2-2, and they have gone 7-3 in their last 10 games away from home.

On the season, Duke has been favored in 16 of their 17 games, and they have gone 12-4 in those contests. For the year, their average scoring margin on the road is +2.0, while their average scoring margin at home is +18.4. The Blue Devils’ record in non-conference games is 10-2, compared to their 3-2 mark in ACC action.

As the favorite this season, Duke has gone 8-8 vs. the spread, which includes an ATS mark of 1-3 on the road. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Blue Devils have a 5-5 ATS record.

On the season, the over/under record for Duke is 9-6-1, and today’s over/under line of 150.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (146.1). So far, eight of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-0.

In contrast to their season average of 81.6 points per game, the Duke had a below average performance. They scored 76 points against Pittsburgh and had a field goal percentage of 44.9%. The team’s top scorer is Kyle Filipowski, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 18.2, while Jeremy Roach also maintains a PPG average of 14.6 leading up to the game.

Coming into today’s game, the Duke defense is giving up an average of 66.9 points per contest. In their most recent game, the Duke defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Pittsburgh knocked down 11 three-pointers on their way to 80 points.

Can Louisville Grab a Win at Home?

After losing their last game to Wake Forest by a score of 90-65, Louisville enters this game with a record of 6-12. They have lost three straight games and are 1-6 in Atlantic Coast Conference play compared to 5-6 in non-conference action.

So far this season, the Cardinals have gone 5-7 at home, and over their last 10 games at home, they are 4-6. As the underdog, they are 1-10 compared to 5-2 as the favorite.

As the underdog, Louisville has gone 5-5-1 vs. the spread this season and is 4-4-2 ATS in their last 10 games at home. Overall, the Cardinals have an ATS mark of 7-9-2 this year.

On the season, the over/under record in Louisville games is 11-7 and today’s line of 150.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (146.9). In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 160 points.

The Louisville offense is coming off a game where they scored 65 points against Wake Forest. They posted a field goal percentage of 45.8% and connected on 2 threes. On the offensive front, the Cardinals have a season-long field goal percentage of 43%, ranking 277th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 286th in terms of percentage and 320th in three-pointers made.

Coming into the game, Louisville will be looking to improve their defense, as they are currently giving up 77.8 points per game (278th). Louisville’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Wake Forest offense to knock down 50% of their shots on their way to putting up 90 points.