Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays Betting Pick & Prediction 4/22/24
At 6:50 PM from Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, we have an American League matchup between the Tigers and Rays. Heading into Monday’s game, the Tigers have a record of 12-10, while the Rays are just one game above .500 at 12-11. Detroit is currently favored on the money line at -114.
The over/under line is at 7 runs, and tonight’s pitching matchup features Tarik Skubal for the Tigers and Zack Littell for the Rays. You can catch this one on TV on BSSUN.
TAMPA BAY RAYS VS DETROIT TIGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline -106
This game will be played at Tropicana Field at 6:50 ET on Monday, April 22nd.
HOW TO BET THE TIGERS VS RAYS:
- We have the Rays winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Rays to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Tigers Records & Stats
Heading into their last game vs. the Twins, the Tigers closed out the series with a 6-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +105 on the money line. It was a big second inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Twins could only score one run, which came in the 4th.
Casey Mize put together a good start for the Tigers, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just three hits and issued only three walks. Detroit’s offense was carried by Buddy Kennedy, who went 1/2 with a homer and three RBIs.
Detroit’s overall record is currently 12-10, and they are in 3rd place in the AL Central. So far, they have gone 7-3 against other teams in the division. Looking at the standings, they are four games behind the Guardians for the division lead.
So far, Detroit has been good on the road, putting together an 8-3 record. At home, they have gone just 4-7. Detroit is coming off a series win over the Twins and, before that, had lost three straight series.
The Tigers are 9-13 against the run line this season, but they are 7-4 on the road. They have covered the run line in four straight road games and are 8-4 against the run line as an underdog. Their average run differential is 0.0 this season, but they have a positive run differential on the road, outscoring opponents by an average of 1.3 runs per game.
So far this season, the Tigers have played in nine games with an over/under line of 7 runs, and the over has hit in all three of them. They have an over/under record of 9-12, and their games have averaged 7.7 runs per game. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and 86.4% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7 runs. They have had a two-game under streak coming into today’s game.
Tarik Skubal is on the mound for the Tigers today, as they take on the Rays on the road. Skubal has been solid in his first three starts, picking up a win in his last outing against the Twins. He has yet to allow an earned run this season, and in his last start, he went 6 1/3 innings, striking out 6 and giving up 2 earned runs.
Our model is projecting Riley Greene to have a big game at the plate for the Tigers. Greene has the highest total hits projection on the team and the 19th highest in the league today. Kerry Carpenter is our top projected home run hitter for the Tigers, with the 10th best odds in the league. Spencer Torkelson has the 2nd best odds to hit a home run for the Tigers and the 11th best odds in the league.
Rays Records & Stats
The Rays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Yankees with a 5-4 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Yankees scored three runs in the bottom of the 8th. Tampa Bay was the +110 underdog on the road going into the game.
Aaron Civale had a rough outing, giving up five earned runs on eight hits and issuing three walks. Amed Rosario was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with a run scored and two RBIs. The Rays also had a three-run 8th inning, with Kevin Kiermaier, Brandon Lowe, and Austin Meadows each driving in a run.
The Rays are in 5th place in the AL East heading into today’s game vs. the Tigers. They will also look to pick up a win at home, as they are just one game above .500 at 7-7. Overall, they have a record of 12-11.
Looking at their series record, the Rays are 3-2-2 this season. When favored to win, they are 10-8, compared to 2-3 as the underdog. Their overall road record is 5-4.
When the Tampa Bay Rays win, they win big, with an average run margin of +2.5. However, when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -4.4. Their run line record is 9-14, with a -0.8 run differential on the season. They are 4-10 against the run line at home, but have covered the run line in five of their nine road games.
The Tampa Bay Rays have had a combined run average of 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 13-10. Their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs per game. So far this season, the over/under line has been set at 7 runs for none of their games, and their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs per game. Their games have gone over the over/under line in 13 of their 23 games this season.
Zack Littell is getting the start for the Rays today, and he has been solid in his first three outings. He has a win and two no-decisions, and in his most recent start, he went 5 2/3 innings and gave up 3 earned runs. He has 17 strikeouts in 15 innings of work.
For the Rays, we have Yandy Díaz as our top projected hitter in terms of total hits, with his projection being the 3rd best in the league today. Harold Ramírez is 2nd on the team in terms of total hits, and his projection is 4th best in the league. Isaac Paredes has the top home run projection on the team and it is 7th best in the league. Jose Siri has the 2nd best home run projection on the team and 8th best in the league.