Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick & Prediction 5/6/24
Monday’s matchup between the Tigers and Guardians is set for 6:10 PM ET from Progressive Field in Cleveland. The Guardians come in with a record of 22-12 and are sending Triston McKenzie to the mound vs. a Tigers club that is 18-16 and starting Jack Flaherty. On the money line, the Guardians are the slight favorite at -119.
As for the over/under line, it is at 7.5 runs, and the under is paying out at -115 compared to -107 for the over. You can catch this one on BSGL.
CLEVELAND GUARDIANS VS DETROIT TIGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cleveland Guardians Moneyline -119
This game will be played at Progressive Field at 6:10 ET on Monday, May 6th.
HOW TO BET THE TIGERS VS GUARDIANS:
- We have the Guardians winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Guardians to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Tigers Records & Stats
The Tigers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Yankees with a 5-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 7th inning before the Yankees scored three runs in the bottom of the 7th. Detroit was the +111 underdog going into this road game.
Tarik Skubal pitched well for the Tigers, going six innings and giving up just two earned runs, and striking out 12. However, the Tigers couldnjson’t close things out, and Shelby Miller took the loss out of the bullpen. The Tigers also wasted a big game from Spencer Torkelson, who went 2/3 with two doubles and a run scored.
Detroit is 18-16 overall this season, and they are four games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. The Tigers lost the final game of their series vs. the Royals and have dropped the first two games of their series vs. the Yankees. So far, they have gone 9-4 in AL Central matchups.
At home, the Tigers are 8-9 this season and have gone 10-7 on the road. Detroit has dropped four straight on the road, and they are 3-1 as the road favorite this year. As for their overall series record, the Tigers are 6-3-2 heading into today’s game.
The Tigers are 15-19 against the run line this season, but they’ve been much better on the road, where they are 10-7. They are 12-6 against the run line as the underdog, but just 3-13 as the favorite. Their average run margin in all games is +0.1, but they have been outscored by an average of 0.6 runs per game at home.
The Detroit Tigers have had a combined run average of 7.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 15-17. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, but when the line is set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 5-6. Overall, 55.9% of their games have had higher lines than 7.5 runs, and their over streak is at 2 games.
Jack Flaherty will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run and finished with a no-decision. In that start vs. the Cardinals, he went 6 2/3 innings and didn’t give up a homer. Flaherty has made six starts this year and has a record of 0-1 with an ERA of 4.00. Opponents are batting .225 off the right-hander this year. Flaherty has made four quality starts this year and is averaging 12.5 strikeouts per nine innings. So far, he has allowed five homers. Flaherty has made three starts on the road and has an ERA of 3.9 compared to 4.42 at home.
Riley Greene and Mark Canha have been the Tigers’ top power threats this season, with Greene’s eight homers ranking 3rd in the league and Canha’s five homers coming in as the 6th most in the MLB. Greene is also batting .269 for the season and has gone 12/38 with three homers over his last 10 games. Canha is also swinging a hot bat of late, as he has gone 11/32 in his last 10 games.
Overall, the Tigers are just 21st in the league in runs scored, averaging 3.9 runs per game. They are also near the bottom of the league in terms of batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. As a team, they are batting just .224.
Guardians Records & Stats
The Guardians’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Angels, closing out their series with a 4-1 win. After allowing one run to the Angels in the top of the 2nd, the Guardians responded with two runs of their own. Cleveland went on to add another two runs in the 6th inning.
Carlos Carrasco put together a good start for the Guardians, going six innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Cleveland’s offense was carried by Josh Naylor, who went 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
Cleveland is hosting the Tigers today with an overall record of 22-12, good for 1st place in the AL Central. The Guardians hold a 2.5 game lead over the Twins in the division and are 4-1 against other AL Central teams this year. They come into today’s game having won two straight games and are 10-3 in day games this year.
So far, the Guardians have been good both at home (10-5) and on the road (12-7). As the favorite, Cleveland is 13-6 this year and 9-6 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Guardians are 8-3, and they won their most recent series vs. the Angels.
The Cleveland Guardians have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 23-11 overall. They have been particularly good at covering the run line at home, going 10-5. They have a run line win streak of two games and have covered the run line in 11 of 19 games as the favorite and 12 of 15 games as the underdog.
Today’s over/under line of 7.5 runs for the Cleveland Guardians’ game against the Detroit Tigers is the lowest line set for a Guardians game this season. The Guardians have played 11 games with a lower over/under line than 7.5 runs this season, and the over is 7-1 in those games. The Guardians’ games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 18-14. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs per game this season.
Triston McKenzie has made six starts this season and has a record of 2-2 with an ERA of 4.34. In his six appearances, McKenzie has turned in one quality start. His ERA for the season is 4.39 at home compared to 6.69 on the road. The last time he took the mound, McKenzie finished with a no-decision, going seven innings and giving up two earned runs on six hits. He did give up a homer in that outing. Opponents are batting .227 off McKenzie this season, and he is averaging 7.45 strikeouts per nine innings.
So far this season, the Guardians are 7th in the league in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .242, which is 11th in the league, and are also near the top of the league in terms of home runs. Cleveland’s offense has done a good job of avoiding strikeouts this season, as their 7 strikeouts per game is the 4th fewest in the league.
Josh Naylor has been a big power threat for the Guardians this season, as his 8 home runs is the 3rd most in the league. However, he has struggled at the plate of late, hitting just .174 over his last six games. Jose Ramirez is also near the top of the league in homers, but he is batting just .230 for the season. Ramirez does have a team-high 27 RBIs.