Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick & Prediction 10/12/24
From Progressive Field in Cleveland, we have the Tigers and Guardians facing off in an AL Central matchup. Saturday’s game is set to get started at 1:08 PM ET, and the forecast calls for scattered clouds and temperatures in the low 60s.
Detroit is currently on a two-game losing streak and is 86-76 overall, while the Guardians are 92-69 and have lost two straight. Matthew Boyd is starting for the Tigers, and the Guardians are starting Tarik Skubal. Cleveland is at +102 on the money line compared to the Tigers at -120, and the over/under line is currently 6 runs.
DETROIT TIGERS VS CLEVELAND GUARDIANS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Detroit Tigers Moneyline -120
This game will be played at Progressive Field at 1:08 ET on Saturday, October 12th.
HOW TO BET THE TIGERS VS GUARDIANS:
- We have the Tigers winning by a score of 3 to 2
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Guardians to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 5 runs and like the under
Cleveland picked up a 5-4 win over the Tigers in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a two-run lead going into the 9th inning, and the Tigers could only muster one run in their half of the 9th. Heading into the game, the Guardians were favored at -124 on the money line.
Tanner Bibee got the start for the Guardians, going just four innings while giving up two runs and striking out three. Hunter Gaddis got the win out of the bullpen, and Emmanuel Clase got the save. Beau Brieske took the loss for the Tigers out of the bullpen.
Offensively, the Guardians were led by David Fry and Jose Ramirez, who each homered. Fry, Steven Kwan, and Lane Thomas each had two RBIs. For the Tigers, Zach McKinstry hit the game’s only other home run and went 1/2 with three RBIs.
Tigers Records & Stats
Facing a must-win game on the road, the Tigers are looking to snap a two-game losing streak. Detroit finished the regular season with a 43-38 record both at home and on the road, and they went 86-76 overall. As favorites, they posted a 41-26 mark, while they went 49-52 as underdogs.
Detroit went 91-77 against the run line this season, with a +0.4 average run margin on the road and +0.1 at home. They were 54-31 against the run line on the road. The Tigers’ over/under record is 79-83, and today’s line of 6 runs is well below their season average of 8.1.
Tarik Skubal gets the start for the Tigers today as he faces off against the Guardians on the road. So far this season, he has made 31 starts and has a record of 18-4 with an ERA of 2.39. Skubal’s WHIP for the season is .92, and he has turned in 22 quality starts. The left-hander most recently faced the Guardians on October 7th, where he went seven innings, giving up no earned runs, and coming away with a no-decision. Before that outing, he had won three straight starts. Skubal has been excellent on the road, coming in with a record of 9-3 and an ERA of 2.73.
As a team, the Tigers are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. They have been a bit better on the road, averaging 4.3 runs per contest. Detroit’s team batting average of .234 is 15th in the league, and they are also 19th in home runs. The Tigers have been pretty good at making contact this season, as their 9 strikeouts per game is 22nd in the league.
Riley Greene has been the Tigers’ top power threat this season, as he is 1st on the team with 24 homers and also has a team-high 74 RBIs. Kerry Carpenter is batting .284 for the season, but he has hit just .217 over his last eight games. Carpenter does have two homers in that stretch, though. Parker Meadows is currently on a seven-game hitting streak.
Guardians Records & Stats
With their season on the line, Cleveland looks to bounce back at home, where they posted a 50-30 record this season. The Guardians dropped their last two games and finished the regular season at 92-69. As favorites, they went 66-37, while they were 28-34 as underdogs.
Today’s over/under line of six runs is lower than 101.9% of Cleveland’s games this year. The Guardians’ over/under record is 69-84, and their run line record stands at 83-82.
Matthew Boyd gets the start for the Guardians today and comes into the game with a record of 2-2 and ERA of 2.72. So far, he has made three quality starts and is averaging 10.44 strikeouts per nine innings. Boyd’s last outing came on October 7th, where he finished with a no-decision, going 4 2/3 innings and not giving up a run. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings. Opponents are batting .204 off Boyd this season. At home, his ERA is 2.29 compared to 3.28 on the road.
Jose Ramirez has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his 39 homers are 5th in the league and the best mark on the Guardians. He is also 3rd in the league with 118 RBIs. Over his last eight games, Ramirez is batting .321 with three homers and eight RBIs. Josh Naylor is also a power threat in the lineup, as his 31 homers are 13th in the league, and he is batting .243 for the season.
As a team, the Guardians are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.6 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .238, which is 14th in the league, and are 4th in the league in fewest strikeouts per game.