Detroit Red Wings vs Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Pick & Prediction 4/17/25

Planning on watching today’s Red Wings and Maple Leafs game? Catch the action at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON, as the Maple Leafs hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. This Atlantic division matchup has an over/under of 6 goals, and the Maple Leafs are favored by -1.5 at home vs. the Red Wings.
DETROIT RED WINGS VS TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5
This game will be played at Scotiabank Arena at 7:00 ET on Thursday, April 17th.
WHY BET THE TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS:
- Coming in as 1.5 goal favorites, our projections have the Maple Leafs picking up a 4-3 win.
- Take the Maple Leafs on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Red Wings (+1.5)
Can the Red Wings Lock in a Win at Toronto?
Detroit improved to 39-35-7 with a 2-1 win over the Sabres. The Red Wings were -1.5 goal favorites, but failed to cover the puck line. The total was set at 6.5 goals, and the combined score of 3 fell well short of that mark.
After trailing 1-0 in the first period, the Red Wings responded with two goals in the second. Both of their goals came on the power play, courtesy of Dylan Larkin.
Detroit’s offense managed 23 shots on goal but only found the net twice in their 2-1 win over Buffalo. Both goals came in the second period, with Dylan Larkin scoring his 6th and 7th goals of the season. Larkin took 4 shots on goal in the game.
Despite 15 giveaways, the Red Wings capitalized on two power play opportunities. Patrick Kane earned his 6th assist on Larkin’s first goal, while Alex DeBrincat picked up his 4th assist on the second goal. Lucas Raymond added his 10th assist of the season.
Despite giving up the first goal at 11:39 in the 1st period, Detroit’s defense held firm, not allowing another goal. Cam Talbot made 31 saves with a 96.9% save percentage. The Red Wings’ defense also recorded 4 takeaways and 11 hits.
Can the Maple Leafs Offense Score Enough at Home?
Toronto’s record moved to 51-26-4 after a 2-1 overtime loss to the Wild. The Maple Leafs were underdogs on the puck line, and the total was set at 6 goals, but the teams combined for just 3.
Ryan Hartman put the Wild ahead at 10:19 in the first period, but William Nylander tied it up with 19:08 left in the first. Matt Boldy scored the game-winner for the Wild at 2:14 in overtime.
William Nylander netted his 9th goal of the season, scoring on a power play at 19:08 in the first period. Auston Matthews picked up his 6th assist, while Mitchell Marner added his 12th assist on the play.
Toronto fired 28 shots on goal but struggled with possession, giving the puck away 10 times. After Nylander’s goal, the Leafs were unable to find the net in the second and third periods, as well as in overtime.
Toronto’s defense gave up the first goal at 9:41 in the first period and the game-winning goal 2:14 into overtime. Anthony Stolarz made 31 saves, finishing with a 93.9% save percentage. The Maple Leafs’ defense totaled 2 takeaways and 30 hits.